Extreme Cold, Snow & Sleet: SECS 1/24 - 1/26

[tdp146]

9 inches. First ping pings mixed in. Seaford. 

[JustinRP37]

I have never seen so many prolonged travel restrictions and bans before for a storm like this. Yes it is big, but no where near as severe as many in the past. Dutchess county until 5pm tomorrow? The big stuff will be over long before then! 

[qg_omega]

2 hours ago, danstorm said:

I’m at 7” - thinking my high end will be reached and maybe busted

Nearly placed that Kalshi bet on CPK but had a bad feeling and didn’t want to be rooting against snow

Should have

[NJwx85]

I’m up over a foot. Still crazy rates here and no sleet in sight. Already made 2 passes with the snow blower.

[the_other_guy]

1 hour ago, Rjay said:

You've been discounting the sleet since this all started and guess what, it's going to sleet.  I think there's only one poster who said this wouldn't be a significant storm for NYC.  Great storm for all and an even better storm inland and up in New England. 

actually, what I said was this is a 10 to 20 inch storm. And whatever falls is gonna stick and stick hard.

 

 

[snywx]

16 minutes ago, Snowlover11 said:

They will probably hit here im just sw of new city. Just cracked 10” here

If that mix line manages to stay just S of you, you might be in for a surprise. Looks like its still hanging around I-80

[HeadInTheClouds]

5 degrees with 8 OTG and moderate/heavy snow. Still expecting around 20 up here when all is said and done. 

[NJwx85]

3 minutes ago, snywx said:

If that mix line manages to stay just S of you, you might be in for a surprise. Looks like its still hanging around I-80

Right now it’s near 78 in NJ

[RU848789]

1 hour ago, RU848789 said:

As of 12 pm, we had 7.0" of snow and it was snowing very heavily at 14F.  I then shoveled for the next hour and around 12:40 or so, some sleet mixed in, but it wasn't "classic" spherical pellets, it looked more like small rods that might've actually been poorly formed flakes - weird stuff.  Anyway, finished my 2nd shoveling (denser) around 1 pm and we now have about 8.3", but it's getting harder to tell as the winds have picked up considerably, blowing/drifting the snow, so I had to average a bunch of measurements (luckily there's old crusty snow underneath, so not measuring on the board isn't an issue like it is on grass).  Made a nice snow angel.  Definitely a mix of snow and sleet and it keeps oscillating on which one dominates.  And if you want to see downtown Metuchen, News12 is doing a remote from there.  

So at 1 pm I cleared the board (as one is supposed to do after a precip change) and as of 2 pm we got another 3/4" of mixed snow/sleet, although the last 20 minutes it's been pure sleet, so our total snow/sleet total is 9.0".  Newark just reported 9" and 7-10" are common all over CNJ/NNJ (my friend in Colts Neck got 9" of snow before the change).  

Even if we only get sleet from here on, the counties south of 78 in EPA/CNJ and then SW along 95 in SEPA/SNJ are still supposed to get heavy precip for a few more hours, so getting to my 10.1" prediction seems almost like a sure thing, give the very recent NWS update to the warning, linked below, which says we could get up to 4" more sleet/snow, plus 0.2" freezing rain on top (but that's not a given at all).  The northern counties N of 78 are expected to get 2-8" more snow/sleet - that range is so wide because some will get all snow (likely the Poconos/Sussex) and some will have sleet mixing.  

https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=PHI&wwa=winter storm warning

[NJwx85]

Looks like the mix line has retreated South the past few frames. 

[Juturna]

Coming down heavy in Suffolk, but hearing a few pings on the window. If this goes to all sleet...boy is that going to be a lot of sleet.

[cleetussnow]

I’m at 14 so I might hit 18 or 20.  

[WestBabylonWeather]

1 minute ago, Juturna said:

Coming down heavy in Suffolk, but hearing a few pings on the window. If this goes to all sleet...boy is that going to be a lot of sleet.

Heavy sleet in west babylon now. Eyeballing roughly 8”

[Bxstormwatcher360]

Heavy sneet here. Def still accumulating. Temps still at 11f. 11.3 so far. 

 

Edit: All snow now.

[Rjay]

Sleet/snow

[Metasequoia]

Mostly sleet in southern Manhattan... pretty heavy. 

[Bxstormwatcher360]

14 minutes ago, NJwx85 said:

Looks like the mix line has retreated South the past few frames. 

Can confirm,went back to heavy snow here in the nw bronx.

[Breene]

the double threads are so annoying

[Bxstormwatcher360]

That coastal is battling rn with the primary which is crossing the apps as we speak. If the coastal wins out then we stay mostly snow with some sleet here. 

[Prue11]

Heavy sleet central suffolk 

[Dark Star]

NWS has precip through 10 AM Monday morning.  I see the back edge approaching around 8PM tonight?

[Prue11]

3 minutes ago, Dark Star said:

NWS has precip through 10 AM Monday morning.  I see the back edge approaching around 8PM tonight?

I think they’re banking on some moisture from a he coastal 

[Stormlover74]

3 minutes ago, Dark Star said:

NWS has precip through 10 AM Monday morning.  I see the back edge approaching around 8PM tonight?

Probably be some light stuff/freezing drizzle around but the main show is done by 8 or 9 tonight

[IYC77]

Will it turn back to snow towards the end?

Sent from my SM-S926U1 using Tapatalk

[qg_omega]

25 minutes ago, Dark Star said:

NWS has precip through 10 AM Monday morning.  I see the back edge approaching around 8PM tonight?

Maybe another 4 hrs at most of any real accumulation, inch or so of sleet or a few inches of snow depending on location

[RU848789]

As of 3 pm, we got another 1/4" of sleet (1" so far, on top of our 8.3" of snow), so we're up to 9.3" of sleet/snow. Temp up to 17F now and pretty windy.

We have another 0.7-0.8" of QPF (precip) to go as per the latest HRRR, that's 2-2.5" of sleet to go if all sleet (see the meso discussion below, which implies mostly/all sleet), but it also shows 0.1-0.2" QPF as freezing rain along 95 after 7 pm (assume that means sleet NW of 95 and rain SE of 95 during that time). Really don't want ZR, but since we might, I'm going to leave some sleet on my driveway/sidewalk to absorb any possible ZR rather than having an ice rink.

[RU848789]

Having some fun making a snow angel. The closest my wife has come to going outside was taking this pic from the upstairs bedroom, lol.

 

[nycsnow]

Sleet and some flakes mixing back in, sleet line looks to be retreating south a little 

[JustinRP37]

22 minutes ago, qg_omega said:

Maybe another 4 hrs at most of any real accumulation, inch or so of sleet or a few inches of snow depending on location

That’s the thing I don’t think I’ve ever seen so many early closings and cancellations for Monday as with this storm. The media has basically made it sound like the apocalypse. I think by mid morning tomorrow we are looking pretty much back to normal. Could be wrong but it doesn’t look like it. 

[nycsnow]

Lot of people starting to have snow mix back in… anyone here?