Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    18,651
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    otree38
    Newest Member
    otree38
    Joined

Extreme Cold, Snow & Sleet: SECS 1/24 - 1/26


TriPol
 Share

Recommended Posts

1 minute ago, NorthShoreWx said:

CC radar shows a mix line.  It's not a solid sleet front.  Parts of it advance and then wash out.  We could potentially hang on for another 3 or 4 hours here.  That might be enough to get us to a foot.

 

https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?parms=OKX-N0C-1-12-100-usa-rad

 

A foot of pure snow, before a few inches of mix. 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 minutes ago, mikem81 said:

I would have thought the sleet line would slow given the location of the coastal in ideal spot, but guess the primary is hanging on as well...

 

pchg.gif?1769364764979

Primary is too strong relative to the coastal low.  OTOH, that same map showed the primary in southern Indiana a couple of hours ago.  Not sure what to make of that. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, RU848789 said:

As of 11 am, still snowing heavily and up to 6.0" of snow otg, for a rate of 1.6"/hr the last 30 minutes - wow!  13F and just pouring snow.  Sleet line looks to be in Wilmington - latest HRRR has us in snow until about 3 pm and if that verifies, we'd get another 6" or so before the sleet.  We'll see, but certainly seems like 9-10" is a lock before the change and then maybe 1-2" sleet (but likely mixed with some snow, so maybe higher ratios than 3:1 for pure sleet).

Also, I got my snow to liquid ratio for the snow that fell through about 9:00 am when we had about 3.6" of snow - it was 14:1. I thought it would be at least 15:1, so off on that guess a little bit, probably because the flakes the first few hours were not large dendrites, so even though they were smaller dendrites and very dry, they packed in more than expected. Did this by taking a 6" x 6" x 3.6" cube of snow and melting it and doing the volume ratio. 

As of 12 pm, we had 7.0" of snow and it was snowing very heavily at 14F.  I then shoveled for the next hour and around 12:40 or so, some sleet mixed in, but it wasn't "classic" spherical pellets, it looked more like small rods that might've actually been poorly formed flakes - weird stuff.  Anyway, finished my 2nd shoveling (denser) around 1 pm and we now have about 8.3", but it's getting harder to tell as the winds have picked up considerably, blowing/drifting the snow, so I had to average a bunch of measurements (luckily there's old crusty snow underneath, so not measuring on the board isn't an issue like it is on grass).  Made a nice snow angel.  Definitely a mix of snow and sleet and it keeps oscillating on which one dominates.  And if you want to see downtown Metuchen, News12 is doing a remote from there.  

Link to comment
Share on other sites

8 minutes ago, psv88 said:

2” an hour rates now for Long Island. Incredible storm! Took the dog for a walk earlier and he loved it. 

Easily.  We did 1.5"/hour rates before the viz dropped to where it is now (about 1/8 mile).  Temp is up to 15.3° ...sun angle coming into play :)

 

  • Like 1
  • Haha 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

22 minutes ago, RU848789 said:

As of 12 pm, we had 7.0" of snow and it was snowing very heavily at 14F.  I then shoveled for the next hour and around 12:40 or so, some sleet mixed in, but it wasn't "classic" spherical pellets, it looked more like small rods that might've actually been poorly formed flakes - weird stuff.  Anyway, finished my 2nd shoveling (denser) around 1 pm and we now have about 8.3", but it's getting harder to tell as the winds have picked up considerably, blowing/drifting the snow, so I had to average a bunch of measurements (luckily there's old crusty snow underneath, so not measuring on the board isn't an issue like it is on grass).  Made a nice snow angel.  Definitely a mix of snow and sleet and it keeps oscillating on which one dominates.  And if you want to see downtown Metuchen, News12 is doing a remote from there.  

8-12 was the mt holly call, iirc....let's see if we can add to that 8-9 with the sleet. we are getting the bad sleet now...straight pellets. can hear them outside.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

50 minutes ago, NorthShoreWx said:

CC radar shows a mix line.  It's not a solid sleet front.  Parts of it advance and then wash out.  We could potentially hang on for another 3 or 4 hours here.  That might be enough to get us to a foot.

 

https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?parms=OKX-N0C-1-12-100-usa-rad

 

RRFS has been doing well overall with the advance of the sleet.  It shows the sleet stalling and then retreating slightly next few hours, with mainly snow hanging on for North Shore of LI until around 0-1Z and northern parts of NYC even until 2-3Z.

The additional snow it shows from 17Z on is likely slightly overdone, but the idea that central-eastern LI catches up vs. most of NYC makes sense.

ezgif.com-animated-gif-maker.gif

rrfs_acc_snow_neng_18 (1).png

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, jconsor said:

RRFS has been doing well overall with the advance of the sleet.  It shows the sleet stalling and then retreating slightly next few hours, with mainly snow hanging on for North Shore of LI until around 0-1Z and northern parts of NYC even until 2-3Z.

The additional snow it shows from 17Z on is likely slightly overdone, but the idea that central-eastern LI catches up vs. most of NYC makes sense.

ezgif.com-animated-gif-maker.gif

rrfs_acc_snow_neng_18 (1).png

Yeah the good news is it seems the RRFS is close to as good as the NAM and better than the HRRR on this.  The HRRR actually picked up on it this event, probably  because it was such strong warm advection

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • Rjay locked, unpinned and unlocked this topic

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

×
×
  • Create New...