Prue11 Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 We better hope for a good thump on Li to reach 10-12” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 The cold front is rolling through. You can feel it. It's windy and the temperature dropped like 3° rather than like 10 minutes. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 3 minutes ago, Roger Smith said: Starting to think the result will be a very sharp gradient of snowfall amounts, something like 4-6" JFK, 6-8" NYC, 8-10" LGA, 10-12" Bronx, 12-14" White Plains and 14-18" lower Hudson valley. Those gradients will then run in a generally w.s.w. direction across NJ into e PA. The axis of heaviest snow still where I thought earlier, Allentown to Catskills to n/c CT to e/c MA. These sharp gradients will also show up on Long Island from south to north shore with a range from 4 to 10 inches, and in s CT, RI and se MA. If the storm begins colder than modelled then possibly these phase changes will hit later in the precip cycle, I would still expect the change-overs in some areas but snowfall totals could then be 2 or 3 inches higher before the phase changes. Somebody was asking about lightning during this event, would not be surprised if there was widespread thundersnow mid-day Sunday, about when the coastal low is deepening fastest. Disagree. I think even JFK gets at least 8”. Maybe LGA gets 10”, but I don’t see JFK at 4 and LGA at 12”. It’s never happened before and doesn’t make sense here either. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CPcantmeasuresnow Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 3 minutes ago, Prue11 said: We better hope for a good thump on Li to reach 10-12” Some of the short-term models are showing 2 to 3 in./h rates at times on Sunday. It doesn't take many hours of that to get near double digits. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 1 hour ago, CPcantmeasuresnow said: I don't really consider far southern coastal New Jersey part of the forum. That's more for the mid Atlantic or the least the Philadelphia forum. Cape May is almost as far south as DC. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 9 minutes ago, psv88 said: Disagree. I think even JFK gets at least 8”. Maybe LGA gets 10”, but I don’t see JFK at 4 and LGA at 12”. It’s never happened before and doesn’t make sense here either. For trivia, the biggest daily snowfall difference between JFK and LGA is 8.5". On February 17, 2003, JFK saw 21.6" while LGA saw 13.1". 3 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILoveWinter Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 I’ve seen enough: 8-12 for Central Park Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JonClaw Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 10 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2025 said: The cold front is rolling through. You can feel it. It's windy and the temperature dropped like 3° rather than like 10 minutes. Corona mesonet site just recorded a 2 degree drop in 5 minutes! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sussexcountyobs Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 13 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2025 said: The cold front is rolling through. You can feel it. It's windy and the temperature dropped like 3° rather than like 10 minutes. Yes it has. Down to 16.0 here already 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 25 minutes ago, MANDA said: Just got back from the store. All set here. Where's the beer? 4 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 15 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2025 said: The cold front is rolling through. You can feel it. It's windy and the temperature dropped like 3° rather than like 10 minutes. Yep, can definitely start to feel it. We still have some snow on the ground here so I guess this will count as snow on snow. Still a couple inches in my backyard. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 44 minutes ago, BoulderWX said: Wow, one can say it’s less exciting and still track. They’re not mutually exclusive. I know you’re overly sensitive MJO but maybe relax a bit. Have hope 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CPcantmeasuresnow Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 10 minutes ago, ILoveWinter said: I’ve seen enough: 8-12 for Central Park 10.2 total sleet and snow will fall there. 8.5 will be the official incorrect total measurement. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 Latest 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 18 minutes ago, psv88 said: Disagree. I think even JFK gets at least 8”. Maybe LGA gets 10”, but I don’t see JFK at 4 and LGA at 12”. It’s never happened before and doesn’t make sense here either. Yep, and I think Pivotal maps don’t count sleet as snow, so I could imagine there being up to a couple inches of sleet on top since sleet is a 3:1 liquid ratio. 0.6” of water as sleet would be almost 2”. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RDRY Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 Maybe I'm blind, but I thought the 18z Euro was better everywhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 19 minutes ago, NorthShoreWx said: Where's the beer? They were cleaned out! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_other_guy Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 This is the same 10-20 inch storm it has been for days… 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 Sref better 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestBabylonWeather Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 Looking at weather.gov in shock the entire states of Kentucky, Virginia, West Virginia, Pennsylvania, Maryland, NJ, Delaware, NY, CT, Massachusetts, and RI have winter storm warnings state wide 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 35 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: Latest Very good map 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
coastalplainsnowman Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 9 minutes ago, WestBabylonWeather said: Looking at weather.gov in shock the entire states of Kentucky, Virginia, West Virginia, Pennsylvania, Maryland, NJ, Delaware, NY, CT, Massachusetts, and RI have winter storm warnings state wide You could drive from the Texas/Mexico border to north central Vermont right now and be under a WSW the entire way. Wild. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 DT says go with 18z Nam 3 3 2 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 14 minutes ago, RedSky said: DT says go with 18z Nam Part of me thinks he’s just bitter that the storm trended to a sleet/ice storm for his area and now he’s rooting on an enormous north trend to spite the rest of I-95 too. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 29 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Sref better And total QPF 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 1 hour ago, NJwx85 said: Latest It will bust badly in central jersey 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 2 minutes ago, winterwarlock said: It will bust badly in central jersey nobody knows yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzardo Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 The leftover snow on my property is already frozen solid again! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzardo Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 C'mon NAM! I hope this is the time we get NAMd! Because we ain't been NAMd yet! And it's usually about this time frame! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 10 minutes ago, winterwarlock said: It will bust badly in central jersey You’re consistently the most pessimistic poster here so your comment isn’t surprising. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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