TSSN+ Posted 16 hours ago Share Posted 16 hours ago Just now, WhiteoutMD said: Is this replacing the NAM? They should put it in the trash can before that cause it’s worse than the Nam from what I have seen so far going back to December lol 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted 16 hours ago Share Posted 16 hours ago 4 minutes ago, WhiteoutMD said: Is this replacing the NAM? Think it is supposed to this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulythegun Posted 16 hours ago Share Posted 16 hours ago 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted 16 hours ago Share Posted 16 hours ago WB RRFS 12Z compared to 18Z (2nd picture) through 3pm Sunday. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago What are we tracking in this thread? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago Just now, Ji said: What are we tracking in this thread? I thought it was everything through this weekend but everyone is all over the place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rjvanals Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago GFS wants to bring us some snow tv tomorrow midday 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago 5 minutes ago, Ji said: What are we tracking in this thread? Everything before Sunday’s partly cloudy/rain/dusting/blizzard 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted 13 hours ago Share Posted 13 hours ago Someone getting 1/2-1.5” Friday night into Saturday morning. Right now best chance is NE Maryland based on models but it’s been shifting around and won’t be nailed down till maybe 12hrs out. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted 10 hours ago Share Posted 10 hours ago RGEM rainy east of the fall line. But pretty nice west of the Blue Ridge. This weekend is going to surprise someone. Maybe not here. But somewhere. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago gfs and euro still worlds apart for Sunday. We need those recon flights yesterday haha 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago I guess technically there should be a separate thread for 'my' storm which was Sunday into Monday, but I wouldn't bother- both of these 'events' look severely underwhelming lol. Tomorrow looks better for along and NW of I-95 and Sunday for the coastal regions. My forecast has an inch or less for Sunday, and only the GFS and the AIs support that. The beach areas have the best shot at a couple inches. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 32 minutes ago, CAPE said: I guess technically there should be a separate thread for 'my' storm which was Sunday into Monday, but I wouldn't bother- both of these 'events' look severely underwhelming lol. Tomorrow looks better for along and NW of I-95 and Sunday for the coastal regions. My forecast has an inch or less for Sunday, and only the GFS and the AIs support that. The beach areas have the best shot at a couple inches. Make a new one or rename this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Added Sunday to this. Maybe if we keep changing the dates, eventually this will be a snowstorm thread? 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago GFSAI has precip back into the mountains for Sunday! It’s a full on SECS. EuroAI still has precip past DC. AI models either going to win glory or shame. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 3 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: GFSAI has precip back into the mountains for Sunday! It’s a full on SECS. EuroAI still has precip past DC. AI models either going to win glory or shame. How is it this bad 60hrs out? This might be some of the worse modeling I’ve seen lately. Shameful 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 9z RAP actually has a nice little burst 11am-12pm Sat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 6z euro worlds part from gfs Sunday. It’s not even close. But tomorrow it gives good snows to some. 1-2” 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 27 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: GFSAI has precip back into the mountains for Sunday! It’s a full on SECS. EuroAI still has precip past DC. AI models either going to win glory or shame. The non-AI GFS isn’t actually that far off from the AIGFS at 06z. I don’t really trust AI precip fields as they’re not typically trained for those, but its actually not too far off from the op. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 1 minute ago, Terpeast said: The non-AI GFS isn’t actually that far off from the AIGFS at 06z. I don’t really trust AI precip fields as they’re not typically trained for those, but its actually not too far off from the op. The differences between rgem, gfs and euro are pretty hilarious for being only 54-60hrs out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 23 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: The differences between rgem, gfs and euro are pretty hilarious for being only 54-60hrs out. Yeah, its like we have three different camps instead of the usual two Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 1 minute ago, Terpeast said: Yeah, its like we have three different camps instead of the usual two Not sure I seen models be like 150 miles apart this close before. Maybe the usual 25-50 but this is comedy 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 54 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: How is it this bad 60hrs out? This might be some of the worse modeling I’ve seen lately. Shameful Difficult pattern with a lot of NS chaos. Probably more error associated with initial conditions, and maybe not enough data in some cases. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted 54 minutes ago Share Posted 54 minutes ago 5 minutes ago, CAPE said: Difficult pattern with a lot of NS chaos. Probably more error associated with initial conditions, and maybe not enough data in some cases. Ya we need recon. I never seen a forecast two days out where it could be sunny or snowing 2-4” lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted 35 minutes ago Share Posted 35 minutes ago 48 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: The differences between rgem, gfs and euro are pretty hilarious for being only 54-60hrs out. 0z UKMET is wetter than the GFS. Has about a half inch of precip for my yard. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted 30 minutes ago Share Posted 30 minutes ago Ukemt also looks nice tomorrow for some folks 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted 17 minutes ago Share Posted 17 minutes ago 1 hour ago, TSSN+ said: The differences between rgem, gfs and euro are pretty hilarious for being only 54-60hrs out. That's called chaos. Scientific reality Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted 15 minutes ago Share Posted 15 minutes ago 13 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: Ukemt also looks nice tomorrow for some folks Tomorrow is a little slept on. Surface temps are truly mehtacular, but guidance has been insistent on a decently heavy band somewhere. If it’s in the right spot, some folks here will get 1-2”. Really don’t know what to think about Sunday right now. Will be a good test of the GFSAI. I’d lean Euro and its AI component, which seems to be the NWS’s thoughts as well based on the less than snowy forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted 11 minutes ago Share Posted 11 minutes ago 1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said: Tomorrow is a little slept on. Surface temps are truly mehtacular, but guidance has been insistent on a decently heavy band somewhere. If it’s in the right spot, some folks here will get 1-2”. Really don’t know what to think about Sunday right now. Will be a good test of the GFSAI. I’d lean Euro and its AI component, which seems to be the NWS’s thoughts as well based on the less than snowy forecast. Agree, until GFSAI scores a coup. I will lean towards Dr. No. We will see shortly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted 6 minutes ago Share Posted 6 minutes ago 12z Hrr has a pretty good band coming through 12z-16z tomorrow. Has up to 1" snow depth near the MD/PA line. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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