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January Banter 2026


George BM
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10 minutes ago, Ravens94 said:

Hugging the UK CMC Icon combo is likely to lead to disappointment especially when the CMC made a huge jump south. The AI models have been headed south the last 6 runs including the Gfs and Euro. The cold air and high is too strong. Unless that disappears magically its no Bueno. 

You’re not wrong, but I have a hunch the cold air is overdone. The better gfs runs show ~1040 high instead of near 1050. Chicken egg thing…is that causing the Baja low to spin itself out or is the low shearing out allowing the hp to overwhelm. I’ll let you know next Monday.

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Serious question, but probably belongs here: I am supposed to fly IAD to IAH Sunday afternoon (yes this is for AMS). Do I try to get out ahead of the storm (and miss probably the biggest snow in 10 years IMBY), roll the dice with my current flight, or book something for Monday and assume it will get out (I really need to get in Tuesday at the absolute latest). When do we think timing and impacts will be nailed down enough to make this decision?

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23 minutes ago, Paleocene said:

For once I agree - we need only one person doing PBP. the CMC and GFS were a disaster to read/follow this AM.  

I wish folks would just let Randy do it and without the pressure and interrogating him along the way. It doesn't take that long lol. We're all excited so it's totally natural. But it's ok to not speak for a few sometimes.

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44 minutes ago, GEOS5ftw said:

Serious question, but probably belongs here: I am supposed to fly IAD to IAH Sunday afternoon (yes this is for AMS). Do I try to get out ahead of the storm (and miss probably the biggest snow in 10 years IMBY), roll the dice with my current flight, or book something for Monday and assume it will get out (I really need to get in Tuesday at the absolute latest). When do we think timing and impacts will be nailed down enough to make this decision?

Looking at the 3hr/snow maps, barring ratios, the hourly snowfall totals honestly aren't that all impressive... like .55-.75"/hr. Wish I knew more about airport operations, but if you feel like you can get there, I feel like the airports may be able to keep up.

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4 minutes ago, midatlanticweather said:

We should have a banter threat for any one storm instead of a catch all! I LOL so many times from some of the posts... I want to hone in on them for the storm! Just saying! 

 

Oh yeah, there are many laughs to be had! I usually don't get too uptight about banter but traffic is gonna be so high. It's all good tho bc...zoomed out...this is what we live for!

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11 minutes ago, katabatic said:

I hope we all get a Blue Bird day soon. After a busy weekend at Wisp, calm has returned. Pic is this afternoon on the backside of the mountain. Temp this afternoon is in the low teens.
9094e1dd3779cda3d2e26d3f0c9b29f3.jpg

Looks awesome. We'll be out there next Thursday through Sunday for the annual multi-family long weekend. Looking forward to some great conditions!

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1 hour ago, GEOS5ftw said:

Serious question, but probably belongs here: I am supposed to fly IAD to IAH Sunday afternoon (yes this is for AMS). Do I try to get out ahead of the storm (and miss probably the biggest snow in 10 years IMBY), roll the dice with my current flight, or book something for Monday and assume it will get out (I really need to get in Tuesday at the absolute latest). When do we think timing and impacts will be nailed down enough to make this decision?

If the storm wraps up late Sunday then I think a Monday flight might work. If it becomes a slow moving, fully phased monster that lasts till Monday afternoon then you might be doomed.

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