SnowGoose69 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 1 minute ago, Kitz Craver said: Dr. No awaits To be fair the EPS has actually been pretty close to the GFS idea last 2 runs down in SC/GA. So its been on the train the most in prior model cycles of this at least being far enough west and organized down that way to be a factor up in SNE 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Just wait until the Euro takes a dump on our face at 12z and watch the vibe change quickly again. Or better yet, joins the party, only to lose it at 18z...but in all seriousness, can we just lay down a solid pack region wide before the cold sets in? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago This seems to be the setup where a little southeast ridging can go a long way...too much and it ends up hugging, too little and a scraper Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago As the GFS was out to Sunday I was wondering if that energy diving down the Plains was going to end up screwing things up but ultimately it ended up feeding into our vort and helping to go boom. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Why is there a thread? Delete that one. It’s Torch Tiger Tainted. 1 2 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 2 minutes ago, dryslot said: Have two threads going for this one and people posting in both? So which one is it? The other thread is a clown thread. Someone can maybe start a real one for this threat if it gets more support. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 3 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: To be fair the EPS has actually been pretty close to the GFS idea last 2 runs down in SC/GA. So its been on the train the most in prior model cycles of this at least being far enough west and organized down that way to be a factor up in SNE I am going to be more interested in hoe euro looks with the H5 evolution moreso than what it does at the sfc with SLP development. Just want to see some ticks in this regard (H5) towards the GFS. But the euro really isn't far off so it's very plausible. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Why is there a thread? Delete that one. It’s Torch Tiger Tainted. Well, I agree but i can't do it lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 2 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: As the GFS was out to Sunday I was wondering if that energy diving down the Plains was going to end up screwing things up but ultimately it ended up feeding into our vort and helping to go boom. If you can time it right, a “kicker” shortwave can partially phase with the main shortwave where the main kind of swings around the kicker…they are both using the same longer wave trough. That’s kind of what happens on the GFS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Just now, weatherwiz said: I am going to be more interested in hoe euro looks with the H5 evolution moreso than what it does at the sfc with SLP development. Just want to see some ticks in this regard (H5) towards the GFS. But the euro really isn't far off so it's very plausible. Guaranteed its a blizzard, But where? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: The other thread is a clown thread. Someone can maybe start a real one for this threat if it gets more support. Just get rid of it then, Make things simpler, It was labeled the 15th originally then he changed to the 19th, Keep kicking the can until a date works i guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 12z GEFS came west too. Op run is definitely on the western envelope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago As long as Dr No becomes Dr maybe, Then its legit some. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NW_of_GYX Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Big hit for eastern areas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Ukie got worse from 00z. Scrapes the cape now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago What a nuke. Too bad it’s the gfs. It did this with the Friday potential too. Even to an amateur it’s pretty easy to see how thread the needle this is. Couple of small changes and this is right back out to sea. Probably going to see some wild run to run swings. Ultimately, I’d expect very little. Too many moving parts. Good luck getting that to verify Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 11 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: The other thread is a clown thread. Someone can maybe start a real one for this threat if it gets more support. More support and it's Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Was gonna joke the UKIE would get cold feet and move the other way. Seems to always begin waffling once inside like 108. I have also said before the last 10 years whatever the UKIE does the Euro does the reverse so watch the Euro have it raining on the Cape now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 1 minute ago, SnowGoose69 said: Was gonna joke the UKIE would get cold feet and move the other way. Seems to always begin waffling once inside like 108. I have also said before the last 10 years whatever the UKIE does the Euro does the reverse so watch the Euro have it raining on the Cape now. My expectation for the Euro is that it gets better but not enough to give meaningful snow to anyone….but enough to keep us interested. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 1 minute ago, SnowGoose69 said: Was gonna joke the UKIE would get cold feet and move the other way. Seems to always begin waffling once inside like 108. I have also said before the last 10 years whatever the UKIE does the Euro does the reverse so watch the Euro have it raining on the Cape now. They almost always follow each other over the years. Typically whatever Ukie does , Euro follows in various degrees 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago wonder if we get some light snow Saturday that never really stops, light flurries and snizzle until what ever shows up on Sunday...days and days of yore..... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Just now, Damage In Tolland said: They almost always follow each other over the years. Typically whatever Ukie does , Euro follows in various degrees Seemed to work til 2014-2015. Since then much less so. I think after the Euro upgrade in that period the rule kind of went out the window. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: They almost always follow each other over the years. Typically whatever Ukie does , Euro follows in various degrees They had the nicknames Crazy Uncle and Dr No for a reason. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago That sounds about right, Will. Would be pretty funny to go from gloom and doom to a snowy Saturday as the warm up act for a significant snow Sunday/Monday. With Arctic cold lurking next week. That would be quite the reversal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 38 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said: I like it but not buying it yet. fool me once Yup. It’s very likely to be gone next run. Best advice for everyone is don’t do it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Jan 4, 2018 walked through the door on the GFS. Wish something else was onboard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 57 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Haven't seen a 500 evolution like this in a while it feels like well, remember our discussion yesterday ... get the v trajectory S, huh 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago I do think for the legit storm thread Scooter or Ray or Will or Tip should start it. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 10 minutes ago, Spanks45 said: wonder if we get some light snow Saturday that never really stops, light flurries and snizzle until what ever shows up on Sunday...days and days of yore..... Yup that’s how we envision it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GCWarrior Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Canadian has it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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