January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread

[UnitedWx]

5 hours ago, CoastalWx said:

Came home to a little pack anyways 

Welcome back to the asylum! 

[Lava Rock]

31f. Off to the races. Going to feel like a heat wave today

Sent from my SM-S921U using Tapatalk

[Damage In Tolland]

The 15th is starting to gain traction for snow 

[HoarfrostHubb]

6 hours ago, Torch Tiger said:

Yeah it's essentially mid-winter.  If it were July 8th folks would be talking peak summer next 3 or so weeks

The leaves are getting that leathery look

[NoCORH4L]

6 hours ago, Torch Tiger said:

Yeah it's essentially mid-winter.  If it were July 8th folks would be talking peak summer next 3 or so weeks

It's amazing how so many people wish summer away, to get to the cold gray rain for 5 months that have become our winters. 

[mahk_webstah]

GYX going colder for Saturday night.

[NoCORH4L]

7 hours ago, WinterWolf said:

Winter is two weeks old Ken..no matter how you slice it. The season doesn’t care about MET winter. 

Not sure why you keep saying that, it's not really only 2 weeks old. Only Karens use astronomical winter.

Meteorological winter is a fixed, three-month period used by meteorologists for consistent record-keeping, covering the coldest months: December, January, and February in the Northern Hemisphere

[moneypitmike]

13 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said:

GYX going colder for Saturday night.

We watch.

KEY MESSAGE 3 Discussion...

Cold trend continues for the forecast winter storm late Saturday
into Sunday. High pressure to the NW will aid in feeding cool
air at the surface from the NE through Saturday evening. Still a
good signal in guidance for CAD to keep surface temps below
freezing for much of southern ME and central/north NH. No
change in thinking regarding primary low track out of the Great
Lakes. Still some differences in guidance re: transfer to
coastal low, and this will have impact on QPF and temperature
profile aloft for precip type.

Continue to think foothills northward remain mainly snow until
after midnight, in which sleet then mixes in. A mix of snow,
sleet, and freezing rain will be possible for points in the
foothills and interior, with mostly rain into southern NH and
far southern NH. Should cold trend continue, would see wintry
mix hold on longer and closer to the ME coast.

[Baroclinic Zone]

26F 

All iced up and frosted over here.

[WinterWolf]

53 minutes ago, NoCORH4L said:

Not sure why you keep saying that, it's not really only 2 weeks old. Only Karens use astronomical winter.

Meteorological winter is a fixed, three-month period used by meteorologists for consistent record-keeping, covering the coldest months: December, January, and February in the Northern Hemisphere

This is comical. I use it because it’s the real thing…not made up. That’s why. The planet/season doesn’t care about record keeping. So it’s 2.5 weeks old. I guess you never got snow in March? 
Just as sumner would only be 2.5 weeks old on July 8th.  Summer extends beyond August 31st.  
 

Do we say only Mon-Fri is the real week? It’s the work week, but the calendar doesn’t use it as a real week. same thing. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

Nice blend of discourse.....bitching about how the winter sucks and will continue to suck, and others bitching about those bitching about how winter sucks and will continue to suck....every now and then the general flow is interrupted by a remarkably thinly veiled homage to CC by Tip.

Sums up the last 8 years.

[NoCORH4L]

12 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

This is comical. I use it because it’s the real thing…not made up. That’s why. The planet/season doesn’t care about record keeping. So it’s 2.5 weeks old. I guess you never got snow in March? 
Just as sumner would only be 2.5 weeks old on July 8th.  Summer extends beyond August 31st.  
 

Do we say only Mon-Fri is the real week? It’s the work week, but the calendar doesn’t use it as a real week. sane thing. 

We're in a weather forum, not an astrological forum, so wouldn't we talk meteorological seasons?

[Kitz Craver]

2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Nice blend of discourse.....bitching about how the winter sucks and will continue to suck, and others bitching about those bitching about how winter sucks and will continue to suck....every now and then the general flow is interrupted by a remarkably thinly veiled homage to CC by Tip.

Sums up the last 8 years.

Still a shot at a mid month coastal or….?

[Spanks45]

8 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Nice blend of discourse.....bitching about how the winter sucks and will continue to suck, and others bitching about those bitching about how winter sucks and will continue to suck....every now and then the general flow is interrupted by a remarkably thinly veiled homage to CC by Tip.

Sums up the last 8 years.

Sounds about right....Is it baseball season yet?

[Great Snow 1717]

...the upcoming meltdowns are going to be legendary! Lol

[Go Kart Mozart]

I am surprised there is not more excitement this morning for the 15th.  Some models showing a hit, most improving with each run.  Last night's ICON looked big-doggish (I know, a weakling model, but it has some fun solutions).

[kdxken]

2 hours ago, ineedsnow said:

6z also.. models seem to have trended better curious to see what 12z shows

A brother from a different mother. 

 

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, Go Kart Mozart said:

I am surprised there is not more excitement this morning for the 15th.  Some models showing a hit, most improving with each run.  Last night's ICON looked big-doggish (I know, a weakling model, but it has some fun solutions).

Because there isn’t a lot of agreement. 
At least many of us go back to bare ground soon. Another winter to remember. 

[Typhoon Tip]

Hi launch pad this morning, relative to season

[CoastalWx]

14 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Nice blend of discourse.....bitching about how the winter sucks and will continue to suck, and others bitching about those bitching about how winter sucks and will continue to suck....every now and then the general flow is interrupted by a remarkably thinly veiled homage to CC by Tip.

Sums up the last 8 years.

Other than a rest stop off I 84 in Southbury CT this is up there with top stinkers when you think about how cold it’s been.

[Hazey]

Give it another couple of weeks and then the punting crew will take the field. Rotten winter here so far.

[40/70 Benchmark]

25 minutes ago, Kitz Craver said:

Still a shot at a mid month coastal or….?

I have never been in on that....I mean, I get the argument...PNA ridge, blah, blah....but the period has just never fit into my "seasonal vision", so to speak...so I assume some hemispheric idiosyncrasy will "fu)k the duck"-

[40/70 Benchmark]

17 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Other than a rest stop off I 84 in Southbury CT this is up there with top stinkers when you think about how cold it’s been.

I mean, ON PAPER...I see plenty of hope later in the season....but truth be told, I want out- Under 9" on the season headed into mid January at my locale, and nothing but misfit, orphaned PNA ridges in the imminent future? Suck a poison-d1ck and GTFO of here with that.

[40/70 Benchmark]

22 minutes ago, kdxken said:

A brother from a different mother. 

 

Do me the privilege sharing Liam's feed in one week from now....it will probably be filled with 20-something hour runs from late January.

[jbenedet]

Even a ratter is better than rotten…

[metagraphica]

25 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Hi launch pad this morning, relative to season

Over the top heat.  KBOS at 37.  KGON at 27.  

[40/70 Benchmark]

I'd kill for this season....more than double the snowfall, and when it wasn't snowing, it was pleasant with minimal inconvenience or salt showering my vehicle.

 

 

[Great Snow 1717]

3 minutes ago, jbenedet said:

Even a ratter is better than rotten…

But we're only 2 1/2 weeks into winter... 

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, Great Snow 1717 said:

But we're only 2 1/2 weeks into winter... 

Could even be 2....we just don't know... jk love ya, Wolfie!

[40/70 Benchmark]

Another season that I'd take and run and at this point.