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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread


Baroclinic Zone
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1 hour ago, moneypitmike said:

Just got up to Pit2.  Looks like we only got about an inch or so last night

It was pretty exciting to read the last couple pages of posts.  Some fragile emotions on the board.  lol

I was just in Dayton, thought they were in the band, but they only had an inch. They had 4-5 on the ground though.

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Cut out all processed sugar as much as retentively possible.  I mean you gotta go at it with remorseless vengeance and assume with distrust in your heart that whatever, where ever, and why, are all conspiring to sneak it past your attention.  Everything about food stock provided by the "Industrial Food Complex" since the early part of last century is reconstructing sugar molecules.   Stay on the outside of the grocery store perimeters.  Only by raw and cook your own.   NO EXCEPTIONS!

Go Allulose and Stevia extract ( organic sources),  about 96/4  mixtures if you have to have sweet.  A teaspoon of honey is probably okay ( but that doesn't mean 20 of them either).  The former tastes exactly like the toxicity with 0 toxicity.  You won't know the difference and it has zero glycemic index. 

Sugar beyond the biological evolutionary signal ( an amount that is shockingly lower than people are aware) is connected to 90% of all inflammatory responses in physiology, and just about all systemic problems traditionally associated to 'just aging' are in fact connected to different degrees of inflammatory response.  What's actually aging is the body's ability to resist the toxins of access sugar.  Easily fix..

Gout and other forms of arthritic flares, to hypertension to pre Diabetes and eventually arteriosclerosis and cancers ... all can be traced back to inflammation.  

You'll lose weight.  Your cholesterol will plummet ( particularly the tri-glics and ultra LDLs).  You'll notice a reduction in frequency and intensity of maintenance areas of the body. Hell, you might even recover some

 

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1 hour ago, Ginx snewx said:

Had nerve block yesterday.  Actually last knee was easy. Bionic man now so much hardware the body scan at the airport goes crazy. Two knees a shoulder an ankle and 4 rods in the back

Way ahead of me - only the left knee last June (may your 2nd knee be as easy as my 1st) and neck fusion in 2011.  Other surgeries - prostate, and ablation for A-fib - didn't require leaving any hardware.

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Ray, Feb 1956 and Feb 1972 were good and both La Nina...'56 was a strong Nina.

I'm stil trying to find a similar pattern as to the one being forecasted by ensembles....I agree Feb 2014 is prob the closest but that had the lower heights biased further west....more of a -PNA than is currently being progged. Late Jan/early Feb 2013 is another somewhat similar pattern too. 

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1 hour ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I think the epic stretch was more December into early January...February was relatively tame....then March into early April ramped up again. I had 12.3" that February.

In Gardiner where we lived during 95-96, DEC thru APR, first parts of months were super, last parts were awful.  Snowiest by 30"+ of 13 winters there but only 5th place for SDDs.

                                   temp  precip    snow
First parts:  81 days   -6.4     11.56"    127.2"
Last parts:  71 days   +4.8    14.58       9.2"

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19 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

You'll lose weight.  Your cholesterol will plummet ( particularly the tri-glics and ultra LDLs).  You'll notice a reduction in frequency and intensity of maintenance areas of the body. Hell, you might even recover some

 

Just a minor comment - triglycerides are not a form of cholesterol. They are lipids used to store excess carbs as fat. It's true that they will decrease if you reduce processed carbs and sugar intake. But they also sometimes increase in people who are trying to eat more healthily - particularly in people who increase consumption of vegetables and grains to compensate for a reduction in meat.

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7 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Ray, Feb 1956 and Feb 1972 were good and both La Nina...'56 was a strong Nina.

I'm stil trying to find a similar pattern as to the one being forecasted by ensembles....I agree Feb 2014 is prob the closest but that had the lower heights biased further west....more of a -PNA than is currently being progged. Late Jan/early Feb 2013 is another somewhat similar pattern too. 

 

Screenshot_20260106_161845_Chrome.jpg

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46 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said:

I haven't graduated to bionic man yet but 2nd hernia surgery coming up in February, plus have had shoulder impingement on right side for about 8 months. Getting old is fun!

I had two of those, one on each side. Did lapro on one then 2yrs later had another on other side and went with open procedure. Also have shoulder impingement, that can go from one side to the next. getting older is not fun.

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21 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Ray, Feb 1956 and Feb 1972 were good and both La Nina...'56 was a strong Nina.

I'm stil trying to find a similar pattern as to the one being forecasted by ensembles....I agree Feb 2014 is prob the closest but that had the lower heights biased further west....more of a -PNA than is currently being progged. Late Jan/early Feb 2013 is another somewhat similar pattern too. 

56/72 were 50-50 Februarys at our NNJ homes (moved 8 miles south in 1971).  Feb 56 was a nothingburger, only 4-5".   That winter's peak was in March, including a 24" dump on 18-19, the first double-digit snowfall I remember (I was 21 months old for the Dec 26-27, 1947bomb) then a 12" paste bomb in early April brought the total past 60" (avg about 40).  Feb 72 was the best of a mediocre winter, with a ~10" storm in mid-month and 2 lesser storms, the month producing more than half of the winter total.

I had two of those, one on each side. Did lapro on one then 2yrs later had another on other side and went with open procedure. Also have shoulder impingement, that can go from one side to the next. getting older is not fun.

No shoulder surgeries but I've damaged both.  At 18, I tossed a baseball 270'.  Today, I might not reach 70.

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36 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

:lol::(

Kidding aside…like I said, the lowest BOX beam is around 5000ft over your head. ENX is 10000ft. GYX is even higher. So if ENX is showing precip and BOX isn’t, that means it’s evaporating (sublimating in this case) before it reaches the ground…which is pretty typical when you have cirrus thickening and lowering in advance of a system with dry air in the low to mid levels. 

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10 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Kidding aside…like I said, the lowest BOX beam is around 5000ft over your head. ENX is 10000ft. GYX is even higher. So if ENX is showing precip and BOX isn’t, that means it’s evaporating (sublimating in this case) before it reaches the ground…which is pretty typical when you have cirrus thickening and lowering in advance of a system with dry air in the low to mid levels. 

Awesome thanks for the explanation! :thumbsup:

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16 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Kidding aside…like I said, the lowest BOX beam is around 5000ft over your head. ENX is 10000ft. GYX is even higher. So if ENX is showing precip and BOX isn’t, that means it’s evaporating (sublimating in this case) before it reaches the ground…which is pretty typical when you have cirrus thickening and lowering in advance of a system with dry air in the low to mid levels. 

 

Miraculously, the GYX beam doesn't go over my head.  :)

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1 hour ago, eduggs said:

Just a minor comment - triglycerides are not a form of cholesterol. They are lipids used to store excess carbs as fat. It's true that they will decrease if you reduce processed carbs and sugar intake. But they also sometimes increase in people who are trying to eat more healthily - particularly in people who increase consumption of vegetables and grains to compensate for a reduction in meat.

Yeah, I know ... 

Lipid panel will improve ...that was the point there ... typing fast 

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6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

These last 6 pages since this morning are fun. Basically climate change and being elderly with slight undertones of the pattern ahead. 

I really wish they’d put a stop to this fake climate change talk BS on here . It’s absolutely nauseating and no one cares about the agenda nonsense.

 

 

 

 

 

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16 minutes ago, kdxken said:

We seem to keep kicking that can deeper into January.

There have been several times in the last 5 years with ensembles showing 10-20” of snow as a mean and we end up with only a few inches over that span .. Something can pop up in the medium range after this weekend. Although it seems odds will increase much more after January 18th. 

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Last year Jan’96 repeat was modeled 6 days out and I don’t even think it we got a fine mist in the end.  We haven't had a shortage of modeled snow storms and blockbusters recently - just a shortage, nay outright dearth, of storm verifications.  We can complain and bitter about these recent winters, sure, but worse, the models.  
 

maybe its a good thing we don’t have an OP blizzard rn with an apparent ‘good’ pattern model presenting on ensembles.

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