January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread

[powderfreak]

48 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

Yeah... while it has overall been a cold season, we haven't seen one of those ridiculous cold snaps we get from time to time. 

It’s also been early in the season too, working with December normals.

The same departures in February would be the real deal.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Probably end up with just enough of a dusting here for the salt truck to come barreling down the road again. Rejoice 

[dryslot]

The HRRR has been awful all year.

[dryslot]

I'd like to find the salt truck seeing ice melt is scarce up here.

[ORH_wxman]

16 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

It’s also been early in the season too, working with December normals.

The same departures in February would be the real deal.

Yeah if you put up -5 or -6 weeks in mid to late January, you're likely talking below zero temps several occurrences at night even down in SNE. 

[ORH_wxman]

35 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Kind if high stakes tomorrow between Nam and hrrr. Hrrr just evaporates the colder air while Nam is a freezer.

NAM is tucky

[weatherwiz]

snowing pretty good here...great snow growth, covered everything quickly. 

[radarman]

Moderate snow, half inch so far

[Damage In Tolland]

15 minutes ago, dryslot said:

The HRRR has been awful all year.

Complete ass

Assy 

[CoastalWx]

10 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

NAM is tucky

Very

[Damage In Tolland]

Had a quick 1/4 inch in that first burst. Radar looks like it’ll be light on and off stuff much of the night 

[mahk_webstah]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

Very

Then it is probably right

[Ginx snewx]

Snowing 29⁰

[CoastalWx]

Just getting caught up in the extended, I’m actually pleased with that look. Take a little southeast Ridge fighting that cold air from Canada with a negative EPO and Greenland Ridge. Also, the op runs are starting to show storms. The op runs are like an ensemble member… But when a pattern becomes favorable, you typically start to see the op runs showing some storms. We’re starting to see that which is good. One of the red flags I’ve noticed is that the op runs never show anything despite ensembles showing a favorable pattern. Kind of a red flag when that happens.

[dendrite]

1 hour ago, WxWatcher007 said:

Need a good Montreal Express like Feb ‘23. SLK got to -33.

They can do rad nights in the -30s no problem at the ASOS.

[Ginx snewx]

2 hours ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Wake and bake?

No why? What's your call big boy? Put your comments where your mouth is.

[moneypitmike]

1 hour ago, dryslot said:

Weather underground has 1-3” tonight and 3-5” tomorrow night pretty bullish but I’m thinking more 3-5” total but we will see where the Mesos take us here at 18 and 0z

My p/c is super sucky.

Tonight

Snow, mainly before 2am. Low around 13. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 90%. Total nighttime snow accumulation of less than one inch possible.

Tuesday

Mostly cloudy, with a high near 29. Calm wind becoming north around 5 mph.

Tuesday Night

Snow and freezing rain before 2am, then snow and sleet between 2am and 3am, then freezing rain after 3am. Low around 21. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New ice accumulation of less than a 0.1 of an inch possible. New snow and sleet accumulation of less than a half inch possible.

Wednesday

Rain, snow, and freezing rain, becoming all rain after 10am, then gradually ending. High near 36. Northwest wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. Little or no snow accumulation expected.

[CoastalWx]

8 minutes ago, dendrite said:

They can do rad nights in the -30s no problem at the ASOS.

but that’s fake. 

[WxWatcher007]

10 minutes ago, dendrite said:

They can do rad nights in the -30s no problem at the ASOS.

Looks like once you get to -38 you get to rarified air. Or at least days of yore. There are a significant number of -40 lows in the olden days. 

[moneypitmike]

13 minutes ago, dendrite said:

They can do rad nights in the -30s no problem at the ASOS.

They're good for the 20's on the 4th of July if things fall just right.

[SouthCoastMA]

1/15 will probably be one of the few times this winter the antecedent airmass won't be great, if a storm actually manifests during that time - as shown by OPs and ensembles. 1/17 and beyond looks much more promising. 

[CT Valley Snowman]

Coating of light snow.  Stopped now despite some decent returns overhead.  

[Kitz Craver]

We all want a coastal, but nottttttt a coastal rainer, lol

[dendrite]

22 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

but that’s fake. 

A colder fake than the -24 they pulled in Dec.

But at some point fake starts feeling real. Like Mick Foley falling 20ft off the top of a steel cage. lol

17 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

Looks like once you get to -38 you get to rarified air. Or at least days of yore. There are a significant number of -40 lows in the olden days. 

The ASOS probably would’ve pulled -50 in those days. 

[dendrite]

17° -SN

[Damage In Tolland]

Seeing some forecasts of 5-6 straight days with highs in the 40’s. Gonna be some big revisions coming after today’s modeling and ensembles

[ORH_wxman]

Snowing steadily with a solid coating. Looks like round 1 about to finish. Should get another batch this evening. 

[WxWatcher007]

33 minutes ago, dendrite said:

A colder fake than the -24 they pulled in Dec.

But at some point fake starts feeling real. Like Mick Foley falling 20ft off the top of a steel cage. lol

The ASOS probably would’ve pulled -50 in those days. 

Yeah. When breathing causes ice to form on your face almost instantaneously, it’s damn cold.

[dryslot]

5 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

Yeah. When breathing causes ice to form on your face almost instantaneously, it’s damn cold.

That's also when nose hair in your nostrils freeze closed as well.

[DavisStraight]

1 hour ago, moneypitmike said:

My p/c is super sucky.

Tonight

Snow, mainly before 2am. Low around 13. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 90%. Total nighttime snow accumulation of less than one inch possible.

Tuesday

Mostly cloudy, with a high near 29. Calm wind becoming north around 5 mph.

Tuesday Night

Snow and freezing rain before 2am, then snow and sleet between 2am and 3am, then freezing rain after 3am. Low around 21. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New ice accumulation of less than a 0.1 of an inch possible. New snow and sleet accumulation of less than a half inch possible.

Wednesday

Rain, snow, and freezing rain, becoming all rain after 10am, then gradually ending. High near 36. Northwest wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. Little or no snow accumulation expected.

He's more inland and that's close to what the NAM shows.