Stormlover74 Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 Just flurries Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoulderWX Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 steady light snow making it 3 days in a row with snow falling 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 Steady light snow, dusting on the ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 11.5 degrees currently with steady light to sometimes moderate snow. Windy as well. Looks like Old Forge, NY out there. Low gray overcast, deep snow cover and the air filled will falling and blowing snow. Gotta feel sorry for anyone who has had to work outside this month. Except for a several day pause in the cold earlier this month it has been brutal. December was no bargain for outdoor workers either. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bxstormwatcher360 Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 Lgt snow falling here. 19f. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 some brief flurries; overcast with sun peeking through. frigid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 Arctic air now covers the region. Highs will be mainly in the lower 20s through Friday. One or more days could see highs in the teens. The last winter with more than one high in the teens was Winter 2018-19 when there were two such days. Moreover, New York City has the potential to see the temperature dip into the single digits for lows on one or more days during this period. Some snow flurries or snow showers are possible Thursday night into Friday morning. Additional snow is possible on Sunday. However, there remains significant uncertainty about the location of the storm's development and its track. A large storm would be historic. For reference, New York City has seen just one 10" or above snowstorm one week or less following a 10" or above snowstorm: February 3-4, 1926 (10.4") and February 9-10, 1926 (12.4"). The shortest interval between 10" or above daily snowfalls is 14 days: March 2, 1896 (10.0") and March 16, 1896 (12.0"). Records go back to 1869. Overall, January 20th-February 3rd will likely be the coldest and perhaps snowiest two-week period this winter. The forecast WPO-/EPO-/AO-/PNA+ pattern is typically the coldest pattern in January and among the coldest during the first half of February. A persistently positive PNA will have above climatological risk of moderate or significant snowfalls. For perspective, the coldest two-week period this winter prior to January 20th was January 3-16, 2026 and January 4-17, 2026 with a mean temperature of 30.3°. The snowiest two-week period was December 14-27, 2025 when 7.2" of snow fell. Already, snowfall since January 20th has surpassed that figure. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -0.3°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.7°C for the week centered around January 14. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.48°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.68°C. La Niña conditions will likely continue into at least late winter. The SOI was -2.82 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -4.601 today. That is the lowest AO value since February 16, 2025 when the AO was -4.772. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 100% probability that New York City will have a cooler than normal January (1991-2020 normal). January will likely finish with a mean temperature near 30.2° (3.5° below normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 2.4° below the 1981-2010 normal monthly value. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 Looks like a little sound effect snow trying to fire up along the SE Connecticut coast. Winds are west to southwest at the moment. https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/?parms=OKX-N0Q-1-24-100-usa-rad# Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sussexcountyobs Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 Picked up 1/2" . Even 44" for season. Currently: Clear +8.8F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 Looking back, my errors for the 1/24-26 snowstorm: 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steve392 Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 So what were some overnight lies in Nwnj and orange/rockland counties in NY? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LoboLeader1 Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 Currently 15 here, had snow showers earlier this afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 1 hour ago, donsutherland1 said: Looking back, my errors for the 1/24-26 snowstorm: Well done. very common for people to low ball Islips numbers. Coastal enhancement is real out there and it’s further north than people realize 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 1 minute ago, psv88 said: Well done. very common for people to low ball Islips numbers. Coastal enhancement is real out there and it’s further north than people realize That was the area I was most uncertain about. I overdid the impact of the warm air aloft. Hopefully, I'll do better next time. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 1 hour ago, steve392 said: So what were some overnight lies in Nwnj and orange/rockland counties in NY? Well Mr Thompson on Pleasant Avenue told Mrs Thompson he had to work late because of an important project, but actually her name was Naomi. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 51 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said: That was the area I was most uncertain about. I overdid the impact of the warm air aloft. Hopefully, I'll do better next time. You did really well. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 1 hour ago, donsutherland1 said: That was the area I was most uncertain about. I overdid the impact of the warm air aloft. Hopefully, I'll do better next time. Was a very tough storm to forecast when you got into the nitty gritty and with the higher QPF than predicted. I didn’t think anyone in NYC or LI would reach 12” in this type of storm and I was wrong. It’s a humbling hobby. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 1 hour ago, psv88 said: Well done. very common for people to low ball Islips numbers. Coastal enhancement is real out there and it’s further north than people realize Albany area really underperformed, real precip never made it north. NWS was forecasting 18-24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 5 hours ago, donsutherland1 said: Looking back, my errors for the 1/24-26 snowstorm: If I'm not mistaken, airport observers clear the board every 6 hours. Is that your understanding? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 Nope Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TriPol Posted January 28 Author Share Posted January 28 2 hours ago, Rjay said: Nope Stick a fork in it? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 5 hours ago, NorthShoreWx said: If I'm not mistaken, airport observers clear the board every 6 hours. Is that your understanding? Yes, I believe that’s the case. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 Looks like -8 will do it for the low here, up to -7 currently. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 6 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said: Looks like -8 will do it for the low here, up to -7 currently. U were 14f colder! 6 for a low here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 30 minutes ago, snywx said: U were 14f colder! 6 for a low here Perfect conditions for it. You'll see in the NW thread I post a screenshot that includes Legoland, 7 miles away as the crow flies, almost 19 degree difference. I thought I might have beat KMGJ for once but they got to -9 in between hours. When I was at -8 KMGJ was around 0. Cool stuff, only 2 miles away. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Freezing Drizzle Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 www.njweather.org/maps/mapviewer?mapname=temperature Impressive low temperatures as of 7:15 am in the area around Sussex County. That -37 F in Hackettstown must be an error. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 Got down to 11 here. Fri night I think has a chance to get down to 0 (not in the city). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 Lake Erie is about 95% ice covered. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 Very nice snow extent comeback for North America. https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/smcd/emb/snow/HTML/snow_extent_monitor.html 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 The RNA would be helpful here j would think. Don mentioned that as we go through February and RNA is actually beneficial. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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