January 2026 OBS and Discussion

[SleetStormNJ]

Cue the obligatory Kylo Ren "More" GIF.  Although N&W may want to hold it until later in the week with the model runs.

 

 

[Rjay]

There's no such thing as a jinx in weather.  Thread started. 

[MANDA]

What are we thinking for ratios on this next storm?  

[Winterweatherlover]

Too tired from tracking the last one for this lol. These type of storms also drive me nuts to track because they usually disappear at some point on the models. It obviously has massive potential.

[MANDA]

Melted total for storm just completed 1.55".  Snowfall 13.5".  Storm averaged ratio 8.71/1.  Started out at 20:1 then fell as the event progressed.

Temperature never got above 10 degrees through the entire event.  Hopefully this puts an end to the "it is so cold ratios will be beyond words" stuff.   Cold surface temperatures are not the driving factor in ratios.  Look aloft.  

[Ridgewoodweather125]

What is timing roughly for this storm? Trying to figure out if a flight into EWR first thing Sunday morning still seems feasible if the storm does happen


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[Rjay]

7 minutes ago, Ridgewoodweather125 said:

What is timing roughly for this storm? Trying to figure out if a flight into EWR first thing Sunday morning still seems feasible if the storm does happen


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Saturday night into Sunday but it's 5-6 days away

[Ridgewoodweather125]

3 minutes ago, Rjay said:

Saturday night into Sunday but it's 5-6 days away

Thank you; thinking I may book a flight late Saturday just as protection if it ends up being needed 

[EasternLI]

57 minutes ago, Rjay said:

There's no such thing as a jinx in weather.  Thread started. 

Nice! Rjay threads are usually good luck too lol 

[WeatherGeek2025]

50 minutes ago, MANDA said:

What are we thinking for ratios on this next storm?  

15:1

[North and West]

Cue the obligatory Kylo Ren "More" GIF.  Although N&W may want to hold it until later in the week with the model runs.
 
 

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