January 2026 OBS and Discussion

[donsutherland1]

This morning's snow squall brought Central Park its first measurable snowfall on New Year's Day since 1987. All amounts are preliminary and the final amounts at some of the locations could be higher.

[JerseyWx]

1" here overnight.  Stuck in the mid-20's and windy.

 

[winterwx21]

54 minutes ago, the_other_guy said:

I mean its been BN temp wise and basically normal snow wise. But after last several winters its great. this hasnt been gangbusters tho

10 and a half inches of snow here so far this winter. That's solidly above normal snowfall to this point. 

[Stormlover74]

8 minutes ago, winterwx21 said:

10 and a half inches of snow here so far this winter. That's solidly above normal snowfall to this point. 

Yeah it's at least double where we should be

[forkyfork]

ouch

[SnowGoose69]

1 minute ago, forkyfork said:

ouch

IMO it never made sense with the EPO spike which many of the individual members showed and the GEPS/GEFS had.  

[Neblizzard]

11 minutes ago, forkyfork said:

ouch

Hopefully it verifies.. it’s been too cold. 

[EastonSN+]

1 hour ago, donsutherland1 said:

This morning's snow squall brought Central Park its first measurable snowfall on New Year's Day since 1987. All amounts are preliminary and the final amounts at some of the locations could be higher.

Thanks Don. Last year and this year so far have reminded me a lot of the 80s growing up. Figures.

2018/2019 through 2023/2024 a good representation of the 90s.

[The 4 Seasons]

1 hour ago, donsutherland1 said:

This morning's snow squall brought Central Park its first measurable snowfall on New Year's Day since 1987. All amounts are preliminary and the final amounts at some of the locations could be higher.

Thats just from midnight-7AM or the whole event? looks like its just the calendar day, BDR should def be higher. 

Also, where did you get that from? i was looking for climo sites snowfall totals this morning but the CLI wasn't out yet

[CPcantmeasuresnow]

1 hour ago, donsutherland1 said:

This morning's snow squall brought Central Park its first measurable snowfall on New Year's Day since 1987. All amounts are preliminary and the final amounts at some of the locations could be higher.

The LGA number is a little suspect, especially when looking at the radar.

It's nice to see the Park getting two measurements in a row correct. They have been especially bad the last 4-5 years on the under 1 inch amounts, often times ignoring them or recording a T.

[steve392]

Was very surprised by how much snow fell in a short amount of time.  Looked like  half to 3/4 of an inch.  Enough to make my boxer go insane and not want to come back inside.

These dam winds though... Ooofaa

[donsutherland1]

While some might be tempted to cancel winter with the 12z guidance having few, if any, snow threats beyond mid-January, a snowy December typically favors more snow during January-April than when December is not snowy. I'd take my chances given where things stand.

[donsutherland1]

2 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

Thats just from midnight-7AM or the whole event? looks like its just the calendar day, BDR should def be higher. 

Also, where did you get that from? i was looking for climo sites snowfall totals this morning but the CLI wasn't out yet

Just midnight through 7 am. As noted some locations were still receiving snowfall. A subsequent update should cover the final amounts. Moreover, since I was showing only snowfall from the squall, that omitted the 0.1" that fell at Newark yesterday.

[donsutherland1]

3 minutes ago, CPcantmeasuresnow said:

The LGA number is a little suspect, especially when looking at the radar.

It's nice to see the Park getting two measurements in a row correct. They have been especially bad the last 4-5 years on the under 1 inch amounts, often times ignoring them or recording a T.

That's only through 7 am. I suspect that the final number will show measurable snowfall at LaGuardia.

[greenmtnwx]

55 minutes ago, forkyfork said:

ouch

Euro went much colder. Short warmup but repeated tendency to drive western ridge and east trough. 

[EastonSN+]

10 minutes ago, greenmtnwx said:

Euro went much colder. Short warmup but repeated tendency to drive western ridge and east trough. 

He's just trying to get a rise out of us.

[psv88]

Miserable day. I came down with that cold that’s going around to start the year off the right way. 
 

A thaw would be nice. A few days near 55 with no wind please 

[BlizzLuv]

4 hours ago, Dan76 said:

Roads are bad saw a brand new mustang go right into a pole.

Not uncommon...lol.

[steve392]

Winds howling at ocean grove boardwalk.  Shorts and a hoodie were not proper attire. 

[Prue11]

Ended up with 1.25-1.5” from last night and the squall this morning. Nice blanket of snow to start the year 

[coastalplainsnowman]

3 hours ago, Dark Star said:

I've heard of deer running into cars, but horses running into Slavs?

Dad is that you?

[snowman19]

1 hour ago, SnowGoose69 said:

IMO it never made sense with the EPO spike which many of the individual members showed and the GEPS/GEFS had.  

The op EURO/EPS was absolutely awful with its big west-based -NAO block it kept insisting on for days, run after run for early-mid January, which is totally gone now. A really bad performance with that

[CPcantmeasuresnow]

1 hour ago, psv88 said:

Miserable day. I came down with that cold that’s going around to start the year off the right way. 
 

A thaw would be nice. A few days near 55 with no wind please 

You know what would be even better? An entire January where 50+ never happens, but to each his own.

[bluewave]

24 minutes ago, CPcantmeasuresnow said:

You know what would be even better? An entire January where 50+ never happens, but to each his own.

The last time we were able to pull off that feat was back in 2009.

 

Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ - Month of Jan Lowest Maximum Temperature
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

1	1875	37	0
-	1857	37	1
2	1867	39	0
3	1881	40	0
-	1856	40	0
4	1873	42	0
5	1884	43	0
-	1877	43	0
-	1868	43	0
-	1861	43	0
6	1948	44	0
-	1865	44	1
7	1977	45	0
-	1883	45	0
-	1866	45	0
8	1971	46	0
9	1956	47	0
-	1896	47	0
-	1879	47	0
10	2009	48	0
-	1970	48	0
-	1969	48	0
-	1941	48	0
-	1882	48	0
-	1878	48	0
-	1872	48	0
11	1922	49	1
-	1871	49	0

[Dark Star]

2 hours ago, psv88 said:

Miserable day. I came down with that cold that’s going around to start the year off the right way. 
 

A thaw would be nice. A few days near 55 with no wind please 

Sounds like you are ready to retire to Florida?

[weatherpruf]

2 hours ago, psv88 said:

Miserable day. I came down with that cold that’s going around to start the year off the right way. 
 

A thaw would be nice. A few days near 55 with no wind please 

family dealing with both covid and flu, and daughter getting over unidentified throat infection she had on and off for a month; it took 3 rounds of antibiotics and steroids; she lost her voice too. yet the throat scope with a camera showed hardly anything; all tests were negative and they went after them all, viruses, strep, you name it. i won't mind a few days of warmer conditions so my hands will stop bleeding and i can sleep at night without itching all over from dryness.....then i'll be ready for some more snow, and i don't care what the teleconnections say, so far this winter has snowy written all over it. we'll see.

[bluewave]

2 hours ago, snowman19 said:

The op EURO/EPS was absolutely awful with its big west-based -NAO block it kept insisting on for days, run after run for early-mid January, which is totally gone now. A really bad performance with that

It was too strong with the -NAO and too weak with the Northern Stream of the Pacific Jet into the Pacific NW.

So this lowered heights more out West which allowed the ridge axis to get pushed further to the east.

The big question for mid to late January is exactly where the ridge and trough axis sets up?  

New run

Old run

 

[weatherpruf]

10 minutes ago, Dark Star said:

Sounds like you are ready to retire to Florida?

how would that help misery? florida is a miserable place. folks had a home there for many years. never could stand it. 

[SnoSki14]

2 hours ago, greenmtnwx said:

Euro went much colder. Short warmup but repeated tendency to drive western ridge and east trough. 

EPS would still set up a nice 2nd half after the thaw and honestly given the cold, snowy December it tracks. 

But of course we can't underestimate the northern stream either.

[BoulderWX]

2 hours ago, EastonSN+ said:

He's just trying to get a rise out of us.

It’s a shame because he’s obviously an intelligent poster but because he’s equally as much a troll, he really ruins his credibility with a lot of people on the board. And when he’s wrong he will never admit it - just moves onto his next troll. Sad for him