psv88 Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago 39 minutes ago, Krs4Lfe said: Pattern still looks to very northern stream dominant for the foreseeable future. Lots of low pressure north of Great Lakes and east Canada. Could yield a few light snow events for New England and interior Northeast, but still no signs of any amplified solutions because the northern stream is very dominant. Definitely a cold start to January, but I would put pause on a larger snow event until we can get the western ridge to spike a bit more. If we can get that +PNA, we might be in good shape. Until then, maybe some snow shower events through first week of January, likely nothing more than that Disagree strongly. You can get an amplified storm with only the northern stream. The PNA gives you the track you need for a coastal and the NAO both prevents a cutter and slows down the flow to allow storms to amplify. what we have been missing lately is both the storm track and a blocky flow which allows storms to amplify. This pattern provides that, northern stream or not. Sure we may not get an east coast QPF bomb without some help from the STJ, but we can absolutely see a prolonged period of moderate to higher end events with this pattern. everyone on her know I have no bias when it comes to weather, I’m calling it how I see it. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago Has anyone seen or heard from @Allsnow? He’s usually very active on here during the winter. I really hope he’s ok. Very unusual not to see him posting 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago 10 minutes ago, snowman19 said: Has anyone seen or heard from @Allsnow? He’s usually very active on here during the winter. I really hope he’s ok. Very unusual not to see him posting And usually he posts all year round. This place isn't the same without him. I just sent him a message. Hopefully I'll hear back. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago 35 minutes ago, psv88 said: Disagree strongly. You can get an amplified storm with only the northern stream. The PNA gives you the track you need for a coastal and the NAO both prevents a cutter and slows down the flow to allow storms to amplify. what we have been missing lately is both the storm track and a blocky flow which allows storms to amplify. This pattern provides that, northern stream or not. Sure we may not get an east coast QPF bomb without some help from the STJ, but we can absolutely see a prolonged period of moderate to higher end events with this pattern. everyone on her know I have no bias when it comes to weather, I’m calling it how I see it. Next 5-7 days I don't see anything but something could show up after 1/4 or 1/5. Still think 1/10 or 1/12 and after is where the major risk begins 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago 4 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: Next 5-7 days I don't see anything but something could show up after 1/4 or 1/5. Still think 1/10 or 1/12 and after is where the major risk begins Agreed on the time frame. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 11 minutes ago, winterwx21 said: And usually he posts all year round. This place isn't the same without him. I just sent him a message. Hopefully I'll hear back. He doesnt post on the other forums Weird Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago Oh please god no with the buckle up comments. I fucking hate social media types. They’ve ruined weather 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago Just now, psv88 said: Oh please god no with the buckle up comments. I fucking hate social media types. They’ve ruined weather Only if you let them lol. Don't read them Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 4 minutes ago, MJO812 said: He doesnt post on the other forums Weird But he's always posted here consistently, even during the summer. I thought maybe he decided to take a break from the board for the summer/fall for a change, but now I'm more concerned since he didn't return for the start of the winter. Hopefully he's ok and will return to the board soon. I'll let you guys know if he messages me back. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Krs4Lfe Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 11 minutes ago, MJO812 said: He doesnt post on the other forums Weird Yeah he had great insights on 33andrain.com when the forum was online. I haven't been there since they switched to discord Spring 2023. Do they still exist? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 5 minutes ago, winterwx21 said: But he's always posted here consistently, even during the summer. I thought maybe he decided to take a break from the board for the summer/fall for a change, but now I'm more concerned since he didn't return for the start of the winter. Hopefully he's ok and will return to the board soon. I'll let you guys know if he messages me back. Same. @Allsnow is a good contributor. Hope he's well 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 19 minutes ago, Krs4Lfe said: Yeah he had great insights on 33andrain.com when the forum was online. I haven't been there since they switched to discord Spring 2023. Do they still exist? Yes but not for Debbie Downers 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago Oh please god no with the buckle up comments. I fucking hate social media types. They’ve ruined weather Agreed, love that along with BREAKING Immediately makes me hide them when they show up in my feed.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dark Star Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 8 minutes ago, psv88 said: Yes but not for Debbie Downers 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 36 minutes ago, psv88 said: Oh please god no with the buckle up comments. I fucking hate social media types. They’ve ruined weather Poking my nose in to comment on this. I read your forum a lot for analysis, but don't post, but this one got me thinking. There are new weather terms and phrases are annoying, but the one that gets me the most is "puking snow" when it's snowing heavily. It just sounds stupid...and gross. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 34 minutes ago, Krs4Lfe said: Yeah he had great insights on 33andrain.com when the forum was online. I haven't been there since they switched to discord Spring 2023. Do they still exist? Yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 9 minutes ago, Voyager said: Poking my nose in to comment on this. I read your forum a lot for analysis, but don't post, but this one got me thinking. There are new weather terms and phrases are annoying, but the one that gets me the most is "puking snow" when it's snowing heavily. It just sounds stupid...and gross. That and "getting crushed" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago Mood flakes 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago Explosive pattern on the models in early to mid January with a nice ridge out west and lots of blocking. The STJ is also waking up. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 53 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Explosive pattern on the models in early to mid January with a nice ridge out west and lots of blocking. The STJ is also waking up. We've heard all that before. One day at a time 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uofmiami Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 12 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: We've heard all that before. One day at a time Agree Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 3 hours ago, snowman19 said: Has anyone seen or heard from @Allsnow? He’s usually very active on here during the winter. I really hope he’s ok. Very unusual not to see him posting He's doing fine 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
etudiant Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 9 minutes ago, Rjay said: He's doing fine Happy to hear that. AllSnow had a distinctive voice in these forums, it is missed. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sussexcountyobs Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago The blizzard of 96' happened in the exact same pattern we'll be in going into 2nd week of January. Just about 30 years to the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Euro long range is suggesting a pattern change closer to mid-month as a storm tracks further south and then northeast into our neck of the woods Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 14 minutes ago, NEG NAO said: Euro long range is suggesting a pattern change closer to mid-month as a storm tracks further south and then northeast into our neck of the woods EPS looks really good Jan 5 onward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 3 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: EPS looks really good Jan 5 onward. Why anyone would post an operational 288 map is beyond me. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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