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January 2026 OBS and Discussion

TriPol

By TriPol,
in New York City Metro

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psv88

psv88

Posted
Posted
39 minutes ago, Krs4Lfe said:

Pattern still looks to very northern stream dominant for the foreseeable future. Lots of low pressure north of Great Lakes and east Canada. Could yield a few light snow events for New England and interior Northeast, but still no signs of any amplified solutions because the northern stream is very dominant. Definitely a cold start to January, but I would put pause on a larger snow event until we can get the western ridge to spike a bit more. If we can get that +PNA, we might be in good shape. Until then, maybe some snow shower events through first week of January, likely nothing more than that 

Disagree strongly. You can get an amplified storm with only the northern stream. The PNA gives you the track you need for a coastal and the NAO both prevents a cutter and slows down the flow to allow storms to amplify. 
 

what we have been missing lately is both the storm track and a blocky flow which allows storms to amplify. This pattern provides that, northern stream or not. 
 

Sure we may not get an east coast QPF bomb without some help from the STJ, but we can absolutely see a prolonged period of moderate to higher end events with this pattern. 
 

everyone on her know I have no bias when it comes to weather, I’m calling it how I see it. 

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winterwx21

winterwx21

Posted
Posted
10 minutes ago, snowman19 said:

Has anyone seen or heard from @Allsnow? He’s usually very active on here during the winter. I really hope he’s ok. Very unusual not to see him posting

And usually he posts all year round. This place isn't the same without him. I just sent him a message. Hopefully I'll hear back. 

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SnowGoose69

SnowGoose69

Posted
Posted
35 minutes ago, psv88 said:

Disagree strongly. You can get an amplified storm with only the northern stream. The PNA gives you the track you need for a coastal and the NAO both prevents a cutter and slows down the flow to allow storms to amplify. 
 

what we have been missing lately is both the storm track and a blocky flow which allows storms to amplify. This pattern provides that, northern stream or not. 
 

Sure we may not get an east coast QPF bomb without some help from the STJ, but we can absolutely see a prolonged period of moderate to higher end events with this pattern. 
 

everyone on her know I have no bias when it comes to weather, I’m calling it how I see it. 

Next 5-7 days I don't see anything but something could show up after 1/4 or 1/5.  Still think 1/10 or 1/12 and after is where the major risk begins 

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winterwx21

winterwx21

Posted
Posted
4 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

He doesnt post on the other forums 

Weird

But he's always posted here consistently, even during the summer. I thought maybe he decided to take a break from the board for the summer/fall for a change, but now I'm more concerned since he didn't return for the start of the winter. Hopefully he's ok and will return to the board soon. I'll let you guys know if he messages me back. 

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Krs4Lfe

Krs4Lfe

Posted
Posted
11 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

He doesnt post on the other forums 

Weird

Yeah he had great insights on 33andrain.com when the forum was online. I haven't been there since they switched to discord Spring 2023. Do they still exist?

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jm1220

jm1220

Posted
Posted
5 minutes ago, winterwx21 said:

But he's always posted here consistently, even during the summer. I thought maybe he decided to take a break from the board for the summer/fall for a change, but now I'm more concerned since he didn't return for the start of the winter. Hopefully he's ok and will return to the board soon. I'll let you guys know if he messages me back. 

Same. @Allsnow is a good contributor. Hope he's well

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Voyager

Voyager

Posted
Posted
36 minutes ago, psv88 said:

Oh please god no with the buckle up comments. I fucking hate social media types. They’ve ruined weather 

Poking my nose in to comment on this. I read your forum a lot for analysis, but don't post, but this one got me thinking.

There are new weather terms and phrases are annoying, but the one that gets me the most is "puking snow" when it's snowing heavily. It just sounds stupid...and gross.

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IrishRob17

IrishRob17

Posted
Posted
9 minutes ago, Voyager said:

Poking my nose in to comment on this. I read your forum a lot for analysis, but don't post, but this one got me thinking.

There are new weather terms and phrases are annoying, but the one that gets me the most is "puking snow" when it's snowing heavily. It just sounds stupid...and gross.

That and "getting crushed"

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