White Christmas Miracle? December 23-24th

[SouthCoastMA]

4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Of course, while the follow up event shifts south.

I didn't see that on the 12z GFS, comparing to 6z. looked closer to downeast on inverted trough, and further north for Saturdays storm. 

[ORH_wxman]

Not buying GFS at all. 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Canadian is paltry. Like 1” east, maybe 2” west. Very weak system.

[WinterWolf]

24 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Not buying GFS at all. 

So now at 24 hrs out, we can’t trust a big player varsity model?  What good is this thing?  Lol. 

[moneypitmike]

Canadian moves everything northeast.

[ORH_wxman]

1 minute ago, WinterWolf said:

So now at 24 hrs out, we can’t trust a big player varsity model?  What good is this thing?  Lol. 

Usually a good idea to toss outliers. GFS is just much juicier than most other guidance. If Euro juices up a decent amount then I'd probably be more intrigued. 

[WinterWolf]

Just now, ORH_wxman said:

Usually a good idea to toss outliers. GFS is just much juicier than most other guidance. If Euro juices up a decent amount then I'd probably be more intrigued. 

Doesn’t say much for the GFS.

[FXWX]

2 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said:

I’d guess the whole state cancels .. maybe not SE coast ?

Probably... Trouble with the southeast CT is that some of the districts extend well inland?  Either way, probably lots of cancellations based on timing and already shortened day in play...

[40/70 Benchmark]

45 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said:

I didn't see that on the 12z GFS, comparing to 6z. looked closer to downeast on inverted trough, and further north for Saturdays storm. 

I mean south from a few days ago, when it was hitting this area.

[powderfreak]

Starting to think we might be able to pull warning amounts.  Classic tide-in and tide-out type event.  First SE flow then NW flow, dragging moisture over the northern mountains.

[moneypitmike]

New maps.

 

[mahk_webstah]

1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said:

Not buying GFS at all. 

Well, good. Maybe I’ll get it on a discount.

[mahk_webstah]

I still think up here that 3 inches is a win

[WxWatcher007]

Beautiful vibe shift around here. Let’s bring it home.

[moneypitmike]

Oh no they didn't......

..WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations greater than
  6 inches possible. Isolated amounts near one foot possible.

[ORH_wxman]

Euro looks like it juiced up a little for eastern areas tomorrow. 
 

It also tries to clip E MA coast with the IVT Christmas Eve. 

[WinterWolf]

1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

Euro looks like it juiced up a little for eastern areas tomorrow. 
 

It also tries to clip E MA coast with the IVT Christmas Eve. 

GFS may not be out to lunch after all…

[ORH_wxman]

Just now, WinterWolf said:

GFS may not be out to lunch after all…

Well Euro was far less than GFS in central and western areas. It was only a little less in eastern areas this run. I hope the GFS is correct since it’s a widespread 3-5” deal but I’m still fairly skeptical. I think 1-3” would still be my forecast right now. 

[moneypitmike]

Yes please.

[MaineJayhawk]

1 minute ago, moneypitmike said:

Yes please.

Pemaquid Pummeler

[Sey-Mour Snow]

3 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

GFS may not be out to lunch after all…

GFS still way more than EURO for CT. CT is like coating to 1 on EURO, 2-5" on GFS 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Euro looks okay here. I’m skeptical of warmth holding down totals in this area.

Euro has less than an inch here, but I figure we’d do a couple with that look.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

6 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

GFS may not be out to lunch after all…

It just may though. We don’t know. 

[moneypitmike]

Tasty p/c

 

Tuesday

Snow likely, mainly after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 32. Calm wind becoming east around 5 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New snow accumulation of less than one inch possible.

Tuesday Night

Snow. The snow could be heavy at times. Low around 21. East wind 5 to 10 mph becoming north after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 4 to 8 inches possible.

Wednesday

Snow likely, mainly before 9am. The snow could be heavy at times. Partly sunny, with a high near 31. North wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible.

[weatherwiz]

PWM crushed on GFS for sure. Bufkit is pretty impressive there. If that inv trough does take shape and evolve as hinted, someone is going to get crushed. This argues for a foot 

[dryslot]

We take

[Damage In Tolland]

11 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

GFS still way more than EURO for CT. CT is like coating to 1 on EURO, 2-5" on GFS 

Euros had 2-3 around here for a bunch of runs 

[mahk_webstah]

12 minutes ago, MaineJayhawk said:

Pemaquid Pummeler

Damariscotta Destroyah

[moneypitmike]

1 minute ago, mahk_webstah said:

Damariscotta Destroyah

Woolwich whooping

[The 4 Seasons]

2 hours ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Full SNE. 
Pretty much the same as the first call from yesterday though shifted the 1-3 line farther away from the coast in SE areas and up 91 low elevation areas.