12/2 Cold Rain and High Elevation Snow

[TSSN+]

Nam and euro just a bit different at h5…

 

[Weather Will]

Aren't the NAMs going away next month?  I don't know why they don't just put them to rest.

[Weather Will]

WB 12Z RRFS is the NAM replacement, I think.

[MillvilleWx]

45 minutes ago, EastCoast NPZ said:

I like how you changed the arc of your line just in time to keep it just north of stephens city. Lol

That area is where the drop in elevation starts out of Winchester. Could very well be wrong, but this setup has happened historically, much to your chagrin, so I went that route. I do think you could see an inch out that way, but better chance just north. 

[bncho]

32 minutes ago, Terpeast said:

I think euro is the only model showing such a depiction. Either it will cave, or all the other models will cave to the euro. I think we will know with tonight’s 00z runs. 

who do you think has a better handle on the solution right now?

[Maestrobjwa]

52 minutes ago, Terpeast said:

I think euro is the only model showing such a depiction. Either it will cave, or all the other models will cave to the euro. I think we will know with tonight’s 00z runs. 

Given how terribly did with the February threat...I'm not trusting it, lol

[Terpeast]

20 minutes ago, bncho said:

who do you think has a better handle on the solution right now?

Euro/eps doing best with general pattern, but not sure about thermals. Could turn out to be flatter/weaker but warmer like gfs/nam.