Chambana Posted December 31, 2025 Share Posted December 31, 2025 First half of January is toast. The blistering hot start to winter has come to a screeching halt. Signs of a more active and colder second half of January though, we shall see. Pretty disheartening to be wasting peak winter like this. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frog Town Posted December 31, 2025 Share Posted December 31, 2025 Just need to keep that -NAO in check so we don't end of CAD...In this pattern, a weaker -NAO(with all other things being equal) is a what we want. I know the east coasters hate this but what's good for them is not necessarily good for us. -NAO is good for us when it comes to maintaining a winter like pattern locally, but ideally after we have a deep snow pack. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted December 31, 2025 Author Share Posted December 31, 2025 3 hours ago, Frog Town said: Just need to keep that -NAO in check so we don't end of CAD...In this pattern, a weaker -NAO(with all other things being equal) is a what we want. I know the east coasters hate this but what's good for them is not necessarily good for us. -NAO is good for us when it comes to maintaining a winter like pattern locally, but ideally after we have a deep snow pack. Agree. If we can kick off cold with a big storm than get a cold clipper pattern, that's all good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frog Town Posted December 31, 2025 Share Posted December 31, 2025 1 hour ago, michsnowfreak said: Agree. If we can kick off cold with a big storm than get a cold clipper pattern, that's all good. Exactly! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 31, 2025 Share Posted December 31, 2025 Looks like the next system of note will be a rainer around Jan 9th-10th. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frog Town Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 43 minutes ago, cyclone77 said: Looks like the next system of note will be a rainer around Jan 9th-10th. Seems like that's been progged pretty well and is apparently part of the pattern change mid-January that everyone is banking on. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 Clipper on the 6th still has my attention. Then a rainer, and then maybe something better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DocATL Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 GFS bringing on spring. Some decent soakers toward the latter part of the run. Probably get punished for this come late January but for now it’s a warm look. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 New year, same old zzzzzs 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 Apparently, the Euro weeklies are showing plenty of snow and cold across the midwest from mid January to early February. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frog Town Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 1 hour ago, hawkeye_wx said: Apparently, the Euro weeklies are showing plenty of snow and cold across the midwest from mid January to early February. I can be patient and wait 10 days for this pattern flip that seems to be modeled pretty well on just about everything, but I'm hoping it lasts for a few weeks. Hate to wait 10 days for something that lasts 5... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 Euro looks like crickets through mid month. We'll probably get 2 weeks of action at the end of Jan, and then another 5-6 weeks of CAD/Michigan clippers through early March. 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
roardog Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 Overall in the means the pattern has definitely been different than what we’ve seem from the mid 2010s until recently. It seems like it was just about impossible to get sustained western US ridging for many years. Alek always used to post about how it’s always wet in this new climate. We’ve seen some deviation from that recently too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 Don’t worry it’ll be in the 30’s/40’s in mid April in SEMI 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 4 minutes ago, roardog said: Overall in the means the pattern has definitely been different than what we’ve seem from the mid 2010s until recently. It seems like it was just about impossible to get sustained western US ridging for many years. Alek always used to post about how it’s always wet in this new climate. We’ve seen some deviation from that recently too. I just had Cold And Wet this December - that's a welcomed change. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 Took a peak at the euro...rough, real rough 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostfern Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 7 hours ago, dmc76 said: Don’t worry it’ll be in the 30’s/40’s in mid April in SEMI I need to bank on warmer spring months to offset boring thunderless summers lately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torchageddon Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 2 hours ago, frostfern said: I need to bank on warmer spring months to offset boring thunderless summers lately. Still amused that my best t-storms now are in April not mid-summer. This may be the case in other parts of the US but historically not here with the lakes being as cold as they are and other reasons. There has been only 1 storm that struck fear in me mid-summer in the last 5-8 years and it was that cell that moved from the NW. This pattern has been anything but boring in the belts - great for LES here, I'm getting more than pegged. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 18 hours ago, dmc76 said: Don’t worry it’ll be in the 30’s/40’s in mid April in SEMI Its good to see you've come over to the dark side with me. 6 years plus since detroits seen a storm over 8 inches I think. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DocATL Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 Ensembles are ugly as all hell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 Remember the hot start? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 Sub 30" seasonal totals will be tough with 2.5 months worth of nickle dimer chances left. Already at 20" here for the season. Another week or 2 window of opportunity will probably reveal itself before mid March. However N.IL was pretty much ground zero for the 1st window; doubt it happens for the 2nd window. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DocATL Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 Remember the hot start?Never a harbinger, always a curse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 Never a harbinger, always a curse.incorrect. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 On 1/1/2026 at 9:21 AM, cyclone77 said: Euro looks like crickets through mid month. We'll probably get 2 weeks of action at the end of Jan, and then another 5-6 weeks of CAD/Michigan clippers through early March. It's definitely michsnowfreak's time for sure this winter Nickel & dimed to death, but mostly consistent snowcover and cold, lol... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DocATL Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 incorrect.lol…I figured that was coming. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 February will be rocking is always a joke until it isn't 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 looking forward to our 7 days o winter in early Feb!!!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 37 minutes ago, ILSNOW said: looking forward to our 7 days o winter in early Feb!!!! You already had 14 days…. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 17 minutes ago, Baum said: You already had 14 days…. technically our week of winter occurred in the fall. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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