Damage In Tolland Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 49 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: 12z HRRR went wild with ice here.. even half would be fun .. GFS also came in colder at 12z Just keep the rain cold enough so the pack stays here. Y’all up there should get some good icing 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 16 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: HRRR likes ice BDL Got to think one of these times these icing events will pan out; this makes sense 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 46 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: He’s cocky too. He’s gone after me for a few things and I just LOL’d. He's had a rough year. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago WWA out for ice 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago I'm starting to get worried about quite an ice storm in parts of New England tomorrow night and Monday. I have not looked at other models but QPF seems to increase up here each run with over 1" liquid. Almost all freezing rain. I'm not sure how accurate these Weather bell clown maps are for ZR but .50 to 1.00 of ice would cause quite a bit of damage and CAD always rules. Even a brief few hours of above freezing would not melt all that ice before high winds and cold returns. Snowstorms get all the attention, but ice storms are brutal, especially for me on top of a hill with only one way out. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: WWA out for ice I just posted about this. I have to look up to see what the parameters are for an Ice Storm Warning to be issued for parts of New England 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Might get some warnings up here. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago I am not interested in getting >0.75” of freezing rain. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 14 minutes ago, wxeyeNH said: I just posted about this. I have to look up to see what the parameters are for an Ice Storm Warning to be issued for parts of New England You guys up in NNE should get some good icing . You being up on a hilltop may help as the valleys lock in the cold. I’m not that familiar with your topography and how these situations work there , but around here with in situ CAD valleys get the longest icing . Dendy I’m sure can assist . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: You guys up in NNE should get some good icing . You being up on a hilltop may help as the valleys lock in the cold. I’m not that familiar with your topography and how these situations work there , but around here with in situ CAD valleys get the longest icing . Dendy I’m sure can assist . We got slammed in 1998 and I think in 2008. Lake level down below is 590 feet. I'm at 1100 but only a dirt road one way up here in winter. Our town only has 1000 people and the highway dept just sent out a notice that our sander broke but the plow truck is fine. That won't help me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Wintry morning. Suns out now. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitz Craver Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago I can hope the valley cold is tougher to scour out than modeled. But once that warm push takes over it’s like a hairdryer set on hot just nuking everything. It’s a shame, my local ski hill looks like Jay Peak right now, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago not enough QPF for ice storm warnings and we aren’t advecting in colder temps / lower dews so its more of an in situ icing with a slow climb to 32 sure it will be icy in NNE but think it will fall short of being that destructive 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 17 minutes ago, wxeyeNH said: We got slammed in 1998 and I think in 2008. Lake level down below is 590 feet. I'm at 1100 but only a dirt road one way up here in winter. Our town only has 1000 people and the highway dept just sent out a notice that our sander broke but the plow truck is fine. That won't help me. We had a very localized icestorm here two winters ago where literally the two hilltops in town near or over 1k had under .50 accretion but the next morning big winds hit with 50-60mph gusts and all hell broke loose. The rest of the town had zero ice. Every house in the neighborhood lost at least one tree or had large limbs down, of course I was in heaven but that’s how I’m programmed . Big winds on thickly iced trees is wild . https://imgur.com/a/zQzYoDx#7PlJaSM https://imgur.com/a/zQzYoDx#mbAc3Hu https://imgur.com/a/zQzYoDx#WFHuic1 https://imgur.com/a/zQzYoDx#oVK4yun https://imgur.com/a/zQzYoDx#OTESvFN 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 9 minutes ago, ma blizzard said: not enough QPF for ice storm warnings and we aren’t advecting in colder temps / lower dews so its more of an in situ icing with a slow climb to 32 sure it will be icy in NNE but think it will fall short of being that destructive Agree. There were some runs with more of a meso low in the Gulf of Maine, but thats trended northward and slower to develop 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted 40 minutes ago Share Posted 40 minutes ago Yeah I agree with both of you. I think Gene may get more prolonged icing than most given his elevation up at Newfound, but this won’t be anything historical. I doubt there’s much accretion after early/mid Monday morning so 1/3-1/2” QPF won’t be a big deal outage/damage wise…although the Monday AM commute will probably be a disaster. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted 37 minutes ago Share Posted 37 minutes ago 2 minutes ago, dendrite said: Yeah I agree with both of you. I think Gene may get more prolonged icing than most given his elevation up at Newfound, but this won’t be anything historical. I doubt there’s much accretion after early/mid Monday morning so 1/3-1/2” QPF won’t be a big deal outage/damage wise…although the Monday AM commute will probably be a disaster. 93 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChangeofSeasonsWX Posted 33 minutes ago Share Posted 33 minutes ago When was the last time that far south areas like PVD experienced a significant ice storm? From what I can find the last one was 1973. Based on the problems that they cause I'm not sure I'd want to see another one, I'm just surprised that the return rate for ice storms is lower than the return rate for hurricanes. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted 28 minutes ago Share Posted 28 minutes ago 7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: 93 You know it’s comin 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted 19 minutes ago Share Posted 19 minutes ago 1 hour ago, SJonesWX said: I am not interested in getting >0.75” of freezing rain. You must be mistaken? DIT says everyone is down with damaging ice events. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted 7 minutes ago Share Posted 7 minutes ago 3 hours ago, ineedsnow said: 12z HRRR went wild with ice here.. even half would be fun .. GFS also came in colder at 12z Oh hell nah. Pass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted 3 minutes ago Share Posted 3 minutes ago 3 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said: Oh hell nah. Pass. Those are typically overdone by a ton 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted 1 minute ago Share Posted 1 minute ago 3 hours ago, CoastalWx said: He’s cocky too. He’s gone after me for a few things and I just LOL’d. Definitely more Tool than any of the tools in my garage Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted just now Share Posted just now 1 minute ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Those are typically overdone by a ton yeah thats a straight rip and read of how much QPF falls as rain with temps below 32, not how much will actually accrete Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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