November 2025 general discussions and probable topic derailings ...

[Go Kart Mozart]

4 hours ago, tavwtby said:

climate breakdown? sounds like a great time to me, and granted a little early in the season, but climate breakdown??? i need explanation.

-40c at 500mb, with up to 1,000 j/kg of CAPE.  Really amazing stuff.  Check out the mini snow-canes developing over Lake MI.

[MJO812]

Watch this timeframe for New England

[dendrite]

1 minute ago, MJO812 said:

Watch this timeframe for New England

Wraparound. Quick…somebody text Ray.

[CoastalWx]

13 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Looks like they reeled that in some

Yeah I’m not sure if those exorbitant amounts will be met.

[Snowcrazed71]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

Yeah I’m not sure if those exorbitant amounts will be met.

Even if they only get half of those amounts, it it's still a nice amount of snow on November 10th and 11th for that area and I'm sure no one will complain.

(I know we wouldn't complain if we were getting that right now)

[ROOSTA]

I am officially homeless. No vehicle, basically no nothing. I have gone full circle here in Florida. I'm now in an RV situated in back of the cabin I purchased moved into, new roof new water purifier, stove,washer dryer, refrigerator also had a pool installed. 

No matter what is going on in your life know that you really don't have it that bad.

[tavwtby]

8 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Wraparound. Quick…somebody text Ray.

yeah the Mon/Tue looked like a decent sig 10 days ago also, hopefully we get one to stick inside of 72 hours with high confidence otherwise is model porn...and the southern lake Michigan shore amounts have come down a bit huh, I was seeing 12-18", and it's still impressive but over a foot would be a huge early season win for that area.

[MJO812]

14 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Wraparound. Quick…somebody text Ray.

Nice block during this time frame 

[Baroclinic Zone]

8 minutes ago, ROOSTA said:

I am officially homeless. No vehicle, basically no nothing. I have gone full circle here in Florida. I'm now in an RV situated in back of the cabin I purchased moved into, new roof new water purifier, stove,washer dryer, refrigerator also had a pool installed. 

No matter what is going on in your life know that you really don't have it that bad.

Don

This breaks my heart. What can we do to help? 

[Damage In Tolland]

25 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Watch this timeframe for New England

Watch this one into the fanny

[Damage In Tolland]

Should be first snow showers for much of SNE Tuesday 

[Chrisrotary12]

Just missed. Too bad

[SouthCoastMA]

some rotation

[MJO812]

32 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Watch this one into the fanny

Winter coming 

[Typhoon Tip]

50 minutes ago, ROOSTA said:

I am officially homeless. No vehicle, basically no nothing. I have gone full circle here in Florida. I'm now in an RV situated in back of the cabin I purchased moved into, new roof new water purifier, stove,washer dryer, refrigerator also had a pool installed. 

No matter what is going on in your life know that you really don't have it that bad.

Not to make light of what you feel your situation is ... or is in fact, but doesn't that ( bold ) qualify as a home?

[HIPPYVALLEY]

52 minutes ago, ROOSTA said:

I am officially homeless. No vehicle, basically no nothing. I have gone full circle here in Florida. I'm now in an RV situated in back of the cabin I purchased moved into, new roof new water purifier, stove,washer dryer, refrigerator also had a pool installed. 

No matter what is going on in your life know that you really don't have it that bad.

What the hell? That’s terrible! So sorry to hear that.  Can you start a GoFundMe and post the link here so we can help out?

[Baroclinic Zone]

12 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said:

some rotation

That’s a nasty line given the date

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

That’s a nasty line given the date

10”/hrrain rate en route 

[Typhoon Tip]

Looked like a polar low was trying to generate as it rolled down eastern Lake Michigan a couple of hours ago.  

fascinating

[Baroclinic Zone]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

10”/hrrain rate en route 

[SJonesWX]

2 hours ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

All the way up? 
64F for high here.

sarcasm

[SouthCoastMA]

10 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

That’s a nasty line given the date

approaching 2"..wasn't expecting that much

[Typhoon Tip]

1 hour ago, MJO812 said:

Watch this timeframe for New England

Can't say I actually disagree here ...   whether this chart about actually occurs in related, the time frame in question is vulnerable to early season winter expression.  This has been very consistent in the numerical teleconnectors, with a lowering -(AO/NAO).

   

The AO and NAO share domain space; they are not exactly collocated.  The NAO appears to be weighting the AO down when looking at the different ensembles spatial depictions of the H500 hgt anomalies, the expression of which are also setting up over the western limb ( E/NE Canada/ Baffin Island/ D. Straight ...etc) of the NAO domain. The cyclone genesis/track correlation for that type is S of of.   

The problems are the notoriously poor handling of the NAO in terms of spatial layout nuances and amplitude.  It makes it less useful as a forecast planning tool as say the PNA, which given to it's massive size, tends to be change slower, making it more reliable ( bigger objects taking longer to change and so forth )  Lot of concepts to juggle here ...I know. 

The operational runs have been fiddling with the notion of above ... hinting in then abandoning, then back in with it... fits that notoriety of being an unruly index.  But, so long as the signal is there in both numerical and synoptical presentation, the probability for a cold system type during that period is > than daily climatology. 

[Cyclone-68]

1 hour ago, ROOSTA said:

I am officially homeless. No vehicle, basically no nothing. I have gone full circle here in Florida. I'm now in an RV situated in back of the cabin I purchased moved into, new roof new water purifier, stove,washer dryer, refrigerator also had a pool installed. 

No matter what is going on in your life know that you really don't have it that bad.

I’m so sorry..I’ll keep you in my thoughts and hopefully your situation will improve 

[kdxken]

1 hour ago, SouthCoastMA said:

approaching 2"..wasn't expecting that much

Some big totals in the usual spots. 

 

 

[jbenedet]

Another +3 high in the books.

[CoastalWx]

7 minutes ago, jbenedet said:

Another +3 high in the books.

Yeah, first since yesterday.