November 2025 OBS Discussion

[psv88]

1 hour ago, jm1220 said:

Thought we could get below freezing with the CAA continuing overnight-oh well. Flurries are nice to see.

Dropped to 31.9 here…I guess that counts! I had my doubts last night about dropping much lower, these setups usually underperform temp wise. 

[ForestHillWx]

Had ice in any potters that I didn’t empty from the rain the night before. 

[SACRUS]

 

Dep through the 1/3 of Nov (10th)


EWR: +3
JFK: +2.2
NYC: +2.2
LGA: + 1.9
 

[qg_omega]

 pattern looks to break down in a week or so to much milder

[MJO812]

1 minute ago, qg_omega said:

 pattern looks to break down in a week or so to much milder

This is expected 

[Sundog]

4 minutes ago, qg_omega said:

 pattern looks to break down in a week or so to much milder

I don't see much milder. What's much milder? Milder than today? Sure. 

But there are no torches on the horizon, neither on the OPs or ensembles. 

[George001]

1 hour ago, MJO812 said:

This is expected 

Yeah I remember most guidance had November finishing with normal to slightly above normal temps. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

Good luck down there this year, guys. I know many of @bluewave and @TheClimateChanger's posts are grating to read for a winter enthusiast, but the truth is that I think my work is much better for trying to make a more concerted effort to incorporate CC into the forecasts because there is no question it's having an impact. That doesn't mean you have to agree with 100% of their takes; I certainly don't, but tolerance for different viewpoints is the most powerful tool in anyone's arsenal.

[40/70 Benchmark]

2 hours ago, MJO812 said:

This is expected 

So is death, are you waiting for it with baited breath?

[IrishRob17]

23 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

 tolerance for different viewpoints is the most powerful tool in anyone's arsenal.

Violently agree.