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The return of the elusive Nor'easter. Drought buster or bust?


dailylurker
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4 hours ago, CAPE said:

There are differences in timing/location of the northern stream vorticity digging southeastward from the GLs. GFS involves it more and sooner than the Euro. Seems to capture the southern piece of energy, encouraging a more consolidated surface low with a track more westward.

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Yup. We were discussing this overnight as well about the handling of 5H. My hunch is we’ll be sneaking closer to the ECMWF solutions where it’ll rain but could very well support a minima from northeast NC up to the Lower Shore before picking back up closer to 40N. Sounds familiar, right? :wacko:

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14 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said:

Yup. We were discussing this overnight as well about the handling of 5H. My hunch is we’ll be sneaking closer to the ECMWF solutions where it’ll rain but could very well support a minima from northeast NC up to the Lower Shore before picking back up closer to 40N. Sounds familiar, right? :wacko:

tl;dr Congrats New England :lol:

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1 hour ago, SomeguyfromTakomaPark said:

GFS is just warming up to get waxed all winter by the Euro. 

Except when the euro shows a massive snow storm and gfs doesn’t and then the gfs is right. Like last years Feb event. 

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1 hour ago, MillvilleWx said:

Yup. We were discussing this overnight as well about the handling of 5H. My hunch is we’ll be sneaking closer to the ECMWF solutions where it’ll rain but could very well support a minima from northeast NC up to the Lower Shore before picking back up closer to 40N. Sounds familiar, right? :wacko:

OMG I just LLLLOOVVVEEEEE Ninas!

 

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Just now, Interstate said:

It is comical looking over this board for a rainstorm.  I cannot wait until Winter.

Well if we can remember to just not believe any model solution that shows something un-nina like, and just not believe any solution in general until at the most 48 hours...we'll be good, lol

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