Spooky Season (October Disco Thread)

[dryslot]

No more installs/uninstalls.

[Lava Rock]

9 minutes ago, dryslot said:

No more installs/uninstalls.

love our heat pump in the summer, but cleaned it earlier in the year and it's hard to get all of the mold and stuff out of the thing

[dryslot]

6 minutes ago, Lava Rock said:

love our heat pump in the summer, but cleaned it earlier in the year and it's hard to get all of the mold and stuff out of the thing

My nephew is the one that did my install, We will let him do the cleaning......lol

[jsw]

This is odd, because relative humidity now here is 79 percent, dewpoint 60. Yes, it is dry, but Special Weather Statements says low humidity exacerbates the problem today. Maybe drying air as it clears up? But, yeah, a half inch of rain will be very beneficial here.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Albany NY
229 AM EDT Tue Oct 7 2025

VTZ013>015-072100-
Bennington-Western Windham-Eastern Windham-
229 AM EDT Tue Oct 7 2025

...Fire Weather Concerns Exist Across Southern Vermont Today...

Fine fuels remain very dry across Vermont today according to the
Vermont Department of Forests, Parks and Recreation. Across
southern Vermont, relative humidity values will be as low as 50
percent, while south to southwest winds will gust between 20 and
25 mph. If any fires were to start, the weather and fuel
conditions could cause fires to quickly spread and become
difficult to contain.

For more information about the current fire danger rating, any burn
restrictions, and wildfire prevention and education, please visit
the Vermont forestry or environmental protection website.

$$

---

 

[moneypitmike]

43 minutes ago, Hailstoned said:

Happiness is never having had to go through the bother and hassle of "installing" in the first place...

Second place in happiness is recognizing it only takes 5 minutes to install an AC and 3 minutes to uninstall one.

Making it sound like an annual event is comical.i

[40/70 Benchmark]

54 minutes ago, Hailstoned said:

Happiness is never having had to go through the bother and hassle of "installing" in the first place...

Central air, baby.

[dendrite]

22 minutes ago, jsw said:

This is odd, because relative humidity now here is 79 percent, dewpoint 60. Yes, it is dry, but Special Weather Statements says low humidity exacerbates the problem today. Maybe drying air as it clears up? But, yeah, a half inch of rain will be very beneficial here.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Albany NY
229 AM EDT Tue Oct 7 2025

VTZ013>015-072100-
Bennington-Western Windham-Eastern Windham-
229 AM EDT Tue Oct 7 2025

...Fire Weather Concerns Exist Across Southern Vermont Today...

Fine fuels remain very dry across Vermont today according to the
Vermont Department of Forests, Parks and Recreation. Across
southern Vermont, relative humidity values will be as low as 50
percent, while south to southwest winds will gust between 20 and
25 mph. If any fires were to start, the weather and fuel
conditions could cause fires to quickly spread and become
difficult to contain.

For more information about the current fire danger rating, any burn
restrictions, and wildfire prevention and education, please visit
the Vermont forestry or environmental protection website.

$$

---

 

Most sites in VT are under 50% already

[Snowedin]

Another beauty out there today..77f and just blissful. Reminds me of mid April minus some daylight. Would love to keep this going for at least a month but it’ll return when we least expect it. 

[tamarack]

14 hours ago, psv88 said:

Any snow yet in NNE? Climo for first snowfall must be soon for many up there 

Katahdin has been whitened above tree line and maybe the lower mts also, but here in the foothills only in 1999 did I see a trace this early. 
Average 1st trace is 10/28, 1st measurable 11/10 and 1st 1"+ 11/21.

More recently, yesterday's high of 82 is the warmest in our 28 Octobers, 2° above the previous record set on 10/9/2011.  That 82 is 22° AN.

[weatherwiz]

If that evolution plays out it will certainly put a dent in the rainfall deficits 

[weatherwiz]

I mean we'll have to see how quickly occlusion would occur...GFS is on the slower side with it but that's a pretty good rain maker setup and would probably be a stripe of some impressive totals somewhere. 

[CoastalWx]

GFS says we pour and blow

[weatherwiz]

Could also be an early season near blizzard within Montana and western North Dakota. Helluva shortwave trough digging in there

[SouthCoastMA]

The GFS is ass for the weekend. Hopefully the Euro is closer to being correct

[weatherwiz]

2 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said:

The GFS is ass for the weekend. Hopefully the Euro is closer to being correct

Substantial differences with the northern energy lol and subsequently how the two interact. 

God I feel like we're dealing with winter .

[Ginx snewx]

4 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

Substantial differences with the northern energy lol and subsequently how the two interact. 

God I feel like we're dealing with winter .

LBSW

[weatherwiz]

Just now, Ginx snewx said:

LBSW

Potentially, but verbatim that wouldn't be the case. The GFS takes its sweet time occluding the storm and we have a strong feed of warm/moist llvl air feeding into the region with the llvl warm front right along the coast and 700 warm front farther inland. That would be a recipe for some heavy rainfall across all of SNE...but as occlusion begins to occur we would start seeing the shield breakup a bit. 

[Ginx snewx]

3 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

Potentially, but verbatim that wouldn't be the case. The GFS takes its sweet time occluding the storm and we have a strong feed of warm/moist llvl air feeding into the region with the llvl warm front right along the coast and 700 warm front farther inland. That would be a recipe for some heavy rainfall across all of SNE...but as occlusion begins to occur we would start seeing the shield breakup a bit. 

GFS though its way on its own

[amarshall]

Social media is hype sitting for the next few weeks.  All of the buzzwords. 

[Typhoon Tip]

op appears to be a bit of an amplified outlier with that.  

It's an odd evolution either way.  It's not really part of the main wave circuitry propagating around the hemisphere. It's a plunk in stranded v-max that the GFS seems to then use convective feed-back to feed-back what it needs to formulate a tempest - I'm always a bit leery of those spontaneity looks in the mid range.   A suppressed subdued appeal in the ensembles isn't helping.    Not impossible tho.

[Damage In Tolland]

Don’t do it 

 

Toss it 

[weatherwiz]

5 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

GFS though its way on its own

Yup...not totally buying it. For whatever reason, the GFS has become pretty amped/phase happy in that range these last several years. It seems overall models have really struggled with northern stream evolutions and energy flowing within the stream. Maybe this is just in part due to enhanced flow but I hope there are some group of people out there doing some research into this. Whether its mostly background state or whether its with the physics/equations its odd and leading to so many hyped forecasts. 

[Torch Tiger]

gfs?  toss

[metagraphica]

1 hour ago, CoastalWx said:

GFS says we pour and blow

What happens in Weymouth, stays in Weymouth!

[Hazey]

Last hurrays of summer. High just short of 90 yesterday. Today cooler but still upper 70’s. Province is still under severe/exceptional drought conditions. That looks to continue here.

[CoastalWx]

We GFS?

[CoastalWx]

Big move north on Euro.

[tamarack]

1 hour ago, weatherwiz said:

If that evolution plays out it will certainly put a dent in the rainfall deficits 

We had 2.64" on Sept 25-26 and the local rivers are nearly back to the levels before that event.  Maybe 6" spread over 2-3 weeks would have a significant effect on rivers and groundwater.

[CoastalWx]

Euro AI more north too. That is a massive flop from 00z on euro op.

[Damage In Tolland]

Damage?