dendrite Posted Thursday at 01:33 PM Share Posted Thursday at 01:33 PM Just now, powderfreak said: Man, 82/57 at CON in July for an average is wild. 36” annually. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted Thursday at 01:39 PM Share Posted Thursday at 01:39 PM 4 minutes ago, dendrite said: 36” annually. Going back to 2002, CON has had 2 calendar years where the precip totaled less than their 36.37” 1961-1990 norm. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted Thursday at 02:08 PM Share Posted Thursday at 02:08 PM I'm calling a Hamden microburst tomorrow. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted Thursday at 02:37 PM Share Posted Thursday at 02:37 PM 29 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: I'm calling a Hamden microburst tomorrow. Yes please 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted Thursday at 02:41 PM Share Posted Thursday at 02:41 PM Just now, Sey-Mour Snow said: Yes please I am really torn on tomorrow...CT could be ground zero for greatest risk of damaging winds but I think this is highly dependent on the dewpoints. The HRRR really mixes dewpoints out and then increases them ahead of the front across southern CT and I guess its no surprise this is where the HRRR intensifies the line. Heck even the GFS mixes them out. But looking at the llvls...I don't see dews really mixing out. I'm inclined to side with the NAM here which would argue for a big day across CT. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted Thursday at 02:47 PM Share Posted Thursday at 02:47 PM Strange question but has anyone noticed Hawks being extremely loud the past few days? 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted Thursday at 02:53 PM Share Posted Thursday at 02:53 PM 5 minutes ago, kdxken said: Strange question but has anyone noticed Hawks being extremely loud the past few days? No but I feel like I've been seeing more lately. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted Thursday at 02:55 PM Share Posted Thursday at 02:55 PM 20 hours ago, kdxken said: What have you noticed about overall tree health this season? It appears to me at least in my area to be better than the last few. I've seen a lot of white pines that have shed last year's needles, thanks to the fungal needle disease. June 2024 wasn't as endlessly raining like the year before, but it had AN rain. The fungi (several species) infect the new growth in late spring and the wetter the wx, the worse the infection. Jun2025 had about half normal rain, so I'm hoping next year's needle drop will be much lower. I've not seen any significant problems with other species. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted Thursday at 02:58 PM Share Posted Thursday at 02:58 PM 11 minutes ago, kdxken said: Strange question but has anyone noticed Hawks being extremely loud the past few days? I was out mowing and there was a super noisy Hawk. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted Thursday at 02:59 PM Share Posted Thursday at 02:59 PM 5 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: No but I feel like I've been seeing more lately. We get so many hawks and owls now. I can’t believe any squirrels or chipmunks can survive. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted Thursday at 03:00 PM Share Posted Thursday at 03:00 PM Haven't looked at mesos today but CT looked pretty good for tomorrows potential action 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted Thursday at 03:02 PM Share Posted Thursday at 03:02 PM Tomorrow will be a fun test too. NBM is a few to several ticks warmer than MOS at several sites tomorrow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted Thursday at 03:03 PM Share Posted Thursday at 03:03 PM 1 minute ago, Torch Tiger said: Haven't looked at mesos today but CT looked pretty good for tomorrows potential action I would think we see at slight at 1730z. If these trends hold I could eventually see an enhanced with 30% wind but not sure that would be rolled out given how poor the lapse rates are 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted Thursday at 03:14 PM Author Share Posted Thursday at 03:14 PM The features overall lack stronger forcing behind why they are there. This creates more error, because the physics are less detectable in the grids --> therefore the processing shows increased variance. Blah blah ... no one gets what that means, but it results in having difficulty being consistent with the timing of the front. They are also confusing ( apparently ..) the front with the potential cool pooling associated with convection. This latter factor is even more incoherent and thus difficult in a weak mechanical field, because the convection triggers are in a space that is not well enough sampled. The ambient instability is there... so false triggers can and often do take over and corrupt the results. If there was a huge jet skirting by to the N, with a powerful front arrival, the models would nail down the timing, as well as distinguish what is the front and what is just outflow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted Thursday at 03:45 PM Share Posted Thursday at 03:45 PM 3 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted Thursday at 06:05 PM Share Posted Thursday at 06:05 PM Highs so far. Nuke Hampshire in the lead again. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted Thursday at 06:07 PM Share Posted Thursday at 06:07 PM 3 hours ago, weatherwiz said: I would think we see at slight at 1730z. If these trends hold I could eventually see an enhanced with 30% wind but not sure that would be rolled out given how poor the lapse rates are THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE NORTHEAST... ...SUMMARY... Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms will pose a risk of damaging wind gusts across parts of New England and the northern Mid Atlantic on Friday. Isolated severe storms are also possible across parts of the northern and central Plains. ...Northeast into the Northern Mid-Atlantic... A robust midlevel trough will advance eastward across Quebec and parts of New England through the day, while a related belt of 30-40 kt midlevel westerly flow overspreads the Northeast and northern Mid-Atlantic. At the same time, a cold front will move southward across the region through the afternoon. As widely scattered thunderstorms along the front intercept a moist/destabilizing pre-convective air mass (upwards of 2500 J/kg MLCAPE), around 30 kt of effective shear will promote organized clusters, small line segments, and possibly some supercell structures. The enhanced low/midlevel flow, steepening boundary-layer lapse rates, and expected clustering will support scattered wind damage across the region. A Slight risk was added where confidence is highest in the overlap of scattered organized storms, highest buoyancy, and sufficient deep-layer flow/shear. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted Thursday at 06:08 PM Share Posted Thursday at 06:08 PM 3 hours ago, kdxken said: Strange question but has anyone noticed Hawks being extremely loud the past few days? We did in Maine the other day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted Thursday at 06:09 PM Share Posted Thursday at 06:09 PM 85/72, getting a little sticky. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted Thursday at 06:45 PM Share Posted Thursday at 06:45 PM gorgeous! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted Thursday at 07:02 PM Share Posted Thursday at 07:02 PM 87.3/68 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted Thursday at 07:08 PM Share Posted Thursday at 07:08 PM 89/67 (HOME STATION) did hit 90F 30 min ago 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted Thursday at 07:14 PM Share Posted Thursday at 07:14 PM Still need to watch for an EML event Tuesday 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted Thursday at 07:15 PM Share Posted Thursday at 07:15 PM 85/69 here. Summah is back 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted Thursday at 07:18 PM Share Posted Thursday at 07:18 PM 3 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Still need to watch for an EML event Tuesday Watch Sunday too 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted Thursday at 07:21 PM Share Posted Thursday at 07:21 PM 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Watch Sunday too probably be well west of here unfortunately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted Thursday at 07:21 PM Share Posted Thursday at 07:21 PM 6 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: 85/69 here. Summah is back it never left 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted Thursday at 07:29 PM Share Posted Thursday at 07:29 PM 6 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: probably be well west of here unfortunately. Nah SNE/ CNE warm sector so there’ll be big uns around in afternoon 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted Thursday at 07:31 PM Share Posted Thursday at 07:31 PM Coc watch is up for next Thur into early Aug. 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted Thursday at 07:44 PM Share Posted Thursday at 07:44 PM 12 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Coc watch is up for next Thur into early Aug. we get a dew down up here Saturday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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