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July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability


wdrag
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46 minutes ago, bluewave said:

Florida Keys weather here along the CT Shoreline.

 

New Haven      MOSUNNY   88  78  72 SW12G17   29.96F HX 101
KEY WEST       MOSUNNY   89  78  70 NE12G20   30.16F HX 103

How are these forecasters so awful and so wrong all the time, they even bust on sky conditions for 1-2 day forecasts? It was supposed to be mostly cloudy with rain.  The last two days have been mostly sunny here and today it's at 95 here on a southerly *sea breeze*.  Normally you'd see an early high around 90-91 today with temperatures falling into the upper 80s in the afternoon on a due south wind, but today it's stayed up around 95. It's the first 95+ day since the late June triple digit temperatures.

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16 minutes ago, Neblizzard said:

Much more active day today in terms of severe weather.  Should be good to go between 3-6pm around NYC

More like 6 pm to 7 pm here, the earlier time frame will be for inland areas.  The storms along that front will get here around 6 and will move through quickly between 6 and 7.

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3 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

More like 6 pm to 7 pm here, the earlier time frame will be for inland areas.  The storms along that front will get here around 6 and will move through quickly between 6 and 7.

Storm forming on the sea breeze front right now near the LIE. You can see the anvil starting to go up from here in lynbrook. South of the front nothing will happen if anything until after 5.

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46 minutes ago, JerseyWx said:

I just picked up a new Telecaster so it lives in the case regardless lol.  

I am ignorant of guitar care, except I had one low grade acoustic crack, (and additionally I took an ovation on a camping trip and the bridge broke off overnight when it got down near freezing).  An electric guitar is sensitive to humidity as well, as far as splitting or cracking?

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Fortunately the front was well timed.  I say that since I am working today.  Had this front been 75 miles further east 2-3 hours earlier we'd have had quite the TSTM day, but it ended up slower by a bit than what it appeared 1-2 days ago.  I think 00-02Z is the best window for most areas but the activity will likely be weakening, I have some doubts though it weakens as much as the HRRR is showing

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38 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

Yep, 95 here with a so-called southerly *sea breeze*

It was supposed to be mostly cloudy the last two days and yet it's been mostly sunny here both days lol.

0 clouds over the ocean with a stable marine layer and cumulous developing over land as expected. When you see forecast highs in the 90s, its probably not going to be that cloudy. Not bad beach weather, more sun and less chance of rain closer to the water

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38 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said:

Storm forming on the sea breeze front right now near the LIE. You can see the anvil starting to go up from here in lynbrook. South of the front nothing will happen if anything until after 5.

This is probably why I see clouds from time to time to my north but the sunshine continues here unabated lol

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