LibertyBell Posted 9 hours ago Share Posted 9 hours ago 15 hours ago, SnoSki14 said: They haven't gotten cooler though. Maybe they're warming less than winter but still warming May has a consistent -nao now. It's why we're seeing rain and cool weather almost year after year in May and even snow (2020). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted 9 hours ago Share Posted 9 hours ago 16 hours ago, Sundog said: 6 foot 170 lbs and I walked 10 miles a week before I injured my back in late 2023. I hate the heat. I hate high dews even more. Today was an exquisite day, another 10/10. I know you loved 2010 because it was hot and dry ;-) we discussed this before lol Humidity can be sucked to the moon for all I care, can't stand humidity at all. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted 9 hours ago Share Posted 9 hours ago Showers have been added to my Memorial Day forecast. GFS is the only guidance I see that could bring the next system in that early. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted 9 hours ago Share Posted 9 hours ago 16 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: But real heat coming in to start June? 70s and possibly 80s look realistic. Earlier runs with low and mid-90s on the GFS are likely overdone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted 9 hours ago Share Posted 9 hours ago 37 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: Yes so I wasn't joking when I said our Mays have become cooler. They haven't. Despite the cool end we're still going to be near normal against the warmest averages Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago 29 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said: 70s and possibly 80s look realistic. Earlier runs with low and mid-90s on the GFS are likely overdone. thats good enough and hopefully with a lot of sun and no more of these cut offs? I wouldn't mind a 2 week period of zero rain. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago 15 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: They haven't. Despite the cool end we're still going to be near normal against the warmest averages it seems like the cooler and rainier periods in May are happening most often in the latter third of the month (May 20th and beyond) so this fits the pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago 38 minutes ago, RedSky said: Showers have been added to my Memorial Day forecast. GFS is the only guidance I see that could bring the next system in that early. the next chance of rain is likely Tuesday, so right after the long weekend ends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago .10 this far..not impressed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wishcast_hater Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago How are we looking for the overnight period tonight Between 11 PM and 7 AM? I am scheduled to work tonight and I don’t wanna deal with the rain so I might just call in sick if it’s going to be bad. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wishcast_hater Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago How are we looking for the overnight period tonight Between 11 PM and 7 AM? I am scheduled to work tonight and I don’t wanna deal with the rain so I might just call in sick if it’s going to be bad. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago 2 minutes ago, wishcast_hater said: How are we looking for the overnight period tonight Between 11 PM and 7 AM? I am scheduled to work tonight and I don’t wanna deal with the rain so I might just call in sick if it’s going to be bad. . showers/downpours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxoutlooksblog Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago Dry air winning the battle so I'm going to an event in Manhattan that I was tentative about due to the weather. Hopefully the heavier rains hold off until after 10PM tonight and I think they will. As for end of May/early June still tentative about pattern change at that point at this time. GFS warmth/heat cancel but I haven't seen Euro yet. EPS was on board for a change so the night and day changes by the GFS are to be expected and we'll see about the Euro. WX/PT 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago 52 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago 1 hour ago, LibertyBell said: Yes so I wasn't joking when I said our Mays have become cooler. Just the late May patterns in recent years as May 1st through 20th has been the warmest on record for spots like JFK and ISP at +5.1° and +5.0° These briefly cooler patterns are a nice reprieve from the wall to wall warmth we usually experience. The warm rebound following the cool periods has usually been more impressive. So we could quickly shift back to warm in early June with the first 90° potential of the season at the warm spots. Time Series Summary for JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT, NYClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 2025-05-20 64.0 0 2 2015-05-20 63.1 0 3 1979-05-20 63.0 0 4 1991-05-20 62.4 0 5 1982-05-20 62.2 0 6 2001-05-20 62.0 0 7 2018-05-20 61.8 0 - 2004-05-20 61.8 0 - 2000-05-20 61.8 0 - 1993-05-20 61.8 0 - 1949-05-20 61.8 0 8 1964-05-20 61.6 0 9 2014-05-20 61.5 0 - 1985-05-20 61.5 0 10 1960-05-20 61.2 1 - 1953-05-20 61.2 0 Time Series Summary for ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP, NYClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 2025-05-20 62.9 0 2 2015-05-20 61.7 0 3 2018-05-20 60.8 0 - 2014-05-20 60.8 0 5 2001-05-20 60.7 0 6 1993-05-20 60.6 0 7 1975-05-20 60.5 1 8 2000-05-20 60.3 0 9 1991-05-20 59.9 0 - 1979-05-20 59.9 0 10 2004-05-20 59.8 0 11 1982-05-20 59.6 0 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steve392 Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago Hopefully Friday night will be decent for the Mets/Dodgers game. 53 degrees will suck at citi field. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted 7 hours ago Share Posted 7 hours ago 1 hour ago, steve392 said: Hopefully Friday night will be decent for the Mets/Dodgers game. 53 degrees will suck at citi field. wont be great-ULL still around will be overcast with temps in the 50's by game time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago Only 51 degrees here right now with light rain. So nasty out there. 0.16" of rain for the day so far. Feels like late March today. I'm going outside shortly for a run, and I'm going to wear gloves lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago 1 hour ago, winterwarlock said: .10 this far..not impressed Heavier rain will happen overnight. We should get at least an inch from this event. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago Dry air eating the rain up as it heads east-very much like our winter disasters, but models seem to be keying in on heavy rain in the morning as the coastal low takes over. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago 1 hour ago, bluewave said: Just the late May patterns in recent years as May 1st through 20th has been the warmest on record for spots like JFK and ISP at +5.1° and +5.0° These briefly cooler patterns are a nice reprieve from the wall to wall warmth we usually experience. The warm rebound following the cool periods has usually been more impressive. So we could quickly shift back to warm in early June with the first 90° potential of the season at the warm spots. Time Series Summary for JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT, NYClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 2025-05-20 64.0 0 2 2015-05-20 63.1 0 3 1979-05-20 63.0 0 4 1991-05-20 62.4 0 5 1982-05-20 62.2 0 6 2001-05-20 62.0 0 7 2018-05-20 61.8 0 - 2004-05-20 61.8 0 - 2000-05-20 61.8 0 - 1993-05-20 61.8 0 - 1949-05-20 61.8 0 8 1964-05-20 61.6 0 9 2014-05-20 61.5 0 - 1985-05-20 61.5 0 10 1960-05-20 61.2 1 - 1953-05-20 61.2 0 Time Series Summary for ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP, NYClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 2025-05-20 62.9 0 2 2015-05-20 61.7 0 3 2018-05-20 60.8 0 - 2014-05-20 60.8 0 5 2001-05-20 60.7 0 6 1993-05-20 60.6 0 7 1975-05-20 60.5 1 8 2000-05-20 60.3 0 9 1991-05-20 59.9 0 - 1979-05-20 59.9 0 10 2004-05-20 59.8 0 11 1982-05-20 59.6 0 The cool weather isn't bad I just wish it came with sunshine instead of these out of season coastal lows. May 1-20 didn't actually feel hot at all, just somewhat warm with temperatures in the low 80s. Above normal to be sure, but not hot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago 9 minutes ago, jm1220 said: Dry air eating the rain up as it heads east-very much like our winter disasters, but models seem to be keying in on heavy rain in the morning as the coastal low takes over. Like 90% of the rain will happen on Thursday, with only a few showers today and Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago 1 hour ago, bluewave said: Just the late May patterns in recent years as May 1st through 20th has been the warmest on record for spots like JFK and ISP at +5.1° and +5.0° These briefly cooler patterns are a nice reprieve from the wall to wall warmth we usually experience. The warm rebound following the cool periods has usually been more impressive. So we could quickly shift back to warm in early June with the first 90° potential of the season at the warm spots. Time Series Summary for JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT, NYClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 2025-05-20 64.0 0 2 2015-05-20 63.1 0 3 1979-05-20 63.0 0 4 1991-05-20 62.4 0 5 1982-05-20 62.2 0 6 2001-05-20 62.0 0 7 2018-05-20 61.8 0 - 2004-05-20 61.8 0 - 2000-05-20 61.8 0 - 1993-05-20 61.8 0 - 1949-05-20 61.8 0 8 1964-05-20 61.6 0 9 2014-05-20 61.5 0 - 1985-05-20 61.5 0 10 1960-05-20 61.2 1 - 1953-05-20 61.2 0 Time Series Summary for ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP, NYClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 2025-05-20 62.9 0 2 2015-05-20 61.7 0 3 2018-05-20 60.8 0 - 2014-05-20 60.8 0 5 2001-05-20 60.7 0 6 1993-05-20 60.6 0 7 1975-05-20 60.5 1 8 2000-05-20 60.3 0 9 1991-05-20 59.9 0 - 1979-05-20 59.9 0 10 2004-05-20 59.8 0 11 1982-05-20 59.6 0 wow the years on this list are a like Who's Who of some of our coldest/snowiest February, March and April patterns and they warmed up so much in May! 2015 ! 1979 1982 ! 2018 ! 2004 1993 ! 1964 2014 1960 ! ! = years had a big snow event in either March or April or both Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago 30 minutes ago, winterwx21 said: Only 51 degrees here right now with light rain. So nasty out there. 0.16" of rain for the day so far. Feels like late March today. I'm going outside shortly for a run, and I'm going to wear gloves lol. I wonder what the record low high is for New Brunswick for this date? 51 has to be close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted 6 hours ago Author Share Posted 6 hours ago 3 minutes ago, FPizz said: I wonder what the record low high is for New Brunswick for this date? 51 has to be close. It was still around 60 at midnight Tomorrow might be close though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago 1 minute ago, Stormlover74 said: It was still around 60 at midnight Tomorrow might be close though Crap, forgot about that. I'm at 51, but see that my high was 57 earlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago 8 minutes ago, FPizz said: I wonder what the record low high is for New Brunswick for this date? 51 has to be close. 56 so far at New Brunswick for a high 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago I have the heat on in my car 52 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago will be in maine for memorial weekend. bringing insulated pants and boots..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 7 minutes ago, MJO812 said: I have the heat on in my car 52 here same here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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