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April Discobs 2025


George BM
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When trying to decide whether I need to bring my umbrella today, I check the NWS forecast for Fairfax County inside the beltway: "Scattered showers after 2 p.m." Then I check the AFD: "Some shower activity is likely to develop today, particularly west of U.S. 15 where scattered showers are in the forecast. . . . High-resolution models bring scattered showers toward the I-95 corridor just after sundown."

I didn't know where the heck US 15 is (why can't they use placenames instead of highways??) so I check the map and see it's way out past Leesburg! So the forecast and the discussion are mutually contradictory. I'll chance leaving the umbrella at home, because when I haul that thing around all day and not a drop of rain falls, I feel like I've been made a fool of.

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12z mesos have showers late morning/early afternoon tomorrow a bit more widespread? Plus the late evening activity today. Hoping for that SE HoCo bullseye shown on 12z hrrr and 3k NAM…

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18 hours ago, kgottwald said:

When trying to decide whether I need to bring my umbrella today, I check the NWS forecast for Fairfax County inside the beltway: "Scattered showers after 2 p.m." Then I check the AFD: "Some shower activity is likely to develop today, particularly west of U.S. 15 where scattered showers are in the forecast. . . . High-resolution models bring scattered showers toward the I-95 corridor just after sundown."

I didn't know where the heck US 15 is (why can't they use placenames instead of highways??) so I check the map and see it's way out past Leesburg! So the forecast and the discussion are mutually contradictory. I'll chance leaving the umbrella at home, because when I haul that thing around all day and not a drop of rain falls, I feel like I've been made a fool of.

US 15 Runs from the VA/NC border through Warrenton up through Leesburg and Frederick MD and into PA into Harrisburg and beyond I believe. It is the way I get into VA from Frederick. And I take it up to take my youngest to college in PA. :)

So the line that just went through Frederick started just west of US 15 and is now headed towards the I95 corridor.

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