ForestHillWx Posted August 20, 2024 Share Posted August 20, 2024 55/48…bit breezy, but otherwise glorious. Open ‘em up! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 20, 2024 Share Posted August 20, 2024 61 / 49 60 hour cool period and coolest since May 19/20th as cut off low swings north and east Tue - Thu. Warmer by Thu and the warmer areas should get back above 80. Much warmer Fri - Sun with next shot at some heat 90s. GFS cuts off trough under the ridge building north Mon (8/26) while the Euro keeps the cut off off shore. GFS would be a cooler and perhaps wetter Mon - Wed and the Euro would continue and push heat into the area. Beyond there a warmer look overall with main heat west coming eat in pushes. https://synoptic.envsci.rutgers.edu/img/vis_nj_anim.gif 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted August 20, 2024 Share Posted August 20, 2024 hoodie weather next 2 days... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted August 20, 2024 Share Posted August 20, 2024 Just now, nycwinter said: hoodie weather next 2 days... Double hoodie? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted August 20, 2024 Share Posted August 20, 2024 3 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Double hoodie? i will wear a hoodie underneath and a light jacket over it... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 20, 2024 Share Posted August 20, 2024 66 outside Still wearing shorts. No hoodie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted August 20, 2024 Share Posted August 20, 2024 Absolutely amazing mid August weather! Gusty breeze and temperatures in the low 50's this morning. Will make the heat and humidity all the more unwanted when it returns next week. Honestly done with heat and humidity for this season. This weather is great. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted August 20, 2024 Share Posted August 20, 2024 5 minutes ago, MANDA said: Absolutely amazing mid August weather! Gusty breeze and temperatures in the low 50's this morning. Will make the heat and humidity all the more unwanted when it returns next week. Honestly done with heat and humidity for this season. This weather is great. 06z gfs doesn't really have any heat on that run 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted August 20, 2024 Share Posted August 20, 2024 63 for the low, 67 now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted August 20, 2024 Share Posted August 20, 2024 55 minutes ago, MJO812 said: 66 outside Still wearing shorts. No hoodie. Tomorrow morning is classic hoodie weather 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted August 20, 2024 Share Posted August 20, 2024 17 minutes ago, FPizz said: 06z gfs doesn't really have any heat on that run At least upper 80s for a stretch but hopefully no more 90s outside of ewr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted August 20, 2024 Share Posted August 20, 2024 48 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: At least upper 80s for a stretch but hopefully no more 90s outside of ewr I’m sure we will get a hot string of days in September. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted August 20, 2024 Share Posted August 20, 2024 1 hour ago, FPizz said: 06z gfs doesn't really have any heat on that run off hour run 14 minutes ago, Allsnow said: I’m sure we will get a hot string of days in September. We always do but at least the sun angle is lower by then. July heat is the worst. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted August 20, 2024 Share Posted August 20, 2024 enjoy the little cool fart while it lasts 4 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted August 20, 2024 Share Posted August 20, 2024 summer is over and forky is unsettled... 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted August 20, 2024 Share Posted August 20, 2024 Just now, nycwinter said: summer is over and forky is unsettled... oh don't worry he will have the 384hr GFS up soon with a 104 temp at EWR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steve392 Posted August 20, 2024 Share Posted August 20, 2024 69 degrees.. Hehe... Alrighttttt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted August 20, 2024 Share Posted August 20, 2024 is winter over when it's 60 in january 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted August 20, 2024 Share Posted August 20, 2024 47 dewpoint in mid august where did i put my portable heater will need it tonight.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted August 20, 2024 Share Posted August 20, 2024 2 hours ago, Allsnow said: I’m sure we will get a hot string of days in September. Without a doubt. The heat is nowhere near gone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted August 20, 2024 Share Posted August 20, 2024 1 hour ago, forkyfork said: is winter over when it's 60 in january Usually 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted August 20, 2024 Author Share Posted August 20, 2024 3 hours ago, forkyfork said: enjoy the little cool fart while it lasts If only my farts were as cool as the temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted August 20, 2024 Share Posted August 20, 2024 21 minutes ago, Rtd208 said: If only my farts were as cool as the temps. and as dry as today is 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted August 20, 2024 Share Posted August 20, 2024 3 hours ago, forkyfork said: is winter over when it's 60 in january we hit 59 jan 10 2016 and we know what happened less then 2 weeks later biggest snowstorm in nyc history... 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted August 20, 2024 Share Posted August 20, 2024 29 minutes ago, nycwinter said: we hit 59 jan 10 2016 and we know what happened less then 2 weeks later biggest snowstorm in nyc history... El nino Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted August 20, 2024 Share Posted August 20, 2024 3 hours ago, forkyfork said: is winter over when it's 60 in january Not when it never starts! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted August 20, 2024 Share Posted August 20, 2024 The coolest air mass so far this season has been pushing into the region. New York City will see the mercury dip below 60° for the first time since June 11th tomorrow morning. The last time the temperature fell below 60° in August in New York City was August 15, 2013 when the thermometer fell to 59°. The current air mass is somewhat colder than that and the potential exists for the temperature to fall to its lowest level in August since August 22, 2007 when the temperature bottomed out at 56°. Some outlying areas could see the temperature fall into the 40s. Thursday morning could again see the temperature fall toward or below 60° in New York City. Highs both days will be in the lower to middle 70s in the City. A warmer pattern will likely develop starting next weekend. Out West, cities such as Flagstaff, Las Vegas, and Phoenix remain on track for their hottest summer on record. Del Rio is in the midst of its record third extreme heat event (Clarke et al., 2014 framework) of the year. The temperature could make a run at the August monthly record on Wednesday and Thursday at Del Rio. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -0.2°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was 0.0°C for the week centered around August 7. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.33°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.12°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely evolve into a La Niña event during the early fall. The SOI was +28.10 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +1.428 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 60% probability that New York City will have a cooler than normal August (1991-2020 normal). August will likely finish with a mean temperature near 75.6° (0.5° below normal). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted August 20, 2024 Share Posted August 20, 2024 25 minutes ago, jm1220 said: Not when it never starts! Yep if the "big pattern" doesn't show up by late January it's likely not coming. Should have been a warning last year when the January cold was underwhelming and we went right back to the torch after 8 days or so.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted August 20, 2024 Share Posted August 20, 2024 Just now, Brian5671 said: Yep if the "big pattern" doesn't show up by late January it's likely not coming. Should have been a warning last year when the January cold was underwhelming and we went right back to the torch after 8 days or so.... In any Nina if we don't see something decent in December it almost certainly won't ever happen. We had the Dec 2020 snowy pattern which came back in Feb, Dec 2010 into Jan 2011, Dec 1995... you know, 1/4/18 which came back in March etc but plenty of other Ninas which were lousy in Dec and stayed that way. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted August 20, 2024 Share Posted August 20, 2024 This is a impressive cool shot 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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