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April 2024


bluewave
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18 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

Pouring! More rain coming up from PHL 

Decent downpour with that line. It added 0.15" here, so I'm up to 0.99" for the event. Another batch of lighter rain coming up from the south as you pointed out, so that will get me to a little over an inch for the event. I'm glad this didn't end up being another one of those 2 to 3 inch super soakers. We didn't need that, but an inch was a nice watering for the vegetable garden. 

Tomorrow looks nasty. Cloudy and windy with high temps only in the mid 50s, but then we go back to nice warm weather on Sunday. Looks like a nice stretch of mostly high temps in the 70s for Sunday through most of next week. Then probably a cooldown to below normal temps next weekend. 

Anyway I hope everyone has a great weekend! 

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Just now, winterwx21 said:

Decent downpour with that line. It added 0.15" here, so I'm up to 0.99" for the event. Another batch of lighter rain coming up from the south as you pointed out, so that will get me to a little over an inch for the event. I'm glad this didn't end up being another one of those 2 to 3 inch super soakers. We didn't need that, but an inch was a nice watering for the vegetable garden. 

Tomorrow looks nasty. Cloudy and windy with high temps only in the mid 50s, but then we go back to nice warm weather on Sunday. Looks like a nice stretch of mostly high temps in the 70s for Sunday through most of next week. Then probably a cooldown to below normal temps next weekend. 

Anyway I hope everyone has a great weekend! 

Enjoy the weekend. Yes, after Saturday looks like we get a decent stretch until the following weekend 

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We are still in a wet pattern with an upper low in the northwestern Atlantic dominating. We've had computer model runs suggesting that this pattern might end or shift northward but thus far they've all been wrong. The best we can do in this type of pattern is an isolated day here and there around 80 perhaps but mostly 70s with quite a few days still only in the upper 50s and 60s.

WX/PT

 

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In the wake of the area's most recent storm, a dry weekend will follow. It will turn briefly cooler tomorrow with a gusty breeze, but warmer air will quickly return starting on Sunday. Temperatures will likely reach the 70s early next week. For the week, temperatures will wind up warmer to much warmer than normal overall. Cooler conditions could follow afterward.

Given the near-term warmth and extended guidance, New York City's Central Park is all but certain to finish the 2023-2024 snow season with less than 10" of seasonal snowfall for a record second consecutive season. Records go back to 1869. This will be the last reference to seasonal snowfall for Winter 2023-2024.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -0.1°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +1.2°C for the week centered around April 3. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +0.28°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +1.22°C. The ongoing basinwide El Niño event is fading. Neutral conditions could develop later in the spring.

The SOI was -9.74 today.

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +3.838 today.

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 68% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal April (1991-2020 normal). April will likely finish with a mean temperature near 55.8° (2.2° above normal).

 

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48 cloudy some drizzle and windy.  Ugly day in the 50s before we warm Sun - Tue (peaking in the mid/upper 70s some stray 80s). Clouds and onshore flow Wed -Fri  with showers and rain.  Cooler but perhaps drier 4/21 - 4/25.  

 

GOES16-EUS-02-1000x1000.gif

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Records:

Highs:

EWR: 92 (2023)
NYC: 90 (2023)
LGA: 89 (2023)

Lows:

EWR: 26 (1940)
NYC: 25 (1874)
LGA: 31 (1950)

 

Historical:

 

1877 - The second coastal storm in just three days hit Virginia and the Carolinas. The first storm flattened the sand dunes at Hatteras, and widened the Oregon inlet three quarters of a mile. The second storm produced hurricane force winds along the coast of North Carolina causing more beach erosion and land transformation. (David Ludlum)

 

1927: A tornado wiped out the town of Rock Springs Texas, killing 72 persons and causing 1.2 million dollars damage. The tornado was more than one mile in width and destroyed 235 of 247 buildings, leaving no trace of lumber or contents in many cases. Many survivors were bruised by large hail that fell after the passage of the tornado.  

 

1934: Winds atop Mount Washington New Hampshire, averaged 186 mph for five minutes, with a peak gust of 231 mph, the highest wind speed ever clocked in the world at that time.  In a report released by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO), that record was toppled in 1996 at Barrow Island, Australia during Typhoon Olivia. The new world record is now 253 mph. The 316 mph wind speed recorded at Moore, Oklahoma on 5/3/1999 logged during an F5 tornado was not recorded at ground level.

 

1945: A series of significant tornadoes raked Oklahoma, Arkansas, Missouri, and Illinois. Antlers, Oklahoma were nearly obliterated by a massive F5 tornado that zigzagged from southwest to northeast across the town. 69 people died in the twister. Another tornado killed eight people in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma. The disaster was overshadowed by the loss of President Franklin Roosevelt, who died suddenly at his vacation home at Warm Springs, Georgia. 

1955 - The town of Axis, AL, was deluged with 20.33 inches of rain in 24 hours establishing a state record. (The Weather Channel)

1986 - A major spring storm quickly intensified bringing blizzard conditions to much of the Northern Plains Region. Up to 18 inches of snow was reported in North Dakota, and in South Dakota, winds gusting to 90 mph whipped the snow into drifts fifteen feet high. Livestock losses were in the millions of dollars, and for some areas it was the worst blizzard ever. (Storm Data)

1987 - Thunderstorms in northern Texas produced wind gusts to 98 mph at the Killeen Airport causing a million dollars property damage. Two airplanes were totally destroyed by the high winds, and ten others were damaged. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1988 - Low pressure off the Atlantic coast produced high winds across North Carolina, with gusts to 78 mph reported at Waves. The high winds combined with high tides to cause coastal flooding and erosion. About 275 feet of land was eroded from the northern tip of Pea Island. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1989 - Thunderstorms in central Florida produced golf ball size hail and a tornado near Lakeland FL. Fair and mild weather prevailed across most of the rest of the nation. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary)

1990 - Thunderstorms developing along a cold front produced severe weather in central Oklahoma and north central Texas. Thunderstorms in Oklahoma produced up to six inches of golf ball size hail along I-40 near El Reno, and produced wind gusts to 75 mph at Okarche. Thunderstorms over north central Texas produced softball size hail northwest of Rotan, and high winds which injured two persons southeast of Itasca. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

2004 - The latest measurable snowfall on record hits Jackson, TN, causing six traffic fatalities.

2006 - The University of Iowa campus is hit by an F2 tornado. The storm severely damaged many buildings in the area, including a sorority and a local church. No fatailities were reported in the storm that caused more than $12 million in damage.

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