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April 2024


bluewave
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36 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

Been a stretch of awesome snow winters for Alaska and much of the West which will likely continue as long as this perma-Nina and -PDO stays. This “winter” was another Nina in functionality for much of it just added with the juiced Nino southern jet. And next probably “winter” will probably be officially a strong Nina. 

Yup. AK can’t loose in this new climate. 
 

Tomorrow looks beautiful…NYC hit 80 again? 

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Tomorrow and Tuesday will be warm days with widespread readings in the 70s. Tomorrow will be the warmer of the two days with readings rising well into the 70s and perhaps near 80° in the warmest spots. Afterward, it will turn somewhat cooler with unsettled conditions before a stronger cold shot arrives during the next weekend.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -0.1°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +1.2°C for the week centered around April 3. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +0.28°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +1.22°C. The ongoing basinwide El Niño event is fading. Neutral conditions could develop later in the spring.

The SOI was -4.69 today.

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +3.405 today.

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 63% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal April (1991-2020 normal). April will likely finish with a mean temperature near 55.3° (1.6° above normal).

 

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1 minute ago, SRRTA22 said:

Lol I know the pain...these mcs's almost always shrivel into a shower before reaching Hudson county.. Jersey City is the Richmond,va of thunderstorms haha

I'm perfectly fine letting someone else get soaked. But we're near that time of the year where T-storms go to die east of the Hudson. At least they're usually quick deaths. 

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