CoastalWx Posted March 2 Share Posted March 2 The gfs ironically pulls in some pretty good low level cold in that second storm. Where the eff was that all winter. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted March 2 Share Posted March 2 10 hours ago, powderfreak said: Makes sense a little bit, but in what world would a forecaster term 18”+ snowfall in a period as “snow showers?” It happens a lot out there. I guess the question is why would you say snow showers at 2-4” accumulation and then use the same at 24-36” in a given period? What differentiates them? The forecast posted above has 25-31 then 48-54 for today-tonight. The 24-hour record (76" IIRC) might be in danger. Good news for those concerned about peaches and pears and what not. Unless an early spring includes another mid-May freeze. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 2 Share Posted March 2 11 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Trump, is that you? It will be come January! 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bristolri_wx Posted March 2 Share Posted March 2 1 hour ago, dendrite said: That’s a hell of a thaw to start the month. Warm mins are what we do best. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted March 2 Author Share Posted March 2 It's Spring in New England! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 2 Share Posted March 2 32 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Trump, is that you? The first public dog whistle spearheading the Jan6 terrorist attacks. “Stand down and standby”. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 2 Share Posted March 2 47 minutes ago, tamarack said: I've seen 0.3" ice in early April - once, on Mile Hill 400' higher than my location - but 3/4" that late is amazing. The vast majority of Northeast ice storms I can recall were much earlier in the cold season: Nov 1921: mostly in New England Jan 8-9, 1953: The hilly country N and W from NYC (>1" ice at our NNJ home) Dec 11-12, 1970: NNJ, 3/4" ice Dec 17-18, 1973: Major damage W CT/MA Dec 13-14, 1983: 3/4-1" N. Maine Jan 8-9, 1998: 1.5-2.5" ice, terrible (also Jan 6-7 in PQ) Dec 11-12, 2008: 2" ice? Centered in ORH area Jan 1994? Maybe the 18th as that cold (in Gardiner, the light tower event) storm had a strong warm tongue - 5° at home, 40s with SE gales at RKD. I'm sure there are others. It’s tough to do anywhere in Napril but especially the CT shore 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 2 Share Posted March 2 1 hour ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Man. What a blocky and stormy month unfolding, especially 10th onward. Late month even goes weeniesh. Fighting climo at that point though but the interior should stand down and standby. Well color me surprised lol…We tried to tell ‘em…nobody wanted to hear it. It’s over, and Spring is here is all you hear. Unfortunately, that never happens especially in March in SNE, except for March of 2012(the unicorn), but we always knew that wasn’t happening. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 2 Share Posted March 2 Just now, WinterWolf said: We’ll color me surprised lol…We tried to tell ‘em…nobody wanted to hear it. It’s over, and Spring is here is all you hear. Unfortunately, that never happens especially in March in SNE, except for March of 2012(the unicorn), but we always knew that wasn’t happening. It doesn’t look all out crappy either but definitely not an ideal warm spring pattern. Whatever weather we desire lately, mother nature has a way of handing us the shaft. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 2 Share Posted March 2 Prepare for lots of cold rain with some cats paws. anything more solid is a bonus 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 2 Share Posted March 2 27 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Prepare for lots of cold rain with some cats paws. anything more solid is a bonus Agreed. Typical March weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 2 Share Posted March 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted March 2 Share Posted March 2 this ain’t bad… blocked flow to the north, a 50/50 in place, and strong HP to the north to allow colder air to drain in. again, something to keep an eye on, especially away from the immediate coast 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 2 Share Posted March 2 It keeps showing up… That’s a nice 1036mb high up there….couldn’t buy something like that the last two years. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DJln491 Posted March 2 Share Posted March 2 days n days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NW_of_GYX Posted March 2 Share Posted March 2 Thursday/Friday starting to look interesting. Let’s get it inside 100hrs, haven’t been able to do that here since January 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
katabatic Posted March 2 Share Posted March 2 I’m from the MidAtlantic forum and don’t post here but thought I would share with you a picture I just took of the condo I’m staying at Donner Pass in California. Our weather has been shitty so I decided to chase this epic Sierra snowstorm. Mind you, this building is four stories tall and it’s on the leeward side of the wind direction, but still…. 23 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 2 Share Posted March 2 Great weenie gfs run. 7 days to go… 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted March 2 Share Posted March 2 5 minutes ago, katabatic said: I’m from the MidAtlantic forum and don’t post here but thought I would share with you a picture I just took of the condo I’m staying at Donner Pass in California. Our weather has been shitty so I decided to chase this epic Sierra snowstorm. Mind you, this building is four stories tall and it’s on the leeward side of the wind direction, but still…. Holy crap!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 2 Share Posted March 2 2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Great weenie gfs run. 7 days to go… Well I guess it’s better than 14-16….like it usually is. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DJln491 Posted March 2 Share Posted March 2 35 minutes ago, katabatic said: I’m from the MidAtlantic forum and don’t post here but thought I would share with you a picture I just took of the condo I’m staying at Donner Pass in California. Our weather has been shitty so I decided to chase this epic Sierra snowstorm. Mind you, this building is four stories tall and it’s on the leeward side of the wind direction, but still…. thanks for sharing. that is wild Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 2 Share Posted March 2 Pretty strong sig on the GEFS for 8 days out. EPS has a pretty good sig too but it’s a little delayed and slightly different evolution. The GEFS look is definitely more likely to be snow. 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 2 Share Posted March 2 Be interesting to see what the 12z EPS shows shortly today. When you say delayed Will, is the GEFS more next Sunday, and EPS Monday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DJln491 Posted March 2 Share Posted March 2 quite the stripe there. It's like a weenie without the bun. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 2 Share Posted March 2 31 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Pretty strong sig on the GEFS for 8 days out. EPS has a pretty good sig too but it’s a little delayed and slightly different evolution. The GEFS look is definitely more likely to be snow. It's been there since the time period in question first emerged through the outer 'coherency horizon' Like 15 days out lol. This particular 12z cycle is actually less than previous, but at this range? -that's allowed. I'm not dubious of the signal, per se. I am however leery about background seasonal change. There have been plenty of significant storms with frigid cold and wind hauling talcum powder ...all the way to Easter. If we are going to be lucidly rational about our chances here, however ...for every week that goes by climatology lowers those odds. But, I feel ( probably not a shared vibe, okay - ) like our climate has shifted shorter. Springs are earlier. It's like March 1 2024 is March 20th 1997. I was thinking that last week, and then some of these individual runs kind of started looking like April 1 back whence. I was like, 'no shit' ...Even if only hinted it's supporting my point. Anyway, that's conjecture. I mentioned a couple days ago that this was a candidate for holding off on a thread until perhaps 5 days. I don't hate the telecon spread for this. I just don't like the climate smear/seasonality shifting shit, combined with the sun modulating b-c fields Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 2 Share Posted March 2 The evolution of everything for this upcoming week has been a shit show on guidance (and not talking just about our area). 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 2 Share Posted March 2 33 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Pretty strong sig on the GEFS for 8 days out. EPS has a pretty good sig too but it’s a little delayed and slightly different evolution. The GEFS look is definitely more likely to be snow. Ice threat? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted March 2 Share Posted March 2 4 hours ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: The first public dog whistle spearheading the Jan6 terrorist attacks. “Stand down and standby”. Misinterpreted by many... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 2 Share Posted March 2 34 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Be interesting to see what the 12z EPS shows shortly today. When you say delayed Will, is the GEFS more next Sunday, and EPS Monday? It shreds it out 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 2 Share Posted March 2 2 minutes ago, MJO812 said: It shreds it out GEPS/GEFS were also weaker by some ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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