Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    19,001
    Total Members
    49,013
    Most Online
    loganboehmewx
    Newest Member
    loganboehmewx
    Joined

January 2024


wdrag
 Share

Recommended Posts

1 minute ago, bluewave said:


https://www.weather.gov/okx/storm02052016

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
SPOTTER REPORTS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
535 PM EST FRI FEB 05 2016


 

BETHPAGE              11.5   110 PM  2/05  PUBLIC
   NORTH BELLMORE        11.3  1249 PM  2/05  SOCIAL MEDIA
   EAST HILLS            11.0  1230 PM  2/05  PUBLIC
   PLAINVIEW             10.5   110 PM  2/05  TRAINED SPOTTER
   LEVITTOWN             10.2  1131 AM  2/05  TRAINED SPOTTER
   NORTH MERRICK         10.0   200 PM  2/05  PUBLIC

 

TERRYVILLE            12.0   248 PM  2/05  PUBLIC
   SETAUKET              12.0   100 PM  2/05  NWS EMPLOYEE
   SAINT JAMES           11.9   110 PM  2/05  PUBLIC
   FARMINGVILLE          11.2   130 PM  2/05  TRAINED SPOTTER
   SELDEN                11.0   145 PM  2/05  TRAINED SPOTTER
   SOUTH HUNTINGTON      11.0  1130 AM  2/05  TRAINED SPOTTER
   PORT JEFFERSON        11.0   215 PM  2/05  PUBLIC
   YAPHANK               11.0   315 PM  2/05  PUBLIC
   HAUPPAUGE             10.5   130 PM  2/05  NWS EMPLOYEE
   MILLER PLACE          10.5   130 PM  2/05  PUBLIC
   HOLTSVILLE            10.0   300 PM  2/05  AMATEUR RADIO
   HUNTINGTON            10.0   130 PM  2/05  TRAINED SPOTTER

We had nothing like that here!  Was this strictly a central and eastern Long Island storm? JFK,LGA had between 4-6 inches and NYC less than that?

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Buffalo saw the temperature fall below 20° today for the first time this season. The previous latest first occurrence of teens was January 3, 2016 and January 3, 2022. The Buffalo area, especially the Southtowns, was experiencing heavy lake effect snow.

Nothing like that is occurring in the northern Middle Atlantic Region. Nevertheless, in the wake of this afternoon's snow flurries and snow showers, a significant push of cold air is underway. This cold air mass will set the stage for a snow event across the region.

A storm will likely bring a general 1"-3" snowfall to Philadelphia, New York City, and Boston on Tuesday into Wednesday. Some uncertainty persists. However, consistent with historic climatology, a significant snowfall (general 6" or above snowfall) is not likely in the northern Mid-Atlantic region.

Additional cold air will arrive following the storm and then late in the week following another storm. The low temperature could fall into the teens in New York City during the middle or end of the week for the first time this season.

Friday or Saturday could afford another opportunity for snowfall. Beyond that, a noticeable warming trend that could send temperatures well into the 40s across the region and even into the 50s in parts of the region will likely commence.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +1.0°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +1.9°C for the week centered around January 3. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +1.38°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +1.97°C. A basinwide El Niño event is ongoing.

The SOI was +26.53 today.

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -2.459 today. Strong blocking in the final week of November, as occurred this year, has often been followed by frequent blocking in December and January.

On January 12 the MJO was in Phase 3 at an amplitude of 1.365 (RMM). The January 11-adjusted amplitude was 1.127 (RMM).

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 66% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal January (1991-2020 normal). January will likely finish with a mean temperature near 34.8° (1.1° above normal).

 

  • Like 1
  • Thanks 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 hours ago, Allsnow said:

People would have showed up 

Would have been packed. 25 years ago schools rarely closed, the trusty 7 train took my mother around in all sorts of storms and blizzards, and the idea of banning travel would have been ludicrous. 

Now we live in a world where everyone with a twitter account and an ounce of power feel the need to preemptively declare an emergency, tell us how this setup is more dangerous than anything before, and use both those reasons to take away the right to leave the house from hours before an event to hours or days after.

Cant wait to see my kids school delayed 2 hours for 3 inches of snow on Tuesday because Westchester never saw snow before 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

12 minutes ago, the_other_guy said:

Would have been packed. 25 years ago schools rarely closed, the trusty 7 train took my mother around in all sorts of storms and blizzards, and the idea of banning travel would have been ludicrous. 

Now we live in a world where everyone with a twitter account and an ounce of power feel the need to preemptively declare an emergency, tell us how this setup is more dangerous than anything before, and use both those reasons to take away the right to leave the house from hours before an event to hours or days after.

Cant wait to see my kids school delayed 2 hours for 3 inches of snow on Tuesday because Westchester never saw snow before 

I gotta disagree here. We know better now, and nothing is so important that it can't wait, except for medical and essential workers. School can wait, can be done online, can be made up. Yes we drove in the bad weather in the past. I got stuck in the heavy dump in Jan 87 that was not well modeled; I never saw snow come down like that. I drove a Chevy Monza, rear wheel drive on an 8th of a tank. I could have died. They let us out at 10 am from Piscataway. Took me 4 hours to get to Woodbridge. In Dec 92 I got stuck teaching a class all day with no power because they didn't think to cancel classes with a huge storm coming. And, we also have demonstrably worse weather now, witness the pics above in Metuchen. Nothing personal here, I just don't think the risks are worth it. 

  • Like 4
Link to comment
Share on other sites

27 minutes ago, weatherpruf said:

I gotta disagree here. We know better now, and nothing is so important that it can't wait, except for medical and essential workers. School can wait, can be done online, can be made up. Yes we drove in the bad weather in the past. I got stuck in the heavy dump in Jan 87 that was not well modeled; I never saw snow come down like that. I drove a Chevy Monza, rear wheel drive on an 8th of a tank. I could have died. They let us out at 10 am from Piscataway. Took me 4 hours to get to Woodbridge. In Dec 92 I got stuck teaching a class all day with no power because they didn't think to cancel classes with a huge storm coming. And, we also have demonstrably worse weather now, witness the pics above in Metuchen. Nothing personal here, I just don't think the risks are worth it. 

It's just a matter of judgement.  Folks here aren't making the 'Hey our parents smoked in the car and we didn't wear seatbelts.  I love the good old days, why can't it still be that way' argument - that's a dumb argument.  I think folks are just saying that the judgement these days seems to err too hard on the side of caution.  Additionally - and I know this point has been made at some point here -  if there's genuine concern about safety, then close the schools, don't have the dopey 2 hour delay, which just causes problems for everyone involved.

  • Like 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...