MJO812 Posted January 14, 2024 Share Posted January 14, 2024 Snowing here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rclab Posted January 14, 2024 Share Posted January 14, 2024 Flakes falling with a brisk wind over the postage stamp. My seniors best temperature gauge is betting against any quick accumulation. Stay well everyone, as always …. IMG_7089.mov 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SI Mailman Posted January 14, 2024 Share Posted January 14, 2024 We just had snow, nothing stuck but the sidewalks are wet 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted January 14, 2024 Share Posted January 14, 2024 We a flurry with a gust up here north of HPN. Last 5 or so minutes and poof. Nothing stuck of course but it was pretty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted January 14, 2024 Author Share Posted January 14, 2024 1 hour ago, psv88 said: Hi Walt. Just a question. Why do you lean on the Canadian so much? Doesn’t it have the lowest verification scores of all the main globals? I haven't checked but its verification last year was #2. Also, its' steadfast performance on the previous big inland event and the current one. It's a winter very good snow model. We must disagree. Most folks dont pay attention to the CMC... so they dont really know. It';s how you use these models. I'd say EC and GFS are a little shaky this coming event, Differing input? Go for it. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kat5hurricane Posted January 14, 2024 Share Posted January 14, 2024 Light snow and winds really whipping it around. It's pretty much white rain but considering these last 2 winters from hell, we take. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 14, 2024 Share Posted January 14, 2024 Euro looks nice Friday. Solid event 4+ atm 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted January 14, 2024 Share Posted January 14, 2024 Nice winter week coming up it seems. A light snow event with cold to keep it on the ground and then possibly a second snow event at the end of the week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 14, 2024 Share Posted January 14, 2024 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 14, 2024 Share Posted January 14, 2024 33 minutes ago, winterwx21 said: Just moderate here and didn't stick to anything. I guess the heaviest missed me just a few miles to the south. Glad you got to see a nice squall. Snowing nicely here, not really hard, but it's nice to see it snowing and it's blowing around with the high winds and the temp is now 36 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 14, 2024 Share Posted January 14, 2024 3 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Euro looks nice Friday. Solid event 4+ atm Yup. Great week of snow events with cold temps around. Can’t ask for much more with the way this winter has gone 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted January 14, 2024 Share Posted January 14, 2024 11 minutes ago, wdrag said: I haven't checked but its verification last year was #2. Also, its' steadfast performance on the previous big inland event and the current one. It's a winter very good snow model. We must disagree. Most folks dont pay attention to the CMC... so they dont really know. It';s how you use these models. I'd say EC and GFS are a little shaky this coming event, Differing input? Go for it. The CMC has had quite a few big victories with winter storm threats in the last few years. I trust it a lot more than GFS, that's for sure. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 14, 2024 Share Posted January 14, 2024 Just now, Allsnow said: Yup. Great week of snow events with cold temps around. Can’t ask for much more with the way this winter has gone I can ask for the nam to stop giving me sleet 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted January 14, 2024 Share Posted January 14, 2024 43 minutes ago, Rjay said: It could be Started as snow. It’s 41 though 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HailMan06 Posted January 14, 2024 Share Posted January 14, 2024 1 hour ago, Allsnow said: It’s cold but for a cold snap at the climatologically coldest week of the year it’s pretty meh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 14, 2024 Share Posted January 14, 2024 1 minute ago, Stormlover74 said: I can ask for the nam to stop giving me sleet You worry about the nam too much 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 14, 2024 Share Posted January 14, 2024 snow has gotten heavier, actually looks like a snowstorm outside right now (nothing is sticking of course, but it looks awesome midflight!) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 14, 2024 Share Posted January 14, 2024 the snow is now sticking to my roof! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted January 14, 2024 Share Posted January 14, 2024 1 minute ago, Allsnow said: You worry about the nam too much Everything else looks cold enough and a lot of the snow is overnight into the morning hours. Our area is looking good for a couple inches of accumulation on all surfaces. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted January 14, 2024 Author Share Posted January 14, 2024 Hi! I'll set up hopefully a carefully worded snow thread for Friday (late Thu-early Sat). Enough modeling has a cdefinite period of snow, or a moderate snow storm, take your pick. I'll check the ensembles this evening. I think we can wait on this a bit longer til this evening, before getting ahead of ourselves especially since ensembles are as of yet not more than 2". I kind of like a reasonable chance of getting snow accum in NYC and/or a 6+ just west of I95 for our I84 Pics/nw Nj slot before getting the thread going. Thanks for your patience. Walt 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted January 14, 2024 Author Share Posted January 14, 2024 5 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: I can ask for the nam to stop giving me sleet Mid level warming. EC doesn't have it. RGEM does. I think we need to pay attention to RGEM-NAM blend. EC and GFS flagged a significant event when the Tue thread was started then disappeared only to slowly return. The global models (EC-GFS) probably handle closed lows situations better then general WAA overrunning. Someone with knowledge of the models are welcome to check me on this. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kat5hurricane Posted January 14, 2024 Share Posted January 14, 2024 19 minutes ago, HVSnowLover said: Nice winter week coming up it seems. A light snow event with cold to keep it on the ground and then possibly a second snow event at the end of the week. Winter '14-'15 lite at least for one week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted January 14, 2024 Share Posted January 14, 2024 Could be wrong but I think in this case RGEM/NAM are too amped and still out of their best range for Tuesdays storm (RGEM is always warm biased and NAM has been a terrible model for a while). I think this is almost all snow for everyone maybe lower ratios or a bit of sleet mixed in on the immediate coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kat5hurricane Posted January 14, 2024 Share Posted January 14, 2024 16 minutes ago, HailMan06 said: It’s cold but for a cold snap at the climatologically coldest week of the year it’s pretty meh. Meh is a massive upgrade from what we've had the last few years. It's all about perspective. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted January 14, 2024 Share Posted January 14, 2024 2 minutes ago, kat5hurricane said: Meh is a massive upgrade from what we've had the last few years. It's all about perspective. I'd rather have 20s and two light snow events than single digits and dry anyway (I know the second event of the week may not even be that light or happen at all) but saying hypothetically if it panned out as modeled this would be an ideal winter week imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted January 14, 2024 Share Posted January 14, 2024 Nice snow shower now. 38 degrees though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 14, 2024 Share Posted January 14, 2024 5 minutes ago, HVSnowLover said: Could be wrong but I think in this case RGEM/NAM are too amped and still out of their best range for Tuesdays storm (RGEM is always warm biased and NAM has been a terrible model for a while). I think this is almost all snow for everyone maybe lower ratios or a bit of sleet mixed in on the immediate coast. They very well could be amped and I don't usually worry about the icon or rgem being too warm. The nam can often suck but is useful at finding that warm layer is all I'm saying Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 14, 2024 Share Posted January 14, 2024 3 minutes ago, psv88 said: Nice snow shower now. 38 degrees though well the party is over and the snow has ended here, the temp is 35, it snowed for about 50 minutes and it was fun while it lasted. It only ever stuck a little to rooftops and my window as the wind blew it around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted January 14, 2024 Share Posted January 14, 2024 7 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: They very well could be amped and I don't usually worry about the icon or rgem being too warm. The nam can often suck but is useful at finding that warm layer is all I'm saying Right but in this particular case what would be driving a warm layer unless it's amped and close to the coast? If the low is well offshore and not that strong I don't see why there would be a warm layer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted January 14, 2024 Share Posted January 14, 2024 1 hour ago, LibertyBell said: What was the followup storm to January 2016, Chris? Was that the storm we had a few inches of snow but it could have been a lot more (the storm was just east of us.) Or was that in February? The storm where the crane fell in NYC? https://www.weather.gov/okx/storm02052016 PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT SPOTTER REPORTS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 535 PM EST FRI FEB 05 2016 BETHPAGE 11.5 110 PM 2/05 PUBLIC NORTH BELLMORE 11.3 1249 PM 2/05 SOCIAL MEDIA EAST HILLS 11.0 1230 PM 2/05 PUBLIC PLAINVIEW 10.5 110 PM 2/05 TRAINED SPOTTER LEVITTOWN 10.2 1131 AM 2/05 TRAINED SPOTTER NORTH MERRICK 10.0 200 PM 2/05 PUBLIC TERRYVILLE 12.0 248 PM 2/05 PUBLIC SETAUKET 12.0 100 PM 2/05 NWS EMPLOYEE SAINT JAMES 11.9 110 PM 2/05 PUBLIC FARMINGVILLE 11.2 130 PM 2/05 TRAINED SPOTTER SELDEN 11.0 145 PM 2/05 TRAINED SPOTTER SOUTH HUNTINGTON 11.0 1130 AM 2/05 TRAINED SPOTTER PORT JEFFERSON 11.0 215 PM 2/05 PUBLIC YAPHANK 11.0 315 PM 2/05 PUBLIC HAUPPAUGE 10.5 130 PM 2/05 NWS EMPLOYEE MILLER PLACE 10.5 130 PM 2/05 PUBLIC HOLTSVILLE 10.0 300 PM 2/05 AMATEUR RADIO HUNTINGTON 10.0 130 PM 2/05 TRAINED SPOTTER 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now