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September 2023


Stormlover74
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I posted this in N n W but am putting this here also = What do you guys think about tomorrow (Saturday the 9th) as I am having people over my house for an afternoon / evening party from 2 pm onward and am looking at the models.....The "Mesos" are NOT showing a washout and that I might actual be able to luck out and stay mostly dry,,,,,,do I have a shot at this = thoughts ?

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3 minutes ago, Brasiluvsnow said:

I posted this in N n W but am putting this here also = What do you guys think about tomorrow (Saturday the 9th) as I am having people over my house for an afternoon / evening party from 2 pm onward and am looking at the models.....The "Mesos" are NOT showing a washout and that I might actual be able to luck out and stay mostly dry,,,,,,do I have a shot at this = thoughts ?

Models have been horrible. I wouldn't cancel

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9 minutes ago, psv88 said:

Holy dew point. Dews at 77 at ISP and FRG, 76 at JFK. High end stuff. Nasty out there

This is the 2nd highest September dew point reading on record at 78° here at KHVN. You  can really feel it when you go outside. 
 

https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/plotting/auto/?_wait=no&q=155&network=CT_ASOS&zstation=HVN&var=max_dwpf&w=all&threshold=100&hour=12&sdate=0101&edate=1231&month=sep&_r=t&dpi=100&_fmt=png

4C75A413-E3F1-45B1-8F43-9BD0D0E23C5B.thumb.png.64aa3875c016cdd46357a3daa97b3c8f.png

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1 hour ago, Allsnow said:

HRRR really gets action going in northeast jersey and nyc this afternoon 

Latest HRRR has the storms popping up right over our area, but HRRR and the other models aren't showing a lot of activity for today. Very isolated, but there will be a few areas that get lucky with strong storms. Hoping to see something here. 

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20 minutes ago, winterwarlock said:

86 imby dew at 75 heat index 92

 

Going to Rutgers football tomorrow  night. Kick off at 730pm and tailgating at 430 pm. What does it look like. Ive heard models have been cutting back on widespread  qpf for Saturday

Yeah looks as if the activity tomorrow will be isolated. Enjoy the game! 

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1 hour ago, winterwarlock said:

86 imby dew at 75 heat index 92

 

Going to Rutgers football tomorrow  night. Kick off at 730pm and tailgating at 430 pm. What does it look like. Ive heard models have been cutting back on widespread  qpf for Saturday

Enjoy the game! Need to win a game like this to be considered legitimate 

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2 hours ago, psv88 said:

Holy dew point. Dews at 77 at ISP and FRG, 76 at JFK. High end stuff. Nasty out there

I’m south of you, recovering from a recent partial tear of my calf and was entertaining the thought of a jog to try to get it back into some kind of shape and felt the air, even at 7:30am, and said hell no. Even my mile-plus walk with the dog produced some sweat. 

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9 minutes ago, weatherpruf said:

I was hoping to get in some fishing off Breezy point...should I be concerned, since others are asking.....

Models showing just isolated to widely scattered activity. When it's not a washout I don't usually cancel plans, even though it's not a guarantee that it's gonna be dry. Keep an eye to the sky or radar. 

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