SRRTA22 Posted July 3, 2023 Share Posted July 3, 2023 1 minute ago, Stormlover74 said: Mt holly has a warning out now It's north of us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Will - Rutgers Posted July 3, 2023 Share Posted July 3, 2023 my new place in New Brunswick is on the 15th floor and i’m not used to this wind 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SRRTA22 Posted July 3, 2023 Share Posted July 3, 2023 Stop following off hour runs of the HRRR guys Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 3, 2023 Author Share Posted July 3, 2023 Just a light shower despite the warning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted July 3, 2023 Share Posted July 3, 2023 2 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Just a light shower despite the warning Some nice 30 to 40mph wind gusts as the line moved in, but only light to moderate rain here as well. Right now as I type it just picked up to high end moderate rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted July 3, 2023 Share Posted July 3, 2023 9 minutes ago, SRRTA22 said: Stop following off hour runs of the HRRR guys Yeah the 18z run did a good job while the later runs moved it too far north. That shouldn't happen with a highly skilled very short range model, but we know that the HRRR is very erratic at times. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyg Posted July 3, 2023 Share Posted July 3, 2023 Had a good 10 minute downpour and some wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted July 3, 2023 Share Posted July 3, 2023 Only a tenth of an inch of rain. The wind was much more impressive than the rain with the storm here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 3, 2023 Share Posted July 3, 2023 7/2 EWR: 91 LGA: 91 ACY: 89 New Brnswck: 89 BLM: 89 TEB: 89 NYC: 88 PHL: 88 TTN: 87 JFK: 84 ISP: 82 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted July 3, 2023 Share Posted July 3, 2023 Picked up 0.25" of rain for the day. Current temp 75/DP 73/RH 93% 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SRRTA22 Posted July 3, 2023 Share Posted July 3, 2023 @LongBeachSurfFreakthat one little storm around 5pm helped bring this line a little further north haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 3, 2023 Share Posted July 3, 2023 Dewpoint temps back to 71 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SRRTA22 Posted July 3, 2023 Share Posted July 3, 2023 46 minutes ago, winterwx21 said: Yeah the 18z run did a good job while the later runs moved it too far north. That shouldn't happen with a highly skilled very short range model, but we know that the HRRR is very erratic at times. Exactly , the 18z absolutely nailed the earlier convection, granted it was a tiny bit south with the line but that's expected... Tiny storm(around 5pm) set up a prominent outflow boundary in the area. Unfortunately we just have timing issues, just like Monday this weekend could've been a significant outbreak for our area if the timing was right 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted July 3, 2023 Share Posted July 3, 2023 Some of the heaviest rain I've had in quite a while, .45 so far today and it's only 1am. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted July 3, 2023 Share Posted July 3, 2023 Another .72" last evening bringing the 24 hour or so total to .99". The hits just keep on coming IMBY. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted July 3, 2023 Share Posted July 3, 2023 6 hours ago, rclab said: Good evening L B S F, dmillz25. CPK registered .16. Stay well, as always… Literally what a 5 mile difference did yesterday 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted July 3, 2023 Share Posted July 3, 2023 6 hours ago, winterwx21 said: Only a tenth of an inch of rain. The wind was much more impressive than the rain with the storm here. .47 here…went to bed before the line hit but I only had .08 before that 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted July 3, 2023 Share Posted July 3, 2023 The next 8 days are averaging 82degs.(73/91) or +5. Reached 84 here yesterday at 6pm. Today: 84-89, wind w., variable clouds, Rain by 9pm., 74 by tomorrow AM. 75*(90%RH) here at 7am{was 74 at 6am} 77* at 9am. 80* at 11am. 84* at Noon. down to 81* at 1pm. up to 90* at 6pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted July 3, 2023 Share Posted July 3, 2023 Wtf...now thunderstorms likely for the 4th? Those mid range models need to be tossed. Theyve been awful for months now. Seems like every forecast 3-5 days out changes by the time we get to 24 hours 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rclab Posted July 3, 2023 Share Posted July 3, 2023 8 hours ago, Will - Rutgers said: my new place in New Brunswick is on the 15th floor and i’m not used to this wind Good morning Will. Congratulations and good fortune in the new home. It can’t be pleasant when the atmosphere passes wind. Stay well, as always …. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Will - Rutgers Posted July 3, 2023 Share Posted July 3, 2023 3 minutes ago, rclab said: Good morning Will. Congratulations and good fortune in the new home. It can’t be pleasant when the atmosphere passes wind. Stay well, as always …. thank you my friend. if you gentlemen could see this view i think you’d be jealous. cannot wait for the next big SVR. i can see for miles and miles. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted July 3, 2023 Share Posted July 3, 2023 39 minutes ago, winterwarlock said: Wtf...now thunderstorms likely for the 4th? Those mid range models need to be tossed. Theyve been awful for months now. Seems like every forecast 3-5 days out changes by the time we get to 24 hours Terrible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted July 3, 2023 Share Posted July 3, 2023 Current temp 81/DP 73/RH 77% Off to a very warn and muggy start to the day. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 3, 2023 Share Posted July 3, 2023 1 hour ago, winterwarlock said: Wtf...now thunderstorms likely for the 4th? Those mid range models need to be tossed. Theyve been awful for months now. Seems like every forecast 3-5 days out changes by the time we get to 24 hours Most of the day is rain free though....and not everyone will get one. Classic summertime weather. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 3, 2023 Author Share Posted July 3, 2023 8 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: Most of the day is rain free though....and not everyone will get one. Classic summertime weather. Could be enough for some towns to cancel fireworks though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted July 3, 2023 Share Posted July 3, 2023 18 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: Most of the day is rain free though....and not everyone will get one. Classic summertime weather. Upton bullish on coverage Tuesday afternoon/evening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted July 3, 2023 Share Posted July 3, 2023 1 hour ago, Will - Rutgers said: thank you my friend. if you gentlemen could see this view i think you’d be jealous. cannot wait for the next big SVR. i can see for miles and miles. Yeah I have a miles long view down the hill to my east. Looking out at the backside of storms as they pass me can be pretty awesome and looking at clear skies as a storm/front move over is kickass. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 3, 2023 Share Posted July 3, 2023 80/70 partly cloudy warm humid and scattered storms today. The fourth should see cloudy to partly cloudy skies with storms clearing in the afternoon and only isolated storms after that. Some places hit 90 yesterday with the breaks in clouds and the same today where and when the sun stay out with very hot airmass suorrounding the area wit 850s >18c. Fourth the same places mid / upper 80s and some touch 90 to continue or start a potential heatwave. Wed (7/5) and Thu (7/6) hot, humid upper 80s near or low 90s and some spots with their first heatwave or beyond. Fri (7/7) and the weekend look similar to this past few days warm, humid and chances for storms in this tropical style pattern. Trough into the north east with south westerly keeping it war but potentially freqent storms. 7/12 and the way beyond, - overall warm humid and the wester atlantic ridge expanding west - if it backs far enough its longer and hotter ahead if it stays it'll remain the block to keep us in the weakness and boundary of the front - warm and stormy. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 3, 2023 Share Posted July 3, 2023 1 hour ago, winterwarlock said: Wtf...now thunderstorms likely for the 4th? Those mid range models need to be tossed. Theyve been awful for months now. Seems like every forecast 3-5 days out changes by the time we get to 24 hours Models were showing that consistently outside the GFS. Energy remains in the weakness moves through tomorrow afternoon. I think any (scattered) storms are done by 2 and anything beyond there is very isolated . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted July 3, 2023 Share Posted July 3, 2023 3 minutes ago, SACRUS said: Models were showing that consistently outside the GFS. Energy remains in the weakness moves through tomorrow afternoon. I think any (scattered) storms are done by 2 and anything beyond there is very isolated . Upton has the storms generally from 2-8 for the island…not finished by 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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