forkyfork Posted July 19, 2023 Share Posted July 19, 2023 16 hours ago, qg_omega said: Nothing impressive there, 90 is the new normal hotter trends on all the models last night. thank you so much 1 1 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted July 19, 2023 Share Posted July 19, 2023 40 minutes ago, forkyfork said: hotter trends on all the models last night. thank you so much my body has acclimated to the heat so 95 will not bother me... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted July 19, 2023 Share Posted July 19, 2023 15 hours ago, donsutherland1 said: Tomorrow will be variably cloudy and warm. Some locations could experience a shower or thunderstorm. Afterward, the remainder of the week and weekend will be mainly dry. An extreme heat event continues to grip the Southwest. Cities such as Las Vegas, Phoenix, and Tucson could see readings continue to rise toward or above their record daily levels over the next few days. Today's highlights included: Austin: 107° (tied record set in 1918 and tied in 1923) Cotulla: 109° (old record: 107°, 2022) Del Rio: 108° (old record: 106°, 2018) El Paso: 109° (old record: 106°, 1980) Imperial: 117° (tied record set in 2009) Phoenix: 118° (old record: 115°, 1989) ***Record 19th consecutive 110° or above day*** Roswell: 111° (old record: 107°, 2019) ***Tied July record*** San Angelo: 110° (old record: 107°, 1989 and 2022) ***6th 110° or above day, which doubles the old record of 3 from 1944*** San Antonio: 104° (tied record set in 1918) Tucson: 112° (old record: 109°, 1989 and 1992) ***Record-tying 10th 110° or above day The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +3.4°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +1.1°C for the week centered around July 12. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +2.80°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.97°C. El Niño conditions have developed and will likely continue to strengthen through at least the summer. The probability of an East-based El Niño event has increased. The SOI was -13.36 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.465 today. On July 16 the MJO was in Phase 3 at an amplitude of 0.288 (RMM). The July 15-adjusted amplitude was 0.407 (RMM). Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 76% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal July (1991-2020 normal). July will likely finish with a mean temperature near 79.2° (1.7° above normal). Austin tied their record of most 105+ degree days in a row yesterday and will likely exceed it quite a bit since there’s no end to the hot pattern. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steve392 Posted July 19, 2023 Share Posted July 19, 2023 Pouring in little ferry, nj. Wasn't expecting rain... Again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted July 19, 2023 Share Posted July 19, 2023 5 minutes ago, jm1220 said: Austin tied their record of most 105+ degree days in a row yesterday and will likely exceed it quite a bit since there’s no end to the hot pattern. So many records are being set. El Paso has blown its record for 100+ degree days out of the water (33 and counting). 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted July 19, 2023 Share Posted July 19, 2023 10 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said: So many records are being set. El Paso has blown its record for 100+ degree days out of the water (33 and counting). Prob faulty temp sensors or too much pavement 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 19, 2023 Share Posted July 19, 2023 Been hearing about big heat for the last 6 weeks...not much in reality to date...kind of like the big cold/snow that's coming after a warm Dec/Jan... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted July 19, 2023 Share Posted July 19, 2023 Pouring at Jones beach currently, really starting to make up for the dry stretch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted July 19, 2023 Share Posted July 19, 2023 14 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: Been hearing about big heat for the last 6 weeks...not much in reality to date...kind of like the big cold/snow that's coming after a warm Dec/Jan... Yes, at least the next week or so looks pretty much normal, even some cool nights inland. Those cool nights will feel good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_other_guy Posted July 19, 2023 Share Posted July 19, 2023 1 hour ago, forkyfork said: hotter trends on all the models last night. thank you so much What is hotter? You live in a humid tropical like climate now with a temperature between 85 and 95. Rarely more, rarely less. And it all feels very similar: a sticky, buggy, shitty mess. The 100s you want are as elusive as sub 20 degree winter days now 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uofmiami Posted July 19, 2023 Share Posted July 19, 2023 Just now, the_other_guy said: What is hotter? You live in a humid tropical like climate now with a temperature between 85 and 95. Rarely more, rarely less. And it all feels very similar: a sticky, buggy, shitty mess. The 100s you want are as elusive as sub 20 degree winter days now Can you fly him to Texas on your next flight? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted July 19, 2023 Share Posted July 19, 2023 2 minutes ago, the_other_guy said: What is hotter? You live in a humid tropical like climate now with a temperature between 85 and 95. Rarely more, rarely less. And it all feels very similar: a sticky, buggy, shitty mess. The 100s you want are as elusive as sub 20 degree winter days now we used to get summers where 90 was a struggle 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted July 19, 2023 Share Posted July 19, 2023 is everyone pretending this region isn't +2 or higher this month? 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted July 19, 2023 Share Posted July 19, 2023 brrrr 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rmine1 Posted July 19, 2023 Share Posted July 19, 2023 Absolutely pouring on Ocean Parkway Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Intensewind002 Posted July 19, 2023 Share Posted July 19, 2023 0.01” of rain here, most of it looks to miss to the south but i can maybe squeeze out 0.2-0.4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted July 19, 2023 Share Posted July 19, 2023 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted July 19, 2023 Share Posted July 19, 2023 do any climate change deniers want to tell us that's not a heat signal? lol 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted July 19, 2023 Share Posted July 19, 2023 congrats LI. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted July 19, 2023 Share Posted July 19, 2023 1 minute ago, Snowlover11 said: congrats LI. We likey. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 19, 2023 Share Posted July 19, 2023 31 minutes ago, forkyfork said: do any climate change deniers want to tell us that's not a heat signal? lol it's the 200 hr plus GEFS and it's also the GEFS. Any support from the big boy models? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 19, 2023 Share Posted July 19, 2023 Starting to clear out here-rain missed south which is fine by me. 76 degrees Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted July 19, 2023 Share Posted July 19, 2023 Not sure why Forky is trolling. I thought 10 day maps are frowned upon in the winter? It’s hot, humid and annoying. It’s summer in NJ. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted July 19, 2023 Share Posted July 19, 2023 you guys are so sad this is going to happen lol 1 1 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted July 19, 2023 Share Posted July 19, 2023 LI needed this 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted July 19, 2023 Share Posted July 19, 2023 6 minutes ago, ForestHillWx said: Not sure why Forky is trolling. I thought 10 day maps are frowned upon in the winter? It’s hot, humid and annoying. It’s summer in NJ. why don't we get -2 julys anymore? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rclab Posted July 19, 2023 Share Posted July 19, 2023 9 minutes ago, ForestHillWx said: Not sure why Forky is trolling. I thought 10 day maps are frowned upon in the winter? It’s hot, humid and annoying. It’s summer in NJ. Good afternoon F H W. Possibly because it gets boring/lonely under the bridge. More probably its to instigate responses that could evolve into a relevant discussion. Stay well, as always … 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted July 19, 2023 Share Posted July 19, 2023 do any of the "day 10 lol" people want to tell me which direction the errors have been going? more or less se ridging? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 19, 2023 Share Posted July 19, 2023 23 minutes ago, ForestHillWx said: Not sure why Forky is trolling. I thought 10 day maps are frowned upon in the winter? It’s hot, humid and annoying. It’s summer in NJ. only if it's winter and it shows cold/snow in the summer it's ok even if none have verified to date.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted July 19, 2023 Share Posted July 19, 2023 4 hours ago, Allsnow said: .15 this morning .25 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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