CoastalWx Posted August 17, 2023 Share Posted August 17, 2023 14 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: That has to relinquish a bit. Looked like guidance was trying to do that a few days ago, but stubborn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted August 17, 2023 Share Posted August 17, 2023 I think it will. More concerned about the number of TUTTs and shear that will enter the basin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 17, 2023 Share Posted August 17, 2023 3 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: I think it will. More concerned about the number of TUTTs and shear that will enter the basin. TUTTs aren't always a bad thing. Remember Michael followed a TUTT into the Gulf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted August 17, 2023 Share Posted August 17, 2023 16 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: TUTTs aren't always a bad thing. Remember Michael followed a TUTT into the Gulf Yeah, the position and amplitude matter. We have some middling features out in the basin now but I think the highest potential comes late month if we can get a CAG in the western Caribbean. That’d bring something north off the SE coast or into the Gulf—if the activity doesn’t center in the EPAC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 17, 2023 Share Posted August 17, 2023 19 hours ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: You would need a cat 5 at the latitude of Cabo, that gets sling shot north north east at, at least 40knots to get anything resembling a real cane. It’s possible but extremely unlikely. Low end trop storm is generally about the strongest possible given the hundreds of miles of cool water along the Baja, which is often even colder than in socal itself. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 17, 2023 Share Posted August 17, 2023 1 hour ago, ineedsnow said: 1858 happened...but we don't really know what the official winds were in that even though the estimate is like 70kt. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 17, 2023 Share Posted August 17, 2023 Just now, dendrite said: 1858 happened...but we don't really know what the official winds were in that even though the estimate is like 70kt. Biggest threat for sure is likely Hydro. That's gonna slam a lot of dry areas and especially the high terrain with a ton of moisture. You want to end the drought.....you got it brotha. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted August 17, 2023 Share Posted August 17, 2023 16 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Biggest threat for sure is likely Hydro. That's gonna slam a lot of dry areas and especially the high terrain with a ton of moisture. You want to end the drought.....you got it brotha. Year’s worth of rain in 24-48 hours in the dry areas would cause some trouble. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted August 17, 2023 Share Posted August 17, 2023 Flying to SD next Wednesday morning. Hopefully everything is sorted out by then. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted August 17, 2023 Share Posted August 17, 2023 18 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said: Flying to SD next Wednesday morning. Hopefully everything is sorted out by then. I saw this and immediately thought "Who the hell flies out to South Dakota?" Then I realized San Diego. D'oh! 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted August 18, 2023 Share Posted August 18, 2023 21 hours ago, CoastalWx said: Biggest threat for sure is likely Hydro. That's gonna slam a lot of dry areas and especially the high terrain with a ton of moisture. You want to end the drought.....you got it brotha. No doubt! An inch or more of rain there in a short period and it's like 20 inches of snow here as far as disruption, and ability to handle it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 18, 2023 Share Posted August 18, 2023 Just your typical summer forecast for Death Valley 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted August 18, 2023 Share Posted August 18, 2023 Hope they get 4" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted August 18, 2023 Share Posted August 18, 2023 Really starting to like the last week of August. Not for here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 18, 2023 Share Posted August 18, 2023 41 minutes ago, dendrite said: Just your typical summer forecast for Death Valley thats going to be bad for them... so far the 12z models are lighting up the Atlantic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted August 18, 2023 Share Posted August 18, 2023 5 hours ago, dendrite said: Just your typical summer forecast for Death Valley Gonna be some wild flooding PWATS approaching 1.75 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tiger_deF Posted August 19, 2023 Share Posted August 19, 2023 The wave just moving off of Africa is picking up some interesting model support. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted August 19, 2023 Share Posted August 19, 2023 LR models hinting at another E Canada hit 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted August 20, 2023 Share Posted August 20, 2023 1 hour ago, Torch Tiger said: LR models hinting at another E Canada hit 90L is one of those worth watching long range. There’s a ton of chaos in the basin and I think we’re really going to need to wait until whatever crosses the Antilles back into the Atlantic to have a good sense of what’ll happen. Obviously always favor OTS yada yada. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted August 20, 2023 Share Posted August 20, 2023 34 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: 90L is one of those worth watching long range. There’s a ton of chaos in the basin and I think we’re really going to need to wait until whatever crosses the Antilles back into the Atlantic to have a good sense of what’ll happen. Obviously always favor OTS yada yada. Yeah I'm just hyping. lol Hard to "favor" OTS when Canada has been a magnet in recent years (like '19? onward) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted August 20, 2023 Share Posted August 20, 2023 1 hour ago, Torch Tiger said: Yeah I'm just hyping. lol Hard to "favor" OTS when Canada has been a magnet in recent years (like '19? onward) I know, I’m probably hyping too Canada has been on a heater lately. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted August 20, 2023 Share Posted August 20, 2023 I had never seen this reel of 1938 hurricane damage before. Quite staggering. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted August 20, 2023 Share Posted August 20, 2023 Two of my 1991 relics. Stop sign found floating in Great Pond, Falmouth. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted August 20, 2023 Share Posted August 20, 2023 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 20, 2023 Share Posted August 20, 2023 we watch 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 20, 2023 Share Posted August 20, 2023 19 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: we watch Every model has the low way offshore at this point 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 20, 2023 Share Posted August 20, 2023 45 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Every model has the low way offshore at this point Yup but a few EPS members and GEFS members take it close.. worth watching still a long ways off 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted August 20, 2023 Share Posted August 20, 2023 1 hour ago, MJO812 said: Every model has the low way offshore at this point Maybe a nice swell producer at least 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted August 20, 2023 Share Posted August 20, 2023 Let’s see what the TUTT lets develop in Atlantic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted August 20, 2023 Share Posted August 20, 2023 51 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Let’s see what the TUTT lets develop in Atlantic King Tutt is in Egypt, silly 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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