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2023 - tracking the tropics


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This is an EXTREMELY loose assessment and criteria but I've gone back to look at summers in which we were transitioning from La Nina to EL Nino. I just solely used the Ensemble ONI. Again...just very basic assessment with one strict criteria. 

List of years:

1904, 1911, 1918, 1925, 1951, 1957, 1965, 1972, 1976, 2006, 2018

Avg. # of named storms: 8.55

Avg. # of hurricanes: 4.45

Avg. # of major's: 1.18

If doing from 1965-on

Avg. # of named storms: 10.4

Avg. # of hurricanes: 5.20

Avg. # of major's: 1.40

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On 5/20/2023 at 2:00 PM, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Key west or Broward/Palm beach is long “overdue”for a catastrophic 4 or 5

That’s definitely the number one overdue for the big one spot in the US. They used to get a major every few years back in the 20-40s. 

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