MJO812 Posted September 23, 2022 Share Posted September 23, 2022 3 minutes ago, jrips27 said: 12z EPS tracks thru 144 Definitely loves Florida Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattPetrulli Posted September 23, 2022 Share Posted September 23, 2022 TD10 has been given the name Hermine. TD 9 will be Ian. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted September 23, 2022 Share Posted September 23, 2022 5 minutes ago, jrips27 said: 12z EPS tracks thru 144 Seems the quicker the right turn the weaker it is… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maxwell03 Posted September 23, 2022 Share Posted September 23, 2022 2 minutes ago, MattPetrulli said: TD10 has been given the name Hermine. TD 9 will be Ian. Phew 5 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted September 23, 2022 Share Posted September 23, 2022 24 minutes ago, eyes2theskies said: I think the nhc will keep the track the same splitting the gfs and the euro I think they shift somewhat west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 23, 2022 Share Posted September 23, 2022 4 minutes ago, Modfan2 said: Seems the quicker the right turn the weaker it is… And some members coming up the coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted September 23, 2022 Share Posted September 23, 2022 PhewYou think that is a good thing? Who here is gonna tell him Sent from my SM-S102DL using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maxwell03 Posted September 23, 2022 Share Posted September 23, 2022 Just now, Sandstorm94 said: You think that is a good thing? Who here is gonna tell him Sent from my SM-S102DL using Tapatalk The I storm curse, yeah I know. I just really disliked the name Hermine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jacindc Posted September 23, 2022 Share Posted September 23, 2022 2 minutes ago, Maxwell03 said: The I storm curse, yeah I know. I just really disliked the name Hermine. Anyone under 40 is going to call it Hermione anyway. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prospero Posted September 23, 2022 Share Posted September 23, 2022 One of these days here in Gulfport (South Pinellas County in Tampa Bay) we will be slammed. The last Hermine was in the top 3 for cost and aggravation since I moved here in 2006. Irma takes the cake with a few thousand bucks of clean up and ruined food and other stuff. I was across the bay in Sun City Center for 2004 Charlie, Francis, and Jeane. All three were a thrill, but Jeane is the one that killed power for a few days long enough that everything in the freezer and fridge were destroyed. Just made plans with my wife who is disabled. She will spend the time at the Assisted Living facility where my Dad is about five minuted from here and is shelter. My 87 year old Dad wants to be here with me to stay in the house and we will have enough beer to last a week. Even though only five blocks from the Boca Ciega Bay, we are on a 15 foot hump so likely not a storm surge threat, we hope. By Monday Hermine is likely to be heading to west LA as a Cat whatever which will make me very angry... 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted September 23, 2022 Share Posted September 23, 2022 2 minutes ago, Prospero said: One of these days here in Gulfport (South Pinellas County in Tampa Bay) we will be slammed. The last Hermine was in the top 3 for cost and aggravation since I moved here in 2006. Irma takes the cake with a few thousand bucks of clean up and ruined food and other stuff. I was across the bay in Sun City Center for 2004 Charlie, Francis, and Jeane. All three were a thrill, but Jeane is the one that killed power for a few days long enough that everything in the freezer and fridge were destroyed. Just made plans with my wife who is disabled. She will spend the time at the Assisted Living facility where my Dad is about five minuted from here and is shelter. My 87 year old Dad wants to be here with me to stay in the house and we will have enough beer to last a week. Even though only five blocks from the Boca Ciega Bay, we are on a 15 foot hump so likely not a storm surge threat, we hope. By Monday Hermine is likely to be heading to west LA as a Cat whatever which will make me very angry... Ian. Louisana? No model has that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted September 23, 2022 Share Posted September 23, 2022 19 minutes ago, MattPetrulli said: TD10 has been given the name Hermine. TD 9 will be Ian. You almost wonder given the semi toss up status of both right now if this was a make it easier on the media move, not that Hermine is Isiashs or some other insanely hard name to pronounce. Would be funny if at 5pm or 8pm we get Ian anyway Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prospero Posted September 23, 2022 Share Posted September 23, 2022 2 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: Ian. Louisana? No model has that. Gulfport, FL, the "other" Gulfport. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted September 23, 2022 Share Posted September 23, 2022 10 minutes ago, jacindc said: Anyone under 40 is going to call it Hermione anyway. Hurricane Hermione gonna wingardium leviosa that storm surge all up into Florida. 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed, snow and hurricane fan Posted September 23, 2022 Share Posted September 23, 2022 1 hour ago, olafminesaw said: Yeah, obviously, that's a highly unlikely outcome. Has there ever been a storm that's made multiple landfalls in the US as a major? (excluding barrier islands etc.) Andrew 5 in Florida and 3 in Louisiana comes to mind. I know Donna, before I was born, brought hurricane force winds to every state Florida to Maine, I suspect more than 1 was MH Edit- no on Donna except Florida 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted September 23, 2022 Share Posted September 23, 2022 20 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: You almost wonder given the semi toss up status of both right now if this was a make it easier on the media move, not that Hermine is Isiashs or some other insanely hard name to pronounce. Would be funny if at 5pm or 8pm we get Ian anyway I had that same thought! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prospero Posted September 23, 2022 Share Posted September 23, 2022 15 minutes ago, Nibor said: Hurricane Hermione gonna wingardium leviosa that storm surge all up into Florida. I was a kid when Agnes spun out in the Gulf for a while in 1972 and pushed us the highest storm surge in the past decades for Tampa Bay. Remember watching the Washingtonian Palms swaying in the wind, but the large waves crashing in our driveway were a true memory for sure. The old Skyway Bridge was mostly under several feet of water. Our favorite seafood restaurant on Treasure Island was destroyed. 50 years and no other storm has beat it. And it was the 1920s since the last big surge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
coastal front Posted September 23, 2022 Share Posted September 23, 2022 12z eps has even more members flirting with the east coast. 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prospero Posted September 23, 2022 Share Posted September 23, 2022 1 minute ago, coastal front said: 12z eps has even more members flirting with the east coast. If that trend keeps going, we'll be hoping for at least some rain in Tampa Bay. But this September has been the wettest I remember. This is usually a DRY month except Tropical Systems! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted September 23, 2022 Share Posted September 23, 2022 3 minutes ago, coastal front said: 12z eps has even more members flirting with the east coast. The timing is everything for an east coast special. The storm has to be far enough N&E to feel the trough but not get pushed OTS by it and it can't get trapped by the ridge either. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted September 23, 2022 Share Posted September 23, 2022 Just now, SnoSki14 said: The timing is everything for an east coast special. The storm has to be far enough N&E to feel the trough but not get pushed OTS by it and it can't get trapped by the ridge either. It’s a low likelihood Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 23, 2022 Share Posted September 23, 2022 3 minutes ago, StantonParkHoya said: It’s a low likelihood It is but not impossible 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted September 23, 2022 Share Posted September 23, 2022 Looks like the storm is becoming more vertically stacked on sat view. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/satlooper.php?region=09L&product=vis 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted September 23, 2022 Share Posted September 23, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattPetrulli Posted September 23, 2022 Share Posted September 23, 2022 New cone is slightly west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dbullsfan22 Posted September 23, 2022 Share Posted September 23, 2022 14 minutes ago, Prospero said: If that trend keeps going, we'll be hoping for at least some rain in Tampa Bay. But this September has been the wettest I remember. This is usually a DRY month except Tropical Systems! Are you surprised? It probably rained more today than it will as a result of this storm in Tampa. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted September 23, 2022 Share Posted September 23, 2022 1 minute ago, MattPetrulli said: New cone is slightly west Hype the media hype train now boyz! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prospero Posted September 23, 2022 Share Posted September 23, 2022 2 minutes ago, Dbullsfan22 said: Are you surprised? It probably rained more today than it will as a result of this storm in Tampa. Just now I got freaked out. NHC was pretty good last year even when I disagreed many times. 5 days out now, have to take things more serious. In the last years since Irma, I think this is the first time we are inside the dark green, medium green, light green, and yellow. Or closer than I remember since 2017. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TPAwx Posted September 23, 2022 Share Posted September 23, 2022 11 minutes ago, MattPetrulli said: New cone is slightly west Along with an acknowledgement of increased track uncertainty late in the forecast period. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prospero Posted September 23, 2022 Share Posted September 23, 2022 4 minutes ago, LeesburgWx said: Hype the media hype train now boyz! Ultimate Hype Memory: The morning Charlie was bee-lining for Tampa Bay in 2004, direct line in its target and I was in Sun City Center! Nobody expected a hard right turn (that I was aware of). Many friends left here and the beaches scrambling in traffic to get to Orlando where they were pummeled by Charlie around midnight worse than we saw around here. It was a treat for us as it passed just South of where I was during daylight so I could experience it outside watching tiles blow off roofs and shutters flying down the street like paper trash. We kept power until 3:00 am or so and it was only out a few hours. We were spared, but close enough it is a something I'll never forget. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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