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August Discobs 2022


George BM
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3 minutes ago, yoda said:

Where are you seeing that?

image.png.0cbedad365cef88cd1ec7a81f7466c9d.png

Well I'll be...  That's interesting.  The first NWS FFW post at 10:20 did not include FFCO, LOCO, PWCO, and several others.   The time stamp for the FFW posting now is still 10:20, so Sterling must have gone back and edited the Watch again to add the extra counties.  I'm really not imaging it...  too early to drink.  Or maybe I should start.  

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Looks like LWX issued two separate watches...one for the I-81 corridor and one for the metros. Might have taken a moment or two for everything to populate on the public facing website.

Updated AFD is interesting:

Quote
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
MID MORNING UPDATE: CONFIDENCE IS INCREASING WITH REGARD TO THE
THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODING ACROSS THE AREA TODAY. WITH
PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES CLIMBING TO ABOVE TWO INCHES, AMPLE 
INSTABILITY PRESENT, AND DEEP WARM CLOUD LAYERS IN PLACE, ANY 
STORMS TODAY SHOULD BE VERY EFFICIENT HEAVY RAINFALL PRODUCERS. 
LOW- LEVEL WINDS SHOULD BE AROUND THE SAME MAGNITUDE AS, AND 
CLOSE TO PARALLEL TO UPPER LEVEL WINDS, WHICH WILL POTENTIALLY 
ALLOW FOR SOME TRAINING AND BACKBUILDING OF CONVECTION AS WELL. 
ALTHOUGH THERE ISN'T A CLEAR BOUNDARY TO FOCUS CONVECTION TODAY,
LOCALIZED TOTALS OF TWO TO FOUR INCHES APPEAR POSSIBLE THIS 
AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING. FOR THE REASONS ABOVE (AND IN THE 
EARLIER ISSUED DISCUSSION BELOW), WE HAVE OPTED TO ISSUE A LARGE
FLOOD WATCH THAT ENCOMPASSES ALL OF THE FORECAST AREA EXCEPT 
CECIL COUNTY THROUGH THIS EVENING. PREVIOUS DISCUSSION 
FOLLOWS...

 

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11 minutes ago, BxEngine said:

Hi guys. Invading your forum to ask if you could send some storms to Rehoboth area this afternoon? Everything fizzled over me last night. Thx.

giphy.gif

 

You don't deserve any for hating on old bay vodka and ketchup

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22 minutes ago, BxEngine said:

Hi guys. Invading your forum to ask if you could send some storms to Rehoboth area this afternoon? Everything fizzled over me last night. Thx.

    several CAMs fire storms along the sea breeze in Delaware by early/mid afternoon

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43 minutes ago, BxEngine said:

If this dies out im banning you

CD7A4502-B531-4627-9D37-649F0F57F972.gif

You see the video with beach umbrellas flying out to sea at Sea Colony from this storm?  My wife showed it to me, and I'll post when I find it. 

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42 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

Hrrr seems to be JUST SLIGHTLY under predicting storm activity over the mountains at this time. 

It did that yesterday too. Is there something about this type of airmass that makes models underestimate storm activity?

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