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Closer to average temperatures feel cool compared to how warm it has been. Looks like the  near normal pattern will continue this week. Then back to above normal temperatures by next weekend into late August.


DEC51DE4-6272-4D33-B2CB-C6BF337DEF73.thumb.png.a5c0cd4716316446180796010ec326ab.png

7C83D26C-B3D4-4286-B93C-208D8507CD4C.thumb.png.13ff406071f41bb33ad9bd0ff75c9eea.png

6A766F2C-1214-4212-84CF-8C179260B14E.thumb.png.df09caadc08ae19ceb32a3a60b6f95b5.png

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The next 8 days are averaging  78degs.(71/86) or +2.

Month to date is  81.9[+4.8].     Should be 80.3[+3.7] by the 21st.

Reached 82 here yesterday.

Today: 78-83, wind n. to s. to w., m. sunny, 65 tomorrow AM.

Rain next week called off?   Coastal development gets a name?---August could have no named systems based on LR, otherwise.

68*(57%RH) here at 7am.      72* at Noon.     74* at 2pm.      76* at 3pm.       78* at 4pm.      79* at 4:30pm.      82* at 5pm.      Reached 86* for sometime after 6pm.     78* at 8pm.       73* at 10pm.

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1 hour ago, bluewave said:

Closer to average temperatures feel cool compared to how warm it has been. Looks like the  near normal pattern will continue this week. Then back to above normal temperatures by next weekend into late August.


DEC51DE4-6272-4D33-B2CB-C6BF337DEF73.thumb.png.a5c0cd4716316446180796010ec326ab.png

7C83D26C-B3D4-4286-B93C-208D8507CD4C.thumb.png.13ff406071f41bb33ad9bd0ff75c9eea.png

6A766F2C-1214-4212-84CF-8C179260B14E.thumb.png.df09caadc08ae19ceb32a3a60b6f95b5.png

That looks very Nino-ish as does the quiet tropics 

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Central air been off Friday and today.  At least the electric bill will get a break.  Although that's completely washed out and much more being my water heater took a dump on me last week.  Got 25 years out of an indirect water heater, ran its course

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From 58 now to a gorgeous 71 / 41.  Just a great weekend in store, lots of sunshine and dry low to mid 80s for most.  Trough closes off Mon (8/15) through Wed (8/17) will it rain or will it miss.  Still think we can squeeze some out of this setup Tue (8/16) and Wed (8/17).  

Rockies/Plains ridge runs wild in the WC , Western Atlantic Ridge slowly builds back by next weekend Sat (8/20).

Trough is lifting some by Fri (8/19) and a warmer / more humid flow develops, making way for an overall warm - hot (90s or better at times) and humid last 10 days or so of the month.  With this setup comes storm and pop up shower chances to potentially make up the deficits.

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Newark only has 1.17 of rain since July 1st which is the driest on record. Farmingdale is at 1.00 and is the driest for this period also. We’ll need to start getting some rain soon  in order to avoid getting another drought upgrade.
 

Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Ending Date
Total Precipitation Jul 1 to Aug 13
Missing Count
1 2022-08-13 1.17 1
2 1998-08-13 1.53 0
3 1966-08-13 1.76 0
4 1932-08-13 1.78 0
5 1999-08-13 1.92 0


 

Time Series Summary for FARMINGDALE REPUBLIC AP, NY
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Ending Date
Total Precipitation Jul 1 to Aug 13
Missing Count
1 2022-08-13 1.00 1
2 2002-08-13 1.25 3
3 2011-08-13 1.46 3
4 2010-08-13 2.24 0
5 2013-08-13 2.57 2



91157170-6CB1-4799-AB33-88A6F9FC1460.thumb.png.8c7f4b226208cdc544f113011d90a9f0.png

 

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30 minutes ago, bluewave said:

Newark only has 1.17 of rain since July 1st which is the driest on record. Farmingdale is at 1.00 and is the driest for this period also. We’ll need to start getting some rain in late August in order to avoid getting another drought upgrade.
 

Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Ending Date
Total Precipitation Jul 1 to Aug 13
Missing Count
1 2022-08-13 1.17 1
2 1998-08-13 1.53 0
3 1966-08-13 1.76 0
4 1932-08-13 1.78 0
5 1999-08-13 1.92 0


 

Time Series Summary for FARMINGDALE REPUBLIC AP, NY
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Ending Date
Total Precipitation Jul 1 to Aug 13
Missing Count
1 2022-08-13 1.00 1
2 2002-08-13 1.25 3
3 2011-08-13 1.46 3
4 2010-08-13 2.24 0
5 2013-08-13 2.57 2



91157170-6CB1-4799-AB33-88A6F9FC1460.thumb.png.8c7f4b226208cdc544f113011d90a9f0.png

 

2.51" here since 7/1.

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29 minutes ago, doncat said:

2.51" here since 7/1.

The last 2 years were top 5 wettest over the same period. 
 

Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Ending Date
Total Precipitation Jul 1 to Aug 12
Missing Count
1 2020-08-12 12.92 0
2 2007-08-12 12.31 0
3 1978-08-12 11.06 0
4 2021-08-12 11.04 0
5 2003-08-12 10.59 0
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19 hours ago, SnoSki14 said:

Looks subtropical actually. Need to see other models though. 

The RGEM and GEM are east. Always wary of amped up GFS and NAM runs when  the other models don’t agree. It would be more interesting if the Euro or Canadian came on board in later runs.

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