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July 2022


bluewave
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Morning thoughts…

It will be partly to mostly sunny and hot. High temperatures will reach the upper 80s and lower 90s in most of the region. Likely high temperatures around the region include:

New York City (Central Park): 89°

Newark: 96°

Philadelphia: 91°

Tomorrow will be very warm.

Normals:

New York City: 30-Year: 85.1°; 15-Year: 86.1°

Newark: 30-Year: 87.3°; 15-Year: 88.4°

Philadelphia: 30-Year: 88.1°; 15-Year: 89.1°

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The next 8 days are averaging  82degs.(73/92) or +4.

Reached 87 here late yesterday.

Today: 84-90, wind n. to w., m. sunny, clouds late, 73 tomorrow AM.

No rain till Sunday+?.    CMC has lowest T's for the next 10 days.    Dallas 100 streak continues till 20th. at least---when we may be throwing them our own 100...hee...hee...hee!

77*(73%RH) here at 7pm.      80* at 9am.      84* at Noon.       87* at 2pm.       88* at 2:30pm.        89* at 3pm.     down to 81* at 4pm.

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Driest start to July at Farmingdale with just .01 since the records began in 2000. The only good news is that we haven’t had any 90° days this month to dry things out further. I can remember July 99 having the brownest lawns with almost no rain and frequent 90s and several 100° days.

 

Time Series Summary for FARMINGDALE REPUBLIC AP, NY
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Ending Date
Total Precipitation Jul 1 to Jul 12
Missing Count
1 2022-07-12 0.01 0
2 2018-07-12 0.11 0
3 2000-07-12 0.16 0
4 2008-07-12 0.17 0
5 2015-07-12 0.28 1
6 2012-07-12 0.30 0
7 2002-07-12 0.43 0
8 2019-07-12 0.49 0
9 2011-07-12 0.53 0
10 2003-07-12 0.54 0
11 2013-07-12 0.65 0
12 2017-07-12 0.69 0
13 2014-07-12 1.16 0
14 2001-07-12 1.17 0
15 2010-07-12 1.21 0
16 2007-07-12 1.50 0
17 2004-07-12 1.54 0
18 2020-07-12 1.76 0
19 2005-07-12 2.01 0
20 2016-07-12 2.22 0
21 2021-07-12 2.70 0
22 2006-07-12 2.93 0
23 2009-07-12 2.94 0

 

FARMINGDALE REPUBLIC AP, NY
Daily Data For a Month
July 2022

Day   MaxT   MinT   AvgT   Dprt    HDD    CDD   Pcpn   Snow   Dpth
 1      84     67   75.5    1.8      0     11   0.00      M      M
 2      86     73   79.5    5.6      0     15      T      M      M
 3      86     69   77.5    3.4      0     13   0.00      M      M
 4      83     63   73.0   -1.3      0      8   0.00      M      M
 5      82     68   75.0    0.6      0     10   0.01      M      M
 6      86     71   78.5    3.9      0     14   0.00      M      M
 7      80     67   73.5   -1.3      0      9   0.00      M      M
 8      81     64   72.5   -2.4      0      8      T      M      M
 9      86     68   77.0    2.0      0     12   0.00      M      M
10      82     65   73.5   -1.7      0      9   0.00      M      M
11      81     63   72.0   -3.3      0      7   0.00      M      M
12      83     69   76.0    0.6      0     11   0.00      M      M
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8 minutes ago, lee59 said:

I've had .03 since July 1, I guess I shouldn't complain. :)

You are ahead of the game.;)

 

Monthly Data for July 2022 for Upton NY NWS CWA
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
State
Name
Station Type
Total Precipitation 
NJ WEST CALDWELL TWP 1.3 NE CoCoRaHS 0.00
NJ NORTH ARLINGTON 0.7 WNW CoCoRaHS 0.00
NJ GLEN ROCK 0.7 SSE CoCoRaHS 0.00
NJ PALISADES PARK 0.2 WNW CoCoRaHS 0.00
NJ LITTLE FALLS TWP 0.5 WNW CoCoRaHS 0.00
NJ HAWTHORNE 1.0 SSE CoCoRaHS 0.00
NY PEEKSKILL 0.4 N CoCoRaHS 0.00
NJ RIVER EDGE 0.4 NNE CoCoRaHS 0.00
NJ VERONA TWP 0.8 W CoCoRaHS 0.00
NJ LIVINGSTON TWP 2.0 NNE CoCoRaHS 0.00
NJ FAIR LAWN 1.2 SE CoCoRaHS 0.00
NJ WAYNE TWP 2.3 ESE CoCoRaHS 0.00
NJ MONTCLAIR 0.7 NNE CoCoRaHS 0.00
NY FLORAL PARK 0.4 W CoCoRaHS 0.00
NY SOUTH SALEM 2.1 NW CoCoRaHS 0.00
CT WESTPORT 2.5 ENE CoCoRaHS 0.00
CT STRATFORD 0.2 ESE CoCoRaHS 0.00
CT STRATFORD 0.9 W CoCoRaHS 0.00
CT FAIRFIELD 1.5 NE CoCoRaHS 0.00
NY SOUTH SALEM 0.8 N CoCoRaHS 0.00
CT TRUMBULL 1.2 S CoCoRaHS 0.00
CT DARIEN 2.4 NW CoCoRaHS 0.00
CT BRIDGEPORT 2.9 NNW CoCoRaHS 0.00
NJ MAPLEWOOD TWP 0.9 SE CoCoRaHS 0.00
NY STATEN ISLAND 4.5 SSE CoCoRaHS 0.00
NJ WESTFIELD 0.6 NE CoCoRaHS 0.00
NJ CRANFORD TWP 1.1 NNW CoCoRaHS 0.00
CT MADISON CENTER 4.1 N CoCoRaHS 0.00
CT KILLINGWORTH 2.6 ESE CoCoRaHS 0.00
CT GUILFORD CENTER 2.7 WSW CoCoRaHS 0.00
CT GRISWOLD 0.9 N CoCoRaHS 0.00
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Currently 82/69, low was 70.

Watching videos from College Park, MD yesterday and it hits me that I’ve only had like 1 or 2 thunderstorms so far this year, and it’s July. I don’t know if it’s just a Long Island thing but I don’t think I can ever get accustomed to this. It’s basically Los Angeles with humidity.

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14 hours ago, MANDA said:

Did well here.  Hail pea to some marble size.  Winds gusts to est. 40 mph.

Not enough hail to coat the ground but hail nonetheless.

Did not go out to read the gauge but has to be .50" to .75" based on how hard it rained for roughly 20 min.

Will check total in the morning.  Thunder and lightning was minimal.

Total was .77".  I'll take it and run!

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Heating up again today with more mid 90s and perhaps upper 90s in the hot spots.  A very mid summer style week continues with heat and temps should overperform on the sunnier days with recent lack of rains.   Overall warm pattern continue with pieces of the western heat pushing east in more frequent doses.  Stronger heat spike is looking to push through next week Mon (7/18) - Wed (7/20).  Can we see more rain chances with South /southerly flow.   Western Atlantic Ridge hanging around and timing the western expansion of the ridge The (7/21) and beyond.

 

 

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28 minutes ago, Cfa said:

Currently 82/69, low was 70.

Watching videos from College Park, MD yesterday and it hits me that I’ve only had like 1 or 2 thunderstorms so far this year, and it’s July. I don’t know if it’s just a Long Island thing but I don’t think I can ever get accustomed to this. It’s basically Los Angeles with humidity.

we got screwed by convection firing too quickly over the higher ridges of southern pa/w va and giving us anvil blowoff. a cap would have kept it from firing too early but we don't get those anymore

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36 minutes ago, Cfa said:

Currently 82/69, low was 70.

Watching videos from College Park, MD yesterday and it hits me that I’ve only had like 1 or 2 thunderstorms so far this year, and it’s July. I don’t know if it’s just a Long Island thing but I don’t think I can ever get accustomed to this. It’s basically Los Angeles with humidity.

That part of the Mid-Atlantic has had a banner year

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37 minutes ago, forkyfork said:

mins last night. ewr was in line with the rest of the UHI

Maybe a problem with the solar radiation shield at Newark since the lows are in line with Harrison but diverge once the sun comes up?

F9BFE1BB-4F58-47E9-A7EA-8F466244A60D.png.916aadcef4a70aa6b0088903b3b3474f.png

E06F39A4-29AB-4EC6-B37F-4A0AA3796BAF.png.f7588ed7ddb5f2b6f293648767e59dbc.png

 

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10 minutes ago, bluewave said:

Maybe a problem with the solar radiation shield at Newark since the lows are in line with Harrison but diverge once the sun comes up?

F9BFE1BB-4F58-47E9-A7EA-8F466244A60D.png.916aadcef4a70aa6b0088903b3b3474f.png

E06F39A4-29AB-4EC6-B37F-4A0AA3796BAF.png.f7588ed7ddb5f2b6f293648767e59dbc.png

 

Not commenting on Newark itself, there's enough folks doing that, but I had that problem with my old Vantage Vue, it was very evident on sunny days, but not all sunny days.  It tended to happen in the spring more than any other season for some reason.  I could never pinpoint the exact conditions when it would happen but when it did there was no doubt when comparing it to my other thermometers and other local readings.  The Vue has no FARS but Newark must so its not a direct comparison.

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11 hours ago, Rjay said:

My question is though, why do the temps at EWR seem more accurate on seabreeze days than on hot days without a seabreeze influence?   How was EWR in line with most areas around them yesterday if there's a sensor issue?

I would guess the sensor shield with a breeze is acting like an aspirated shield on say a Davis station.  That's my guess with regards to that, maybe it would should have one 24hrs? Idk

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20 minutes ago, bluewave said:

Maybe a problem with the solar radiation shield at Newark since the lows are in line with Harrison but diverge once the sun comes up?

F9BFE1BB-4F58-47E9-A7EA-8F466244A60D.png.916aadcef4a70aa6b0088903b3b3474f.png

E06F39A4-29AB-4EC6-B37F-4A0AA3796BAF.png.f7588ed7ddb5f2b6f293648767e59dbc.png

 

Upton also seems to be having trouble as their forecast is usually off by 3 to 5 degrees but I get that they are forecasting for the area and not one city. Today for example low 90s which should be pretty accurate even with ewr at 96 or 97

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1 hour ago, SACRUS said:

 

Heating up again today with more mid 90s and perhaps upper 90s in the hot spots.  A very mid summer style week continues with heat and temps should overperform on the sunnier days with recent lack of rains.   Overall warm pattern continue with pieces of the western heat pushing east in more frequent doses.  Stronger heat spike is looking to push through next week Mon (7/18) - Wed (7/20).  Can we see more rain chances with South /southerly flow.   Western Atlantic Ridge hanging around and timing the western expansion of the ridge The (7/21) and beyond.

 

 

I generally agree. The GFS and even the ensembles have been all over the place one run cooler one run hotter back and forth and continue to be. The Euro has been more consistent and accurate. I think this weekend will be increasingly muggy leading into some hot weather next week and that the first heatwave for NYC probably occurs next week. 

WX/PT

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32 minutes ago, Wxoutlooksblog said:

I generally agree. The GFS and even the ensembles have been all over the place one run cooler one run hotter back and forth and continue to be. The Euro has been more consistent and accurate. I think this weekend will be increasingly muggy leading into some hot weather next week and that the first heatwave for NYC probably occurs next week. 

WX/PT

You could probably throw in chances of  some storms with the instability there too

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8 minutes ago, thunderbolt said:

You could probably throw in chances of  some storms with the instability there too

For most of the immediate NYC Metro Region those chances have been very low, most areas remaining dry. I suspect that that tendency will continue for a while. The models are overdoing moisture.

WX/PT

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19 hours ago, forkyfork said:

i like thursday better than today for the immediate metro. light southerly flow is usually good for us based on what i've observed over the years 

models lost this idea and have dry nw flow now. hooray <3 

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1 hour ago, Dark Star said:

A flat black roof?  I would imagine the heat to be 10-20 degrees warmer than the grass at ground level.

not really...it was cooler than any place around the house at night and on par with other places during the day...

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