binbisso Posted June 17, 2022 Share Posted June 17, 2022 It's interesting that Islip and JFK have more 90ﾟ days than laguardia so far. I believe JFK was 94 today and Islip broke their record 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted June 17, 2022 Share Posted June 17, 2022 A piece of the air mass responsible for record-breaking heat in the Plains States and Great Lakes Region moved across the Middle Atlantic region today. Near record and record high temperatures in the Southeast and Middle Atlantic Region included: Atlantic City: 93° Baltimore: 96° (tied record set in 1939) Bridgeport: 90° Charlotte: 98° Columbia, SC: 100° Islip: 90° (old record: 88°, 2000) Lynchburg: 96° (tied record set in 1944) New York City-JFK: 94° New York City-LGA: 92° Newark: 95° Norfolk: 97° (tied record set in 1891 and tied in 1945) Philadelphia: 96° Raleigh: 98° Richmond: 97° Sterling, VA: 96° (old record: 92°, 1994) Washington, DC: 99° (old record: 97°, 2014) Wilmington, DE: 95° Wilmington, NC: 96° Following today's brief burst of heat, much cooler air will return for the weekend. The unseasonably cool weather will continue until midweek next week before warmer air returns. Across the Atlantic Ocean, a record early-season heatwave scorched parts of western Europe. High temperatures included: Andujar, Spain: 112° Carcassonne, France: 105° Cognac, France: 102° London: 91° Nimes, France: 105° Paris: 95° The ECMWF seasonal forecast indicates that the summer will be warmer than normal throughout the region and across much of North America. Based on how the pattern has been evolving during the spring transition to summer, it is more likely than not that the warmest anomalies of the summer will likely occur in July and August with June being the coolest of the three months in the Northeast. The latest ECMWF monthly forecast indicates that July will be warmer than June relative to normal and that August will be the warmest summer month relative to normal. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -1.6°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.7°C for the week centered around June 8. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -1.28°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -1.00°C. La Niña conditions will likely persist through the summer. The SOI was +23.55 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.342 today. On June 15 the MJO was in Phase 1 at an amplitude of 1.893 (RMM). The June 14-adjusted amplitude was 1.594 (RMM). Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 52% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal June (1991-2020 normal). June will likely finish with a mean temperature near 72.2° (0.2° above normal). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LoboLeader1 Posted June 17, 2022 Share Posted June 17, 2022 Currently 75 here in the Berks, humidity has been dropping off most of the afternoon. Temps expected to top out around 60 tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted June 17, 2022 Share Posted June 17, 2022 2 hours ago, jm1220 said: I always LOL when the cold front passes and the coast finally heats up from the warm NYC air coming through. Max here today was quite late; 87° at 5:49pm. An hour later its down to 83. Turning into a nice evening. It could be worse...Paris flirting with 100 for at least a couple of days (Paris, France, that is; it was only 95 in Paris, TX) . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted June 18, 2022 Share Posted June 18, 2022 91 was my high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted June 18, 2022 Share Posted June 18, 2022 Isp hit 90 after the front moved through lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted June 18, 2022 Share Posted June 18, 2022 1 hour ago, NorthShoreWx said: Max here today was quite late; 87° at 5:49pm. An hour later its down to 83. Turning into a nice evening. It could be worse...Paris flirting with 100 for at least a couple of days (Paris, France, that is; it was only 95 in Paris, TX) . We definitely lucked out (if you’re anti-heat) with the constant blocking which sticks the trough over the NE. We really need the Midwest ridge to be dominant and have a hot westerly downslope flow for us to really heat up. We’ll likely eventually be under the WAR that will heat us up to low-mid 90s with atrocious humidity. That’s become the norm here. Bring the Carolinas north to our area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted June 18, 2022 Share Posted June 18, 2022 On 6/16/2022 at 5:29 PM, qg_omega said: Historic cold this weekend? No Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 18, 2022 Share Posted June 18, 2022 6/17 PHL: 96 ACY: 96 EWR: 95 JFK: 94 BLM: 93 LGA: 92 New Brnswck: 91 TTN: 91 TEB: 90 ISP: 90 NYC: 88 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 18, 2022 Share Posted June 18, 2022 We'll see but today's guidance looks similar for next wed (6/22) and Thu (6/23) as today with a blast of heat. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted June 18, 2022 Share Posted June 18, 2022 Ewr will probably manage a midnight high of 80 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxoutlooksblog Posted June 18, 2022 Share Posted June 18, 2022 Most of the very latest guidance is downplaying heat for next week. The tri-state region is on the very outskirts of the ridge with frequent rounds of storms. Given ensemble trends and extrapolating forward the ridge seems more and more at least for the first half of this summer to be anchoring itself out west. Generally, this set up would usually favor a cooler 2014 type summer. But given the Euro seasonal forecast, maybe we here in the northeast are looking at primarily a second half summer from the second or third week of July on. WX/PT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted June 18, 2022 Share Posted June 18, 2022 90 today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted June 18, 2022 Share Posted June 18, 2022 94 was the high here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted June 18, 2022 Share Posted June 18, 2022 12 hours ago, jm1220 said: I always LOL when the cold front passes and the coast finally heats up from the warm NYC air coming through. It's the best part of summer! Hopefully we can hit 100 in July when this happens again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted June 18, 2022 Share Posted June 18, 2022 8 hours ago, SACRUS said: 6/17 PHL: 96 ACY: 96 EWR: 95 JFK: 94 BLM: 93 LGA: 92 New Brnswck: 91 TTN: 91 TEB: 90 ISP: 90 NYC: 88 Nice! The second time JFK has hit 94 this year. LOL @ NYC "88" The equipment at Central Park needs to be relocated or decomissioned. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted June 18, 2022 Share Posted June 18, 2022 10 hours ago, NorthShoreWx said: Max here today was quite late; 87° at 5:49pm. An hour later its down to 83. Turning into a nice evening. It could be worse...Paris flirting with 100 for at least a couple of days (Paris, France, that is; it was only 95 in Paris, TX) . 100 is awesome. We got close to 95 here, second hottest day this year. I hope we hit 100 in July! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted June 18, 2022 Share Posted June 18, 2022 8 hours ago, jm1220 said: We definitely lucked out (if you’re anti-heat) with the constant blocking which sticks the trough over the NE. We really need the Midwest ridge to be dominant and have a hot westerly downslope flow for us to really heat up. We’ll likely eventually be under the WAR that will heat us up to low-mid 90s with atrocious humidity. That’s become the norm here. Bring the Carolinas north to our area. Guess what though, more often than not blocking now means lack of blocking in the winter. I want the 100 that Chicago had last week, not the mediocre low mid 90s BS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted June 18, 2022 Share Posted June 18, 2022 11 hours ago, binbisso said: It's interesting that Islip and JFK have more 90ﾟ days than laguardia so far. I believe JFK was 94 today and Islip broke their record Yes this is the low humidity clean air type of heat most of us cherish Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted June 18, 2022 Share Posted June 18, 2022 21 hours ago, bluewave said: A two day June temperature drop at Newark from the 90s to 50s is impressive.Top 10 greatest from the daily high to the daily low two days later is 36° to 41°. Maybe Newark can beat expectations today and creep up to the 92° to 95°range.Then all it needs to do is make a run on 55° or lower Sunday morning to approach a 40° drop. https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/plotting/auto/?_wait=no&q=169&network=NJ_ASOS&zstation=EWR&hours=42&month=jun&dir=cool&_r=t&dpi=100&_fmt=png That can happen at JFK too! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted June 18, 2022 Share Posted June 18, 2022 15 hours ago, bluewave said: Very impressive downslope warming at Newark. Newark Liberty MOSUNNY 94 56 27 W23G43 Very nice at JFK This is the type of heat we all need! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LoboLeader1 Posted June 18, 2022 Share Posted June 18, 2022 Feeling more like early fall here in the Berkshires, currently 54. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted June 18, 2022 Share Posted June 18, 2022 The next 8 days are averaging 70degs.(62/78) or -3. Month to date is 71.1[+1.0]. Should be about 70.7[-0.3] by the 26th. Reached 92 here yesterday. Today: 70-74(high was at midnight, 79), sun and then clouds late, wind nw. and gusty. 68*(52%RH) here at 7am. 66* at 11am. 62* at 9pm----PM period spent mostly at 64-67. October like, with good cloud cover and winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted June 18, 2022 Share Posted June 18, 2022 Cooler air slowly moving in, 68 degrees here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted June 18, 2022 Share Posted June 18, 2022 68 here...skeptical that a full day of June sun wil not push the temperature into the 70s? I guess clouds are expected to fill in? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_other_guy Posted June 18, 2022 Share Posted June 18, 2022 15 hours ago, jm1220 said: I always LOL when the cold front passes and the coast finally heats up from the warm NYC air coming through. That is so interesting! How much did it warm up? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted June 18, 2022 Share Posted June 18, 2022 Morning thoughts… Today will be mostly sunny and cool. High temperatures will reach the lower and middle 70s in most of the region. Likely high temperatures around the region include: New York City (Central Park): 70° Newark: 73° Philadelphia: 74° Tomorrow and Monday will see a continuation of the cool weather. Normals: New York City: 30-Year: 80.6°; 15-Year: 80.4° Newark: 30-Year: 82.8°; 15-Year: 82.8° Philadelphia: 30-Year: 84.1°; 15-Year: 84.3° Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted June 18, 2022 Share Posted June 18, 2022 17 minutes ago, the_other_guy said: That is so interesting! How much did it warm up? I think what happens is before the frontal passage the wind is more off the water, the front moves thru, the wind switches to more northerly and you get the warm flow off the land. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 18, 2022 Author Share Posted June 18, 2022 Pretty unusual for Newark not to get above 95°on Friday or set a record high with record heat to our west this past week. Notice how much warmer Newark was in the past when Toledo, Ohio had record heat in mid-June. So strong blocking combining with with a heat dome is different from typical June climo. Same years bolded at Newark when Toledo had a record high Toledo Area, OHPeriod of record: 1873-03-01 through 2022-06-17 6/12 95 in 1956 94 in 1954 93 in 1925 6/13 96 in 2017 95 in 1956 94 in 1988 6/14 96 in 1988 95 in 1956 94 in 1967 6/15 98 in 2022 96 in 1994 95 in 1988+ 6/16 99 in 1994 98 in 1952 96 in 2022 6/17 97 in 1994 97 in 1957 95 in 2018+ 6/18 98 in 1994 97 in 1944 96 in 2018 Newark Area, NJPeriod of record: 1931-01-01 through 2022-06-17 6/12 97 in 2017 95 in 1973 94 in 1949 6/13 99 in 2017 98 in 1961 96 in 1984 6/14 99 in 1988 99 in 1956 98 in 1994 6/15 101 in 1994 99 in 1988 99 in 1945 6/16 98 in 1981 97 in 1991 96 in 1988 6/17 98 in 1952 97 in 1957 97 in 1945 6/18 97 in 1993 97 in 1945 96 in 2018+ RECORD EVENT REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND, OH 0535 PM EDT WED JUN 15 2022 ...RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES SET AT TOLEDO OH A RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE OF 98 WAS SET AT TOLEDO OH TODAY. THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF 96 SET IN 1994. CLIMATE REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK, NY 224 AM EDT SAT JUN 18 2022 ................................... ...THE NEWARK NJ CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR JUNE 17 2022... CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD 1991 TO 2020 CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD 1931 TO 2022 WEATHER ITEM OBSERVED TIME RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST VALUE (LST) VALUE VALUE FROM YEAR NORMAL ................................................................... TEMPERATURE (F) YESTERDAY MAXIMUM 95 314 PM 98 1952 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted June 18, 2022 Share Posted June 18, 2022 39 minutes ago, winterwarlock said: 68 here...skeptical that a full day of June sun wil not push the temperature into the 70s? I guess clouds are expected to fill in? It's cold aloft and will continue getting colder. Self destructive sunshine so anything above 70F will be a struggle 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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