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May 2022


bluewave
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Looks like next weekend could continue the onshore flow theme that has been dominating May so far. The Euro has 850 mb temperatures in the +18C to +20C range for Saturday. If the flow went SW, then the warm spots like Newark would easily rise to the mid to upper 90s. But a new wrinkle is showing up in the latest guidance. Subtle warm front forms near the area with SSE sea breezes. This limits the mid 90s potential to Central NJ where the winds go more SW. So places like NYC and LGA could struggle to reach 90°. Newark would be close and could see 90°. But if later runs have more SW flow, then the warmer Euro idea of yesterday would work out. 

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What a surprise lol. I don't trust any models showing heat here until the day before

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42 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

it's so sunny here I have some hope for the eclipse tonight!

Convective debris in eastern PA, and marine layer re-establishing from the south looks to thwart viewing times. This window of clearing, seems to be just that, a window of clearing. Mesoscale models have been stalwart in lackluster sky conditions/variably cloudy to overcast for some in the metro area. May even need an umbrella for "viewing," IJS...

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7 minutes ago, snywx said:

79/65 today.. 

Consistent lightning with these storms up here. 0.80” for the day

Flood Advisory National Weather Service New York NY 627 PM EDT Sun May 15 2022 NYC071-160130- /O.NEW.KOKX.FA.Y.0011.220515T2227Z-220516T0130Z/ /00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Orange NY- 627 PM EDT Sun May 15 2022 ...FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 930 PM EDT THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Urban and small stream flooding caused by excessive rainfall is expected. * WHERE...A portion of southeast New York, including the following county, Orange. * WHEN...Until 930 PM EDT. * IMPACTS...Minor flooding in low-lying and poor drainage areas. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... - At 626 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated heavy rain due to thunderstorms. This will cause urban and small stream flooding. Between 0.5 and 1 inch of rain has fallen. - Additional rainfall amounts up to 1 inch are expected over the area. This additional rain will result in minor flooding. - Some locations that will experience flooding include... Middletown, Port Jervis, Goshen, Howells, Chester, Montgomery, Cuddebackville, Otisville, Huguenot, Scotchtown, Deerpark, Mechanicstown, Westtown, Maybrook, Slate Hill, Pine Bush, Circleville, Bullville and New Hampton. - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

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5 minutes ago, hudsonvalley21 said:

Flood Advisory National Weather Service New York NY 627 PM EDT Sun May 15 2022 NYC071-160130- /O.NEW.KOKX.FA.Y.0011.220515T2227Z-220516T0130Z/ /00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Orange NY- 627 PM EDT Sun May 15 2022 ...FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 930 PM EDT THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Urban and small stream flooding caused by excessive rainfall is expected. * WHERE...A portion of southeast New York, including the following county, Orange. * WHEN...Until 930 PM EDT. * IMPACTS...Minor flooding in low-lying and poor drainage areas. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... - At 626 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated heavy rain due to thunderstorms. This will cause urban and small stream flooding. Between 0.5 and 1 inch of rain has fallen. - Additional rainfall amounts up to 1 inch are expected over the area. This additional rain will result in minor flooding. - Some locations that will experience flooding include... Middletown, Port Jervis, Goshen, Howells, Chester, Montgomery, Cuddebackville, Otisville, Huguenot, Scotchtown, Deerpark, Mechanicstown, Westtown, Maybrook, Slate Hill, Pine Bush, Circleville, Bullville and New Hampton. - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

It’s absolutely pouring here.. 

1.28” now 

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Just now, snywx said:

It’s absolutely pouring here.. 

1.28” now 

Special Weather Statement National Weather Service New York NY 652 PM EDT Sun May 15 2022 NYZ067-152330- Orange NY- 652 PM EDT Sun May 15 2022 ...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of northwestern Orange County through 730 PM EDT... At 651 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along a line extending from Highview to near Huguenot. Movement was east at 25 mph. HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph and pea size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is possible. Locations impacted include... Middletown, Port Jervis, Walden, Howells, Montgomery, Cuddebackville, Otisville, Huguenot, Unionville, Scotchtown, Deerpark, Mechanicstown, Westtown, Maybrook and Slate Hill.

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