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February 3-4 significant icing event for the interior, some sleet/snow possible. Coast mostly rain.


NJwx85
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5 minutes ago, White Gorilla said:

State of emergency for Ulster County just to my west with up to half inch radial ice accretion there, half the county without power, many limbs and wires down, reports of people trapped in trailers.  Praying for the most vulnerable there.  They really got the worst.  Grateful my area in Dutchess escaped the worst by an icy hair. 

Yea Ulster and Orange are the worst places to be in these scenarios but nice places to be when it's snow vs rain.   

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5 minutes ago, White Gorilla said:

State of emergency for Ulster County just to my west with up to half inch radial ice accretion there, half the county without power, many limbs and wires down, reports of people trapped in trailers.  Praying for the most vulnerable there.  They really got the worst.  Grateful my area in Dutchess escaped the worst by an icy hair. 

And they still didn’t upgrade to a warning.

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22 minutes ago, White Gorilla said:

State of emergency for Ulster County just to my west with up to half inch radial ice accretion there, half the county without power, many limbs and wires down, reports of people trapped in trailers.  Praying for the most vulnerable there.  They really got the worst.  Grateful my area in Dutchess escaped the worst by an icy hair. 

I have 2 trees down on my property right now from the weight of the ice. 
 

currently 24f w/ sleet falling 

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Quite a bit of precipitation still to move through New Jersey where temperatures are cooling right now. Becoming a bit more concerned about areas in North Jersey.  Luckily the cold air was slow to arrive or else it would have been a much different situation like they're seeing up in Ulster.  

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5 hours ago, Allsnow said:

Going to be a slow drop now through the afternoon. Most areas won’t touch 32 until this evening. Might not be much precipitation left by then 

 

5 hours ago, Allsnow said:

That’s not half the forum and the back edge of precipitation is in eastern Pa 

 

5 hours ago, Allsnow said:

Yup warm ground and temps around 32. Complete non event 

 

5 hours ago, Allsnow said:

Temps still above frz the majority of the area at 5pm 

486A6355-6C8B-4B01-9AD1-32794F3E8F81.png

 

5 hours ago, Dark Star said:

Skies brightning a bit in Linden NJ, edge of precip in western Jersey already.

 

5 hours ago, forkyfork said:

how long until you lose power

 

4 hours ago, Allsnow said:

Models always to wet and to cold in a situation like this 

 

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.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SATURDAY MORNING/...
-- Changed Discussion --

At or below freezing temperatures have worked down into the NYC metro and as far east as interior SW CT. Due to the shallow nature of the cold air, it has struggled to get across the hills of western CT. The Hudson River Valley has made it easier for a more southward progression initially. As the colder air gradually deepens, it will continue to expand south and east across CT and LI. Winter weather advisories remain in effect until 7 pm for all but SE CT and eastern LI, where it is in effect until 10 pm. Far eastern areas will likely not see freezing rain until around 00Z (give or take an hour). An additional tenth to quarter inch liquid equivalent is possible before the event comes to an end for far eastern areas late this evening. This will result in up to an additional tenth of an inch of ice across interior sections of CT, with a light glaze down at the coast. Upper portions of the Lower Hudson Valley will likely go over to all sleet with little additional ice accretion. Some areas have seen close to half an inch, with some reports even higher up above 500ft. High pressure over the Midwest will then build slowly east overnight, while the departing frontal system works across the western Atlantic. Much of the night will remain overcast with strong cold advection on N-NW winds at 10 to 15 mph. Lows by daybreak will range form the lower to mid teens well inland, to the lower 20s at the coast. This is a few degrees below normal.

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