Powerful Multi-regional/ multi-faceted east coastal storm now above medium confidence: Jan 29 -30th, MA to NE, with snow and mix combining high wind, and tides. Unusual early confidence ...

[weatherwiz]

Some decent WAA well out ahead of it with just enough lift

 

 

[Baroclinic Zone]

Plenty of PFE already

"Predecessor Freakout Event"

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

2 minutes ago, dryslot said:

PSE in this instance lol

Let's hope this potential biggie didn't cause us to PE...

[Ginx snewx]

42 minutes ago, Modfan2 said:

 @CT Rain station needs to camp out on Ekonk hill by you or on Rt 171 near Woodstock Fair for some great drifting 

Oh there will be pics

[Typhoon Tip]

This is not a “warm core” cyclogenesis or maintenance stages either, unless it can be specifically analyzed that way … etc

“Warm seclusion” is a separate phenomenon that is not that uncommon with RI cyclones 

This is a baroclinic system; different thermodynamic engine to barotropic 

[weatherwiz]

Just now, Ginx snewx said:

Oh there will be pics

now's the time to upgrade the camera...by like 50 generations 

[SouthCoastMA]

I've already followed this storm far too long, and we are still 96 hours away - normally I'm pretty level headed, but I feel like I could be a melt candidate. Just giving the board a proper heads up. 

[WxWatcher007]

Just now, Typhoon Tip said:

This is not a “warm core” cyclogenesis or maintenance stages either, unless it can be specifically analyzed that way … etc

“Warm seclusion” is a separate phenomenon that is not that uncommon with RI cyclones 

This is a baroclinic system; different thermodynamic engine to barotropic 

Great point. I heard PRE and my tropical senses went into high gear haha.

[CoastalWx]

7 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

There will be a run or two that sends the dryslot into interior CNE and jackpots Plattsburgh, NY that will cause a bunch of meltdowns until an hour later when none of the other models follow it.

I expect the 3K to be like 940mb east of PYM at some point.

[CT Valley Dryslot]

It's a snowstorm, not Hurricane Wilma.

[Boston Bulldog]

Early prediction for tonight's 0z NAM

[CoastalWx]

3 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said:

I've already followed this storm far too long, and we are still 96 hours away - normally I'm pretty level headed, but I feel like I could be a melt candidate. Just giving the board a proper heads up. 

Yeah a lot of time left. It really starts Friday night, but yeah......I'm sure we will see some changes....although I don't expect it to be dramatic.

[moneypitmike]

1 minute ago, CT Valley Dryslot said:

It's a snowstorm, not Hurricane Wilma.

Better than Hurricane Henri.

[Go Kart Mozart]

1 hour ago, WeatherHappens said:

this is looking just like the storm on Jan 15 1897.....that storm was amazing....anyone else remember that one?

No, but February 1898 tracked from Palm Beach to Eastport.  That one followed a crazy baroclinic boundary, with all-time cold to the west.

[Ginx snewx]

1 minute ago, weatherwiz said:

now's the time to upgrade the camera...by like 50 generations 

Why an Android 32 isn't good enough? I have seen your chase videos, early onset Parkinsons?

[JC-CT]

4 minutes ago, CT Valley Dryslot said:

It's a snowstorm, not Hurricane Wilma.

It's Jimmy Garoppolo

[WxFreak11]

26 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

That is a massive shield of precipitation 

 

[weatherwiz]

Just now, Ginx snewx said:

Why an Android 32 isn't good enough? I have seen your chase videos, early onset Parkinsons?

Beautiful. 

I have a shaky hand. 

[Go Kart Mozart]

I can't read all these posts what with work getting in the way...but has anyone mentioned the NAM looking great?

[Ginx snewx]

Just now, weatherwiz said:

Beautiful. 

I have a shaky hand. 

Me too. Nerve damage from ski accident 

[Go Kart Mozart]

1 minute ago, WxFreak11 said:

That is a massive shield of precipitation 

 

The DGEX would show 922mb in few more frames, lol

[weatherwiz]

Just give me a 980's or 970's low as it's passing southeast. Getting anything deeper (especially too intense deepening) and bad things happen. Precip starts to get more banded so while some cash in you need to be lucky and occlusion can happen to rapidly so you choke off the moist inflow and the CCB just shuts off and everything goes to poop. Save the 950's for tropical 

[JC-CT]

The NAM looks a lot like it did for tonight, 84 hours ago.

I strongly suggest not taking it seriously.

[cut]

I remember a storm while I was at Lowell -  the only one of the year  _ where it snowed pixy dust for like 12 hour or more before the big show. The sun was also shining softly thru high cirrus clouds so the snow was sparkling as it dropped thru the air. I forget what year but I think it was when was in dorms my freshmen year - 1987. I'm wondering if that was PRE.

[JC-CT]

Just now, JC-CT said:

The NAM looks a lot like it did for tonight, 84 hours ago.

I strongly suggest not taking it seriously.

[Ginx snewx]

7 minutes ago, CT Valley Dryslot said:

It's a snowstorm, not Hurricane Wilma.

White Juanita?

[George001]

The nam didn’t bury as much energy out west

[ORH_wxman]

RGEM is dragging the southern stream compared to 12z....so the NAM didn't start a new trend for all 18z guidance.

[Ginx snewx]

3 minutes ago, JC-CT said:

Clouds?

[JC-CT]

2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

RGEM is dragging the southern stream compared to 12z....so the NAM didn't start a new trend for all 18z guidance.

ggem is the opposite - and amped