Powerful Multi-regional/ multi-faceted east coastal storm now above medium confidence: Jan 29 -30th, MA to NE, with snow and mix combining high wind, and tides. Unusual early confidence ...

[NotSureWeather]

Woosah.

[bishbish777]

Euro def looked way too amped compared to other guidance at this point. Almost certainly will trend quite a bit weaker with the low at 00Z tonight.

[tiger_deF]

We just need to stop the bleeding right now 

[dryslot]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Yikes....

Low going east of Nova Scotia is no bueno.

[bishbish777]

On the bright side the 18Z ICON was looking pretty nice compared to its 12Z run...and has been much less volatile than the other guidance...

[CT Rain]

Pretty good jog east on the GEFS. Seems like it's within the envelope of possibilities but still a ton of time to go.

[dryslot]

Just now, tiger_deF said:

We just need to stop the bleeding right now 

I didn't know we had an open wound yet.

[Damage In Tolland]

Did anyone notice the first negative run in days and who stated posting in the thread? One of the 2 lovelies from NY/ NJ

[CT Valley Dryslot]

2 minutes ago, tiger_deF said:

We just need to stop the bleeding right now 

Ok then go down to NCEP HQ and fix the supercomputer that runs the GFS.

[SouthCoastMA]

GFS with an INT, time for the Euro to capitalize and regain the title. 

[MJO812]

4 minutes ago, bishbish777 said:

Euro def looked way too amped compared to other guidance at this point. Almost certainly will trend quite a bit weaker with the low at 00Z tonight.

You mean the cmc 

[Damage In Tolland]

If 18z Euro goes 390 miles east like this worry a bit. If not toss the Gfs suite this run 

[PhineasC]

5 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Yikes....

LOL she’s gonna escape by 00z. Where is the plane landing Die Hard GIF now?

[JC-CT]

GEFS is always going to follow the OP at this time frame. If the OP came west again at 0z, so would the GEFS. So the fact that the GEFS went east isn't really hugely meaningful to me. They are more useful further out in time than this.

[mahk_webstah]

big jump west now big jump east.  this winter is fascinating.

[PhineasC]

2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Did anyone notice the first negative run in days and who stated posting in the thread? One of the 2 lovelies from NY/ NJ

The other will be here shortly with a 300 hour temp map. 

[dryslot]

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

If 18z Euro goes 390 miles east like this worry a bit. If not toss the Gfs suite this run 

It only goes to hr90, Going to have to figure it out @H5.

[OrangeCTWX]

Personally I don’t mind where the GFS is given we are 100+ hours out. I was worried it might send the low over my head.

[JB_Wchstr]

1 minute ago, mahk_webstah said:

big jump west now big jump east.  this winter is fascinating.

That’s a nice way to say it

[eyewall]

Rooting for you all up there and hoping we can all cash in from RDU to Maine. I would say the southwest s/w if farther west when it dives into the 4 corners region by almost misses the phase with the northern stream until it is nearly too late. It is those two players that are resulting in the run to run variability. The ridge in the southwest is a factor as well in the position of the southern stream piece of energy.

[MaineJayhawk]

55 minutes ago, George001 said:

NYC: 12-18 

Central to eastern long island: 16-20 

1-95 corridor, Boston, and interior se ma: 16-20

Worcester: 20-24

Berkshires: 24-28

all of CNE and NNE 20+
 

 

George, I salute you!

[dryslot]

Taint vs Whiff, Should be a great next few days.

[40/70 Benchmark]

That was a bad run.

Hope its not a trend.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

23 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

 

I’d take that and run here. Sue me 

[dryslot]

If i had to go out on a limb, I would say it won't happen this way.

 

[mreaves]

1 hour ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I don't want the NAVGEM as amped. to ever be considered a serious model

FYP

[Damage In Tolland]

Tip   Scoots and Will .  Three trusted Mets whom we we all care about deeply and do not let us down ever.. said goalpost narrow and whiff or brush highly unlikely. Stay the course and toss the off hour Gfs suite 

[jlauderdal]

big jump west now big jump east.  this winter is fascinating.

Just like hurricane forecasting beyond 72 hrs.

[cleetussnow]

Tomorrow 0z runs are way more important than tonight. Nothing at 18z at this range looks special compared to other guidance before other major storms in the past.

[dryslot]

A paragraph every time i open up a notification........