BornAgain13 Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 15 minutes ago, eyewall said: LOL do they not realize the soil temps are in the 60's? Very true but if it comes down hard enough..... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 14 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: Very true but if it comes down hard enough..... Maybe if soil temps were being driven more from the low 40s or something. Not so much coming in behind soil temps in the 60s. Count on plenty of snow runoff up there in Wet Spoon, Va. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 It’s definitely going to snow in Raleigh since I’ll be out of town… 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 Everyone to the sanitarium 1 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 It shifted north 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Leesville Wx Hawk Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Hopefully it was just a wobble. Can someone post the 18 z European output? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 2, 2022 Author Share Posted January 2, 2022 3 minutes ago, Leesville Wx Hawk said: Hopefully it was just a wobble. Can someone post the 18 z European output? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TARHEELPROGRAMMER88 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 51 minutes ago, buckeyefan1 said: The ship is sailing. Is it time to give congratulations to VA? More cold and dry for us in NC/SC? Stay tuned. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Leesville Wx Hawk Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Thanks Programer. RDU still in the game there but not a perfect situation trend wise. It’s getting late in the game. Not sure if this gives more than 0.5-0.8 inches in reality if this is taken literally at RDU if we are looking at 6:1 with melting considered. At least I live 4-5 miles northeast of the airport so I have that working in my favor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Leesville Wx Hawk Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Sorry, thanks Buckeye fan! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 If you average the GFS, NAM, RGEM and Euro at 18z you end up with something decent, FWIW. Doesn't mean that we won't see models adjust North more, but with the current pattern, I wouldn't necessarily count on it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Leesville Wx Hawk Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Good point. The 18z NAM looked pretty good actually so that is encouraging. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Leesville Wx Hawk Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 18 z RGEM has the Wake county gradient so should we assume that it is correct? It is worth noting that there has been a small northward shift in some of the models. Hopefully it will stop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 The MA weenies are dragging this N with sheer will power. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Still looks decent for Wake. At least something to look at. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 GFS exploding on the MA peeps. They're going bonkers over there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 This has gone from token flakes to perhaps a major foot+ storm but unfortunately looks like the NW trend has commenced leaving most of us in the sanitarium per usual 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Even the GFS ensembles still try to show Wake a little love. It could shift back south a little. The NW trends seemed extreme. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 This is now a mountains/VA storm. Sorry folks nothing to see here. We may see a few token flakes but nothing is going to stick in central NC with these soil temps. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 2, 2022 Author Share Posted January 2, 2022 Yes, I'm posting this here too. There has not been a flake of snow being shown for mby, but I'm excited for those that do get to see the flakes fly. Whether it's mood flakes for the day, a dusting, 2" and the possibility of making a few snowballs and a mini snowman or a foot thump that sticks around in an artic environment for weeks. Stop crapping on other peoples excitement because you aren't getting what you think you deserve/endrant. 2 hours ago, buckeyefan1 said: While all you snow snobs are complaining because the ground temps are too warm for it to stay around after it stops, or it's too far north, there are plenty of us who would love to watch a few hours of mood flakes collect in a sloppy mess on the lawn 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Long range isn't looking as bad as it has been but not a snowy pattern either. Just enough ridging in the SE to prevent any true miller A tracks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Friday isn’t far off from being a major winter storm on the GFS… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 2, 2022 Author Share Posted January 2, 2022 2 minutes ago, BooneWX said: Friday isn’t far off from being a major winter storm on the GFS… It's not, but what follows a couple days behind that is what I'm interested in 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Leesville Wx Hawk Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 9 minutes ago, buckeyefan1 said: It's not, but what follows a couple days behind that is what I'm interested in That’s the spirit Buckeye! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_hailstorm Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Well the GFS in fantasy land,la la land(hour 360) has the monster that beats them all today.Might wanna save that one see some 30'' to 40'' totals. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 5 minutes ago, NC_hailstorm said: Well the GFS in fantasy land,la la land(hour 360) has the monster that beats them all today.Might wanna save that one see some 30'' to 40'' totals. Yep, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 8 minutes ago, NC_hailstorm said: Well the GFS in fantasy land,la la land(hour 360) has the monster that beats them all today.Might wanna save that one see some 30'' to 40'' totals. Try 51 in Charlotte 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 24 minutes ago, olafminesaw said: Yep, lol Eh, it will end up trending north 1 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 2, 2022 Author Share Posted January 2, 2022 On 12/30/2021 at 7:54 AM, buckeyefan1 said: Meanwhile, there is plenty of time for this raging ice storm to become a severe weather event or wintertime fun It only took three days to turn it into wintertime fun 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 3 minutes ago, buckeyefan1 said: It only took three days to turn it into wintertime fun Congrats Virginia! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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