August 2021

[LibertyBell]

26 minutes ago, bluewave said:

The highest dew points went to our north today.

 

Thank goodness.

[LibertyBell]

16 minutes ago, Cerinthe Major said:

We didn't get a warning. We're directly across the Sound from Orchard Beach, so I suppose it was an extremely local intense event. PSEG estimates our power back on at 11:30, ugh.

Is this the same storm that got 6 people sent to the hospital because of lightning strikes in the city?

 

[Cerinthe Major]

4 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

Is this the same storm that got 6 people sent to the hospital because of lightning strikes in the city?

 

Yes, I believe those people were in Orchard Beach

[IrishRob17]

19 minutes ago, Will - Rutgers said:

nice shooting Tex.  

Ghostbusters 

[bluewave]

A gust to 69 mph with that storm.

 

 

[Intensewind002]

High of 92/74 (HI: 102) today, hottest day so far this year for me. Also first heat index over 100 this summer here

[Intensewind002]

Also that storm earlier had some wicked C-G, only got skirted by it in Lindenhurst but some of those strikes were only within a few blocks of my house

[donsutherland1]

Temperatures surged into the 90s across most of the region today. High temperatures included:

Allentown: 94°
Baltimore: 98°
Boston: 96°
Bridgeport: 93°
Concord: 93°
Harrisburg: 96°
Hartford: 95°
Islip: 90° (tied record set in 2016)
New York City-JFK: 88°
New York City-LGA: 98° (tied record set in 2016)
New York City-NYC: 93°
Newark: 98° (tied record set in 1944)
Philadelphia: 96°
Poughkeepsie: 95°
Providence: 94°
Scranton: 93°
Washington, DC: 96°

90° Days for Select Cities (through August 12):

Albany: 4 (2020: 13 days; 5-Year Average: 13.6 days)
Allentown: 20 (2020: 24 days; 5-Year Average: 27.6 days)
Baltimore: 39 (2020: 46 days; 5-Year Average: 44.6 days)
Boston: 18 (2020: 14 days; 5-Year Average: 17.2 days)
Bridgeport: 9 (2020: 11 days; 5-Year Average: 13.4 days)
Burlington: 8 (2020: 20 days; 5-Year Average: 13.0 days)
Harrisburg: 27 (2020: 35 days; 5-Year Average: 30.6 days)
Hartford: 19 (2020: 39 days; 5-Year Average: 29.0 days)
Islip: 4 (2020: 8 days; 5-Year Average: 9.4 days)
New York City-JFK: 6 (2020: 12 days; 5-Year Average: 10.2 days)
New York City-LGA: 19 (2020: 34 days; 5-Year Average: 29.4 days)
New York City-NYC: 13 (2020: 20 days; 5-Year Average: 18.2 days)
Newark: 31 (2020: 31 days; 5-Year Average: 31.2 days)
Philadelphia: 27 (2020: 36 days; 5-Year Average: 34.6 days)
Scranton: 15 (2020: 25 days; 5-Year Average: 16.4 days)
Washington, DC: 36 (2020: 46 days; 5-Year Average: 50.8 days)

New York City-Newark Average: 17 (2020: 22 days)
...Expected: 19 (based on regression equation tied to JFK-LGA-EWR data)

Searing heat again baked the Pacific Northwest. High temperatures included:

Dallesport, WA: 108° (old record: 107°, 1977)
Eugene, OR: 103°
Medford, OR: 103°
Pendleton, OR: 102°
Portland: 102° ***Record-tying 5th 100° day this year***
Salem: 102°
Seattle: 93°

As a result of the ongoing bout of extreme heat, Portland will likely experience its second extreme heat event of the year, making 2021 the first year on record with two such events. Portland could also experience 2 or more 100° high temperatures, allowing 2021 to tie or break the all-time record for most such days. There is an increased possibility that Seattle could also experience its second extreme heat event of the year.

In some of the long-range guidance that heat could later be followed by another round of heat in the Northern Plains a week or so later. If so, one will see a similar sequence of events as occurred from late June to mid-July.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +0.7°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.3°C for the week centered around August 4. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +0.48°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.23°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely prevail into mid-September.

The SOI was +6.13 today.

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) figure was -0.126 today.

On August 10 the MJO was in Phase 2 at an amplitude of 1.894 (RMM). The August 9-adjusted amplitude was 1.435 (RMM).

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 54% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal August (1991-2020 normal). August will likely finish with a mean temperature near 76.2° (0.2° above normal).

 

[lee59]

https://goo.gl/maps/R1GELAXm2WmeWDEBA

 

Found the above picture of the Central Park weather station taken in January of 2020

[donsutherland1]

1 hour ago, Will - Rutgers said:

nice shooting Tex.  do you have camera settings and EXIF data, just curious.  do you press the shutter over and over again or is there a way to automate shots.

i have a D850 but i haven't put the work in to figure it out, i just keep hitting the shutter every 10 seconds.

I didn't have my camera with me, as I was coming back from work. I shot it with my iPhone. If I recall correctly, one has to use the "Bulb" setting for shutter speed and ISO of either 100 or 200. Then the shutter stays open until there have been one or more lightning flashes. A tripod is needed and a remote is useful.

[uofmiami]

View from the S of the storm that hit Pt Washington as it passed by Great Neck Plaza

 

[SACRUS]

8/12

EWR: 98
LGA: 98
TEB: 96
PHL: 96
New Brnswck: 95
ACY: 95
BLM: 95
TTN: 95
NYC: 93
ISP: 90
JFK: 89
 

[donsutherland1]

9 minutes ago, Will - Rutgers said:

lol wow no shit?  that's unbelievable.  you get better lighting balance than i do.  i don't know how to shoot lightning during the day with a 10 second shutter without everything getting blown out and the lightning being dim.

probably more a function of the fact i don't know what i am doing than the camera/Lightroom

I will try to play around with the camera next time there’s a daytime thunderstorm. 

[donsutherland1]

36 minutes ago, bluewave said:

A gust to 69 mph with that storm.

 

 

There was a brief period of high winds in Larchmont. A limb and some large branches were down following the storm, which really blew up over the Long Island Sound.

[nycwinter]

4 hours ago, dmillz25 said:

So Central Park should be dropped to an advisory got it lol

i live near the park

 

3 hours ago, LibertyBell said:

it's a park the rest of NYC isn't a park and we shouldn't be using a park for temp readings anyway, how many of the official NWS reporting sites are parks?

 

nws feels it is important to keep official readings in the park,,

[ForestHillWx]

76/72. Missed the rain today, but my dad in north east Morris County reported heavy rain/winds around 4:30. 

[Rtd208]

High for the day was 97 here.

Current temp 87/DP 73/RH 63%

[lee59]

1 hour ago, lee59 said:

https://goo.gl/maps/R1GELAXm2WmeWDEBA

 

Found the above picture of the Central Park weather station taken in January of 2020

This is the most up to date picture I have found. Not so bad in the winter, would like to see what it looks like in the summer.

[winterwarlock]

95/109 for me today

[Pequest]

28 minutes ago, Will - Rutgers said:

never mind the storms are getting annihilated

i will stick to hamster breeding

Yeah Will...Warren County poster here. Total fizzle here as it crossed the Gap.  Just a few drops!

[Tatamy]

3 hours ago, Pequest said:

Yeah Will...Warren County poster here. Total fizzle here as it crossed the Gap.  Just a few drops!

I received 0.01”.  They literally ran out of gas a few blocks from me.  Lol

[LoboLeader1]

74 here as of 6:00 AM, RH 84%/DP 67  

[binbisso]

75* dp 67. Looks like dp will be lower today which should make today more tolerable than yesterday.  relief coming Sunday for 3 or 4 days that's been the theme of this summer  No prolonged  heat waves

[CIK62]

The next 8 days are averaging 83degs.(75/91), or +8.

No rain till hurricane hits on the 26th   LOL

80*(73%RH) here at 6am!!!, m. clear.          Only 84* by Noon and seemingly going nowhere so far.        85*(65%RH) at 1pm   HI = 91.       87*(62%RH) at 2pm.      88*(60%RH) at 3pm/4pm.     86* at 5pm.

Reached 95 here yesterday at 6pm.    Was still 90 at 8pm.

[LoboLeader1]

34 minutes ago, CIK62 said:

The next 8 days are averaging 83degs.(75/91), or +8.

No rain till hurricane hits on the 26th. LOL

80*(73%RH) here at 6am!!!, m. clear.

Reached 95 here yesterday at 6pm.    Was still 90 at 8pm.

95 for a high here yesterday, temp did not get below 74 overnite. 

[donsutherland1]

Morning thoughts…

It will become partly sunny and hot. An afternoon or evening thunderstorm is possible. Temperatures will likely reach the lower and middle 90s.  Some locations will reach the upper 90s. Likely high temperatures around the region include:

New York City (Central Park): 94°

Newark: 99°

Philadelphia: 97°

Normals:

New York City: 30-Year: 83.8°; 15-Year: 83.9°

Newark: 30-Year: 85.2°; 15-Year: 85.6°

Philadelphia: 30-Year: 86.3°; 15-Year: 86.3°

Very warm weather will continue tomorrow. Showers and thunderstorms are likely as a front moves across the region.

Out West, Portland will likely experience its record 6th 100° day of the year.

[doncat]

75° here this am.

[dmillz25]

Already up to 83 here

[bluewave]

This is only the 8th year that Newark reached 30 days of 90° following a 40 inch snowfall season. This feat only occurred three times up to 1994. But a record breaking five years since 2005. So we are getting an unusual combination of stronger winter blocking followed by summer heat.

Newark 40 inch snowfall followed by 30 days reaching 90°

2021….45.7…..31

2015….46.4….35

2011…..68.2…..31

2010….47.9……54

2005….43.4…..37

1994…..64.5….39

1961…..73.5…..34

1949….41.2……36

[SACRUS]

81/69 a bit less humid but higher temp than Thursday.  Off to the races again today with mid to upper 90s and an outside chance of the century mark in places in NE-NJ and near LGA.  Front arrives tomorrow and depending on rain and cloud cover 90s are possible.  Beyond that Sun (8/15) as we hit the midway point of the month - need to watch remnants of Fred otherwise  humid / wet looks the theme and above normal through Thu (8/19).  Southerly / onshore and with rain chances as we start to heat up again towards Thu (8/19) and through next weekend (8/20) - (8/21).

Tropics look like they may gear up and target EC in the longer range.  Western Atlantic Ridge near by noseing in on occasion as we see a warmer / humid second part of August.