stormtracker

March Long Range Discussion

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1 hour ago, Ji said:
5 hours ago, psuhoffman said:
Lol
7AF39E2F-1BEE-4679-9912-46F65D0BD53C.thumb.png.880b42789a3225a0c57e0616930138cb.png
272EA20D-6F0D-4BC0-980F-5905A476A196.thumb.png.323f62155ac1a662246377fe951d5c39.png

Lol what lol. This is a winter default map for 2 weeks

Yes WINTER default and every other post here has been repeating “spring” and “it’s over” 

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25 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

You are serious, aren’t you?

I can't wait for the next posting of the Control run.

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4 hours ago, CAPE said:

Still looking pretty interesting on the means beginning around the 15th, with ridging in the EPO/WPO domains, displaced TPV lobes, and with a neutral/negative PNA it looks like some southern waves ejecting eastward. Late, but maybe..

Probably the NW crew should be turned on at the thought of padding their already impressive snow totals.

 

We know how this will end for the cities/low lands.  Miserable 42 degree drizzle when our average high is over 60 by the end of the month.  Meanwhile PSU will tell us how his mountain got 10” but “just down the street” only managed an inch of slush.  

I hope that look breaks down.

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9 minutes ago, nj2va said:

We know how this will end for the cities/low lands.  Miserable 42 degree drizzle when our average high is over 60 by the end of the month.  Meanwhile PSU will tell us how his mountain got 10” but “just down the street” only managed an inch of slush.  

I hope that look breaks down.

Hey, watch it now. I'm that guy "just down the street". :lol:

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1 hour ago, stormtracker said:

You are serious, aren’t you?

I am watching the EPS....it was never bullish about this last week of cold.  It is getting late, but weird things can happen.  Also one of the pro Mets called it over in the DMV,  so now I really think we have a chance...

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Looks like tracking ramping up by mid week for possible frozen chances  starting early next week 

Edit.

Gfs with some mixed stuff Sunday night :popcorn:

Nice little winter event verbatim.  

 

 

 

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31 minutes ago, HighStakes said:

Hey, watch it now. I'm that guy "just down the street". :lol:

He’s exaggerating.  You’ll get at least 2

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3 minutes ago, losetoa6 said:

Looks like tracking ramping up by mid week for possible frozen chances  starting early next week 

Edit.

Gfs with some mixed stuff Sunday night :popcorn:

 

 

 

That 1036 high is in a  great location 

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If there is a deterministic run that supports EPS in the long range that will look nice but they have stunk outside a few days so I give them little credence anymore.  They just end up bringing false hopes.

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1 hour ago, losetoa6 said:

Looks like tracking ramping up by mid week for possible frozen chances  starting early next week 

Edit.

Gfs with some mixed stuff Sunday night :popcorn:

Nice little winter event verbatim.  

 

 

 

:damage:

68487707-5C14-45EC-8C50-FDBB1B692009.jpeg

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Winters not over, we need to get fringed one more time.

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3 hours ago, psuhoffman said:

Yes WINTER default and every other post here has been repeating “spring” and “it’s over” 

What is Mt PSU at now?  I am rooting for it to hit 60".

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20 minutes ago, Wentzadelphia said:

In some alternate reality P09 will happen

In actual reality p11 is a lock. But fear not. These 384 hour maps are like throwing darts.  In the golden days, posting that shit would get you roundly mocked. 

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8 minutes ago, losetoa6 said:

Improving for day 7/8.

This isn't hour 360:popcorn:

12z Eps 

ecmwf-ensemble-avg-conus-t850_mslp_prcp6hr-5766400.png

That's an interesting look. 

:weenie:

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Improved look from 0z for the D10-12 timeframe.  Nice ridge axis out west with a deeper trough into the miss valley. Both GEFS and EPS keying on a wave coming ashore on the west coast around D7 but handle the trough behind it differently.  EPS is slower with the PAC trough and this allows a nice PNA ridge to pop. 

 EilzDDs.png

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58 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

Now this is actually not a shit post.   Interesting. But not enough to get me off the couch.  @WinterWxLuvr tho.....

Im 100% content if it’s over. Just rolling with whatever. 

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