ineedsnow Posted January 21 4 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Let's do this!! My Birthday is on the 2nd.. Might get something around then? Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Ginx snewx Posted January 21 6 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: My Birthday is on the 2nd.. Might get something around then? Best month for a snow weenie to be born. Mine is the 10th. GEFS and EPS like your birthday 3 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Damage In Tolland Posted January 21 Heavy heavy something 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
ORH_wxman Posted January 21 EPS still trying to get more ridging out west for early February....we'll see if that sticks because that would provide a chance for something bigger. Note the lower heights down in the gulf....less SE ridge and less meat grinder. 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Ginx snewx Posted January 21 4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: EPS still trying to get more ridging out west for early February....we'll see if that sticks because that would provide a chance for something bigger. Note the lower heights down in the gulf....less SE ridge and less meat grinder. Encouraging. At some point the dam will break Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 21 Should be a window for about the first week or so, but I still don't think it lasts. 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
ORH_wxman Posted January 21 12 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Weeklies? They are ok....-PNA/-NAO through 3rd week of Feb and then it seems to transition to more gradient with lower heights in SE Canada by end of month. 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
CoastalWx Posted January 21 1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said: They are ok....-PNA/-NAO through 3rd week of Feb and then it seems to transition to more gradient with lower heights in SE Canada by end of month. Yeah I didn’t mind them at all. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Go Kart Mozart Posted January 21 1 hour ago, MJO812 said: Weeklies? Weeklies seem to be about as useful as tarot cards and chicken bones. 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
GCWarrior Posted January 21 February is a lame month for snow the last several years out here at least. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
tamarack Posted January 21 AVG DAILY SNOWFALL (Month avg/days) OCT .02 NOV .16 DEC .61 JAN .63 FEB .81 MAR .56 APR .18 MAY .01 Not that this means anything this year. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 21 51 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Yeah I didn’t mind them at all. In theory..... Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
CoastalWx Posted January 21 17 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: In theory..... Well better chance for QPF lol. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 21 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Well better chance for QPF lol. I know....gotta roll the dice bc the block isn't cutting it with this Pac. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 22 EPS looked okay for the first....10 days. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
NorEastermass128 Posted January 22 5 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: EPS looked okay for the first....10 days. Nice. Favorable period just 10 days away then. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
BombsAway1288 Posted January 23 1 hour ago, NorEastermass128 said: Nice. Favorable period just 10 days away then. That's it, just another 10 days. What could possibly go wrong? 1 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
NorEastermass128 Posted January 23 Let’s hold this looks. Just 10 days away. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 24 It can only go one way from here...so, it will come. It has to. 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 24 10 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: It can only go one way from here...so, it will come. It has to. You’ve been saying this for 2 weeks. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Snowcrazed71 Posted January 24 9 hours ago, Baroclinic Zone said: You’ve been saying this for 2 weeks. What do expect him to say. It's not coming. The winter is over. I did that a few days back. Have been very disappointed with the turnout thus far. However, I also can see this pattern yielding something very very big. Just had that vibe. 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Ginx snewx Posted January 24 2 hours ago, dendrite said: Played out? Lol Lots of opportunities it seems on all LR modeling. Pattern change as we head into snow month. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 24 10 hours ago, Baroclinic Zone said: You’ve been saying this for 2 weeks. My bad for being a little hopeful. I’ll just post doom and gloom nauseating thoughts then because that’s the preferred contribution. 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
ORH_wxman Posted January 24 2/1 looks really good on the ensembles. Only 8 days away! In all seriousness, the failed 1/29 system phasing offshore with the PV lobe is actually causing the 2/1 system to come in more favorable on last night’s guidance. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 24 33 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Played out? Lol Lots of opportunities it seems on all LR modeling. Pattern change as we head into snow month. Yup. Feb 1-2 miller b has been showing up often to kick off the month. LFG. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
moneypitmike Posted January 24 7 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: 2/1 looks really good on the ensembles. Only 8 days away! In all seriousness, the failed 1/29 system phasing offshore with the PV lobe is actually causing the 2/1 system to come in more favorable on last night’s guidance. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
ORH_wxman Posted January 24 One thing you want to see on a longer range threat is strong cross-guidance ensemble support. Heres the EPS, GFS, and GEPS in that order: For those who can’t handle the emotional roller coaster of failed storms, I’d suggest not checking back in until the 2nd half of this week. But this is at least a pretty strong guidance signal for a D8-9 threat. 4 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
